SARS affects travel trade
By Quintus Perera
The Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) disease spreading across Asia and the world is beginning to seriously affect Sri Lanka's travel trade, with many people cancelling holiday trips to popular shopping destinations like Singapore and traffic from new tourism markets such as China drying up.

While a spokesperson from the Sri Lankan Airlines said its outbound traffic particularly to destinations like Hong Kong and Singapore, among a host of countries badly hit by SARS, was little affected, the country's travel trade spoke of a more serious situation.

The disease has hit about 25 countries, killing 164 people and infecting more than 3,500. So far Sri Lanka has not reported any cases though there have been some false alarms, which have created panic and confusion in some hospitals.

Udaya Nanayakkara, chairman of Ceylon Carriers, said that SARS had affected overseas travel by Sri Lankans, many of whom go abroad during the long holidays in April.

"Outbound traffic has been affected quite badly," he said. "No one is going to the Far East during these holidays. Normally flights would have been completely full."

"Inbound traffic from the Far East has also been hit, with a marked drop in the number of visitors from Japan, Thailand, Malaysia and Singapore. Also, Chinese traffic, which we were promoting so aggressively, has virtually come to a grinding halt."

But, he said, arrivals from India, which last year accounted for the highest number of visitors, had not been affected.

Last year about 25,000 people from East Asia visited the island in the first six months, accounting for 15 percent of total visitors, the bulk of them from Japan, Malaysia and Singapore.

A spokesman for Gabo Travels said that bookings for Asian countries like Singapore and Hong Kong had been affected. "Passengers are not travelling to Singapore," he said.

A spokesman for the Bandaranaike International Airport said that with every flight that lands the authorities make announcements advising passengers with symptoms of SARS to report to medical staff. Airport medical staff are also on the look out for passengers with symptoms of the virus and all staff working in the passenger movement areas have been given masks.

Warning posters have been put up in the immigration and baggage clearance areas, he said.

Mackinnons Travels Ltd reported a drop of around five percent in their outbound bookings but noted that there were no cancellations. "What is basically happening is that business travellers would be flying anyway but holiday makers tend to hold back." A spokesman said these were postponements rather than cancellations.

The SARS epidemic has had some impact even on business travel, especially to Hong Kong.

Businessmen travelling to the east, such as Singapore, Hong Kong and China, are somewhat hesitant and some have even postponed their visits but those going to the West and the

United States have had no problem,” said Tilak de Zoysa, chairman of the Ceylon Chamber of Commerce.

He said he had heard that businessmen in the garments trade who meet in Hong Kong or whose buyers have regional offices there, have postponed their meetings owing to the epidemic.

Classic Travels said their sales were badly affected. A spokesman said, “This is the (only) season when we expect some business due to the school holidays. But we have been badly affected due to SARS.”

A spokesman for Universal Travels and Tours said there were a few cancellations by Sri Lankans travelling abroad. About 30 to 40 bookings to Hong Kong over the last several days have been put on hold by passengers.

Shiromal Cooray of Jetwing Travels said tourists already booked to visit the island had not cancelled their trips but that there had been a marked drop in new bookings.

“Sri Lanka is fortunate that people already booked until April - May have not cancelled their visits but we’re not getting any new bookings because travellers are waiting to see when the SARS epidemic ends.” She estimated new bookings had fallen by 70-80 percent.

Hotels are also feeling the effect gradually, specially those which cater to Asian travellers.

A spokesman for Taj Airport Garden Hotel said certain groups from China and Japan have cancelled their bookings through their travel agents causing a certain amount of concern.

He said that visitors to the Maldives usually stay one night in Colombo and then travel to the archipelago but that this market had also been wiped out. But considering the overall occupancy, the impact was negligible.

Other hotels were not affected. A spokesperson for the Ranweli Holiday Village said that the SARS disease has not had any impact as they cater mainly to European travellers. Keells Hotel Management, which has a number of hotels under its purview, also indicated that the disease did not have any impact on its overall sales.


Foreign firms eye $330 mln offshore mineral deposit
At least 10 foreign and local companies have shown interest in exploiting offshore mineral deposits worth an estimated $330 million lying off the southwest coast.

Marine Pollution Prevention Authority (MPPA) chairman Dr. N.S.K.N. de Silva said the foreign firms were from India and Australia.

The companies were responding to a call for expressions of interest by the Ministry of Fisheries and Ocean Resources, through the MPPA, for exploitation of offshore mineral deposits off Panadura, Kalutara and Bentota.

The expressions of interest were called for from companies with previous experience in coastal and offshore exploration and exploitation.

The MPPA said a high resolution marine geophysical survey conducted off the southwestern coast in 1997 has revealed the availability of more than 170 million cubic metres of heavy mineral deposits in the top two metres of the sea bed.

The deposits, consisting of ilmenite, monazite, rutile and zircon, have a potential value of more than $330 million.


Bonanza for state employees
The government plans to announce an increase in the salaries of public servants towards the end of this year, Finance Minister K.N. Choksy said.

The pay hike is likely to be unveiled in the November budget as part of government measures to ease the burden on the people who have had to face price hikes, especially in fuel and electricity, in recent months, he said.

"The government is considering an increase of wages in the public sector during the latter part of this year, provided international economic conditions remain stable," Choksy said in an interview. The government in January increased the allowances of senior officials of state corporations, statutory boards and government-owned companies and said a salary increase for public servants would be considered after June if the economy improved, giving rise to expectations of a pay hike towards the middle of the year.

Choksy also said all foreign aid would be channelled through the government, allaying fears that the LTTE would get control of some of the money pledged by donors for north-east reconstruction.

The World bank said earlier this year that it would be the government's responsibility to repay money the bank lent for reconstruction in the northeast areas controlled by the Tigers.

Mieko Nishimizu, World Bank Vice President for South Asia, said during a visit that funds would be disbursed to organisations legally accepted by the government.

"If the LTTE has been accepted as a legal entity by the government, we have no problems with that," she said in an interview.


Media promotes tobacco, alcohol use
Despite government efforts to reduce tobacco and alcohol use by discouraging their promotion in the mass media, a recent survey has found that television commercials still feature tobacco, drugs and alcohol-related visuals that indirectly promote their consumption. The survey by the Alcohol and Drug Information Centre for the Ministry of Health, Nutrition and Welfare has found that 85 percent of advertisements about upcoming TV programmes portray drug, alcohol and tobacco-related scenes.

Kumari Welegedara, the ADIC Programme Officer who did the research for the survey, said that movies and tele-dramas came first and second respectively, in glamorizing smoking, drinking and drug use, and music third.

English songs had the highest number of visuals containing scenes with alcohol, tobacco and drug use, she said in an interview.

Even news programmes and cartoons have content that indirectly promote tobacco, alcohol and drugs, she said.


DC market seen rebounding with end of Gulf war

Tea market recovers
Demand for Ceylon tea is expected to recover at the Colombo auctions this week now that the uncertainty caused by the war that prompted buyers to hold back orders is over, industry officials said.

The industry can also look forward to renewed orders from Iraq itself. Iraq was once one of the biggest buyers of Ceylon tea. Last year Iraq imported over 17 millions kg of Ceylon tea, making it the fourth biggest buyer.

Under the latest round of the UN oil-for-food programme, Sri Lanka won a contract to supply 10 million kg of tea to Iraq.

The worst affected by the Gulf war were small holders producing low growns, which are much in demand in the Middle East, and the private tea factory owners who process their green leaf.

In the last sale of March the auction average for low growns plunged to Rs. 132.84, 24 percent lower than the average for the corresponding sale last year.

Prices of desiccated coconut, whose main export market is in the Middle East, have bottomed out with the end of the US-led war against Iraq and look set to recover.

"The market appears to have stabilised now," said Sunil Watawala, president of the DC Millers Association. "We feel DC prices will go up."

Orders fell sharply earlier this year, bringing down prices, as the uncertainty caused by the war against Iraq prompted Middle Eastern buyers to stop forward purchases and buy only on the spot market.

As much as 80 percent of Sri Lankan DC exports go to the Middle East.

Watawala said he expects buyers to resume forward purchases now that the war had ended.

The market had dipped to around Rs. 70 a kilo around March from Rs. 83 or to $ 770 per metric tonne fob from $ 910.

DC prices are now around Rs. 73-74 a kilo and are expected to go up to Rs. 75-76 a kilo or to $ 825/MT fob.

Local millers must step up production urgently to be able to meet anticipated orders and recapture markets lost last year because of the severe shortfall in the coconut crop caused by drought the year before, Watawala said.

Most of the 63 DC mills had closed because of the shortage of raw material and the crisis caused by the Iraq war, he said.

"In the last four months we've done only 3,500 tonnes," he said. "So at least by the second week of May about 80 - 90 percent of millers have to come into production," Watawala said.

Suresh Silva, managing director of Silvermill Holdings, which concentrates on fancy grades such as toasted chips and chiplets used for breakfast cereals, said they were operating below capacity because of the shortage of nuts.

"In terms of nuts we have the capacity to process 180,000 nuts a day but we're doing only 120,000 nuts a day because of the scarcity of nuts," he said.

"Sri Lankan raw material is 60-80 percent higher than that of our competitors. Hence, making normal grades is not viable. So we concentrate on customized products made according to orders from clients."

Sivermill, which supplies companies like Nestle and Kellogs, operated only three days a week for the whole of 2002 because of the raw material shortage.

Under an agreement with labour unions the company has to give a minimum of three days of work a week.

"The strength of Sri Lankan DC is that we're close to the Middle East and enjoy good freight rates to Europe," Silva said. "Also, our flavour is better than the others due to climatic conditions."

He said it was crucial that Sri Lankan DC prices do not dip below $ 750 per tonne fob if DC millers are to abide by a guarantee they had given the government not to buy raw nuts for less than eight rupees per nut.

Watawala said the Coconut Development Authority and the Plantations Industries Ministry were negotiating with commercial banks to obtain subsidized loans for millers.

"Last year we had a terrible time due to the shortage of raw material and high price of nuts. Millers lost a lot of money," he said. "We managed to export only 28,000 MT whereas we export 60-70,000 MT of DC in a good year."

As a result Sri Lankan exporters lost markets to the Philippines and Indonesia which increased exports to 165,000 MT from 75,000 MT and to 50,000 MT from 35,000 MT respectively.

"We lost most of the Middle East market last year," Watawala said. "The Middle East prefers to buy our DC because it is only five days by ship to Dubai whereas from the Philippines it takes over two weeks."


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