Problems
of savings in Sri Lanka
Where to put your savings
This feature written to coincide with World Thrift Day on
October 31 is appropriate given the recent turbulence in Sri Lanka's
corporate and banking sector with a crisis at Pramuka Bank and criticism
of the accounts of some of Colombo's top listed companies by a semi-government
auditing watchdog.
By Ravi Abeysuriya, CFA
Today, household
savers are facing a multitude of problems. The interest rates on
regular bank saving and fixed deposit accounts have declined. The
cost of living has increased. This has forced them to look elsewhere
in search of higher returns. They have to wade through a plethora
of financial instruments offered by various institutions to find
a suitable investment.
Consequently
savers can be easily duped into putting their hard-earned savings
into various schemes that offer high returns unless they are extremely
cautious of the risks involved. The most susceptible are the poor,
naive professionals and pensioners that are dependent on interest
income to live.
Risks involved
This paper attempts to enhance the basic understanding of the regulatory
oversight in Sri Lanka, some of the risks involved and conclude
with some international experience on investing in timber plantation
companies. When household savers no longer invest in real assets
such as gold and property directly, they have to worry about the
performance of those who act as their agents that undertake real
investments.
Savers must
be concerned about 'adverse selection' (the possibility of putting
your savings in the wrong place because of the difficulty of distinguishing
between low risk and high risk investments) and 'moral hazard' (the
possibility of the management not honouring their commitment once
the money is taken and using the funds for a completely different
purpose because the Management is able to 'tunnel' the funds out
of the company they control).
The best protection
against adverse selection and moral hazard is robust accounting,
financial disclosure and transparency, and an efficient regulatory
and enforcement system. It is therefore imperative that savers are
familiar with the regulatory oversight and the risks relevant to
various investments.
Regulatory
oversight
All institutions al lowed to accept current and savings deposits
(demand deposits) from the public are licensed, regulated and supervised
by the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL). They are licensed commercial
banks and licensed specialised banks.
Supervision
of these institutions is carried out by means of monthly and quarterly
information received and by regular inspections of their books and
directions such as capital adequacy requirements, etc. that encourage
these institutions to act in a prudent manner to give protection
to the depositors. The CBSL also regulates and supervises Registered
Finance Companies that accept fixed deposits from the public.
However, make
no mistake. The CBSL does not guarantee the safety of deposits.
What it does is stipulate a list of 'Do's and Don'ts' to such institutions
and more importantly encourage transparency so that the public can
make its own decisions with regard to the risks of such institutions.
Not regulated
The public can also take some comfort that such regulated institutions
are subject to independent review. In contrast to this there are
other institutions that are not regulated by the CBSL who borrow/mobilize
funds from the public by issuing various financial instruments.
Whilst only
regulated institutions are allowed to mobilise deposits, unregulated
institutions get around this by offering other financial instruments,
which are essentially de facto deposits.
Unfortunately,
it is hard for an average saver to distinguish between deposits
and other financial instruments that pay a fixed interest. This
should be clearly understood, when evaluating various investment
options.
All companies
that have their equity or debt listed in the Colombo Stock Exchange
(CSE) are regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission of
Sri Lanka (SEC).
The SEC attempts
to protect the interests of investors by way of disclosure based
regulation. The SEC and CSE ensure that these institutions publish
a prospectus when soliciting public funds and require filing of
quarterly and annual accounts that meet established laws and regulations
such as accounting standards and corporate governance practices
to ensure that the investors are adequately informed of the activities
of the institutions.
What this means
in plain language, is that the regulatory emphasis is to ensure
adequate, fair and timely disclosure to the public and only if there
is non-disclosure or lack of disclosure that the regulator will
intervene. It is therefore up to the investors and their advisors
to carefully appraise such disclosures (i.e. prospectuses, quarterly
and annual reports and other CSE announcements) and take appropriate
action, before investing, and while invested, to protect their money.
All other private
companies other than those already described (i.e. licensed commercial
and specialised banks, registered finance companies and listed companies
of the CSE) are only registered with the Registrar of Companies.
The Registrar of Companies encourages adherence to the filing and
registration requirements of the Companies Act and occasionally
bring non-compliant companies to Court.
Obviously, having
a company registration number or filing of annual returns (financial
statements and shareholder information) with the Registrar of Companies
does not protect savers' money. There is no public financial disclosure
and transparency and nobody reviews the financial condition or monitor
how private companies utilise monies invested. Perhaps, the only
remedy for investors who have lost money by investing in a private
company could be to take the company to Court to exercise their
rights.
Recognise
risks
It's time savers learn the concept 'Caveat Emptor' - let the buyer
beware. If you put your hard earned savings in an entity and lost
money because you failed to find out what the risks are, you have
to blame no one but yourself.
Just because
an institution is duly incorporated under the Companies Act and
display the Company Registration number, or have other government
approvals such as BOI approval or is listed in the CSE or have the
word 'Bank' or 'Finance' in its name does not provide much of a
protection to your money.
It is also unwise
to think, when you see prominent advertisements in the media (TV,
newspaper, radio) that the institution concerned has the required
authority and approvals to solicit public funds.
Although the
CBSL seeks to achieve safety and soundness of the institutions regulated,
it does not guarantee the deposits with the institutions regulated,
and their performance depend largely on the management of the respective
institutions. Therefore, it is the responsibility of savers to exercise
due care and vigilance when placing savings with various institutions
and financial instruments.
Reliable
information
Financial statements are an indispensable source of information
about institution's financial health and its prospects for the future.
Savers should learn to make use of the information they contain
as a report card of management's performance and accountability
and as an early indicator of the institution's future success or
potential failure.
That is why
the regulators such as the CBSL and SEC require the institutions
under their supervision to publish financial statements. However,
users of financial statements must have assurance that the information
is reliable and credible. The report of the Sri Lanka Accounting
and Auditing Standards Monitoring Board (SLAASMB) released on Oct
25, 2002, highlight some of the issues and the names of the companies
whose accounts it found as irregular.
Regrettably,
until financial reporting is in plain language and standards are
developed for the benefit of investors, the primary users of financial
statements, instead of for the benefit of issuers, enabling management
to manipulate earnings and hide liabilities and losses, investors
will be disadvantaged.
Therefore, it
is always sensible to make use of independent analyst recommendations
and credit ratings from recognised third party advisory services
to find out the risk of investing in a particular institution or
a financial instrument.
Ratings watch
The Central Bank promoted Fitch Ratings Lanka (FRL), a joint venture
with an internationally accredited rating agency to provide credit
ratings in Sri Lanka.
A credit rating reflects a carefully formed independent assessment
of the ability to service the promised interest and principal obligations
on a timely basis by an entity or fixed income instrument.
The opinion
of the agency is published in the news media for the benefit of
the public. Credit ratings are not guarantees against loss. Neither
are they recommendations to buy, sell or hold securities, which
have to be based on many other market and investor-specific considerations.
They are simply
opinions about relative measures of default risk. In a number of
countries, ratings are mandatory for entities and financial instruments
that solicit public funds.
In Sri Lanka,
even though, FRL has assigned over 20 ratings, only the following
ratings have been voluntarily published by the respective entities.
Entity Ratings: Commercial Bank of Ceylon (SL AA+), John Keells
Holdings (SL AA+), Hayleys (SL AA+), Bank of Ceylon (SL AA-), Hatton
National Bank (SL A), Senkadagala Finance Company (SL BBB); Instrument
Ratings: Sri Lanka Telecom Debentures (SL AA+), Aitken Spence Debentures
(SL AA) and Singer (Sri Lanka) Debentures (SL A).
Timber plantation
companies
Many industry ana lysts have marvelled at the phenomenal growth
in the number of timber plantations in various parts of the world.
There is no doubt that timber plantations are viable.
One can certainly
grow the timber, sell the timber, and there is a growing market
for it. They also save rain forests and are environmentally friendly.
But as with any investment/project, there are risks.
Unscrupulous
promoters in several countries have been touting bogus ventures,
promising impossibly high returns. There have been instances where
most of the money went to management fees, and less, went to acquiring
the land and putting the trees in.
Indian saga
In India, plantation companies had reportedly collected over Rs.
25 billion from investors between 1995-1998. Subsequent to the regulator,
the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) imposing tough
guidelines four years ago a majority of plantation companies found
that their free ride is over. Many fly-by-night operators that floated
plantation companies had vanished with the investors' money.
SEBI guidelines
include mandatory credit rating, minimum capital requirements and
prohibition of diversion of funds to businesses other than the one
for which the money was raised, which had been many a time a cause
for failure (Source: Indian Express).
In Australia,
two high profile companies that control tens of thousands of hectares
of timber plantations are struggling with financial problems; a
number of other ventures are barely staying afloat. One of Australia's
biggest plantation companies, Australian Plantation Timber Ltd.
(APT) that was listed in Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) went into
receivership. APT owned 45,000 hectares of land and managed 22,000
hectares of plantation timber and investments of $650 million.
Commonwealth
Bank sent APT into receivership, by refusing to extend a $50 million
loan facility. Investment experts say, 'even the listed companies
had taken out as fees and expenses somewhere between 45% and 55%
of the investments. there's no industry in the world where if you
took out up to half of the investments you could expect to have
a viable business'.
The Australian
Securities and Investment Commission is looking into regulating
the industry (Source: Australian Broadcasting Corporation). It is
timely, regulators in Sri Lanka as well, consider regulatory oversight
of this industry as once the confidence of the investors is lost
due to a handful of greedy people who make millions at the investors'
expense, the industry itself would be lost.
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