Lacking in transparency
The euphoria is over. The honeymoon has ended. More than a year after a United National Party-led coalition won parliamentary polls, the chinks are showing in the armour of the ruling party.

Corruption is creeping in; inaction on the economic front is shown by rising concerns among consumers over the cost of living which the opposition is gleefully watching - and hoping to exploit - while the privatization programme seems to have gone awry. The promised transparency in government business has turned out to be just a dream.

The worst development is the violation of state tender procedures with contracts going into the hands of favourites of the ruling party. The latest tender to stir a hornet's nest is a tender by the Agriculture Ministry for storage systems. Even before the tender closed on February 5, there were indications that the contract would be given to an Israeli company.

However sincere a government-in-waiting wants to be, it works in reverse gear when in power. Somehow, political friends and party affiliates have to be looked after. This is not only the general perception of the public, whether it's the PA or the UNP which is in power but it is the plain truth.

Questions about tenders are being raised over the bus privatization, a rice deal (in which Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe has himself ordered an investigation), power projects (spilling over from the last regime), the Colombo-Katunayake highway, Sathosa privatization, the Indian credit line and so on. Nothing has changed. It was the same then, it is the same now.

Public concern is understandable because transparency is seriously lacking in government business. In the first place important government officials are not accessible to the media. There are also various high profile consultants in the government doing no one knows what and earning high salaries which come from taxes paid by the public.

On the other hand the cabinet is getting bloated by the day. Prof S.T. Hettige, the well-known Sri Lankan sociologist, in an interesting article on the number of ministers in the government which appeared in a local newspaper, says that any sensible citizen would agree that what Sri Lanka needs is just 15 ministers who are experienced, knowledgeable and efficient, and 15 deputies. The government only wakes up when there is a political crisis like the cost of living issue. Current moves to appoint various committees to look at relief measures like a wage hike have been triggered by worries of an intensive opposition campaign on the cost of living; not because consumers are complaining. The bus privatization has raised many questions, one of which is why IBIS has been given many extensions to pay the first instalment.

The same question is doing the rounds in the petroleum industry about the IOC deal, a charge the IOC representative here has denied. In the IOC case, it may be that the first payment is made when IOC physically takes over the fuel stations. But again there are concerns of a lack of transparency in this deal. Concerns have been raised in the business community on reports that the Police Department plans to import vehicles under the Indian credit line without calling for tenders. It is however unfortunate that the business community which has pushed for good governance and transparency in the past few years cannot effectively play that role now, when it is being accused of corruption and lack of transparency, as the SEC fiasco has shown.

Two weeks ago, Chandra Jayaratne, a former head of the Ceylon Chamber of Commerce, slammed the business community as corrupt, unethical and not transparent. "If the business community needs to rebuild public trust, they've got to be responsible to the society as a whole, and must adopt and employ independent analysis and accept media reviews of their conduct," he was quoted as saying at a public seminar.

The media appears to be the last line of defence to the public. But will the government listen when the public complains through the media, or react only when the opposition is gaining ground?


Repositioning latex crepe in US, EU markets
By Dr. L.M.K. Tillekaratne,
Director, Rubber Research Institute
The time has come to promote and advertise new grades of latex crepe rubber developed and standardized according to customer requirements in Europe and USA to regain the demand we had for them before 1969. Meanwhile, traditional crepe marketing will be continued to cater to the end-users who prefer crepes in the traditional form. Extra rubber planned to be produced in the future in non-traditional areas like Moneragala will be used for the fast growing rubber products industry of Sri Lanka.

The latex crepe industry in Sri Lanka was initiated as far back as the mid-1930s. Both Malaysia and Sri Lanka produced latex crepe to cater to markets in Europe, USA and Japan. There had been extensive promotion of these grades of rubber in world markets by Malaysia until 1969, when Malaysia was producing nearly 40,000 MT of this premium grade of rubber annually compared to nearly 20,000 MT produced in Sri Lanka. Thanks to the very extensive market promotion done by Malaysia for this premium commodity, the price paid for white latex crepe until 1969 was over double the price of RSS No.1; while sole crepe was enjoying a premium price over the normal white crepes. Even now, Malaysian Rubber Producers Research association extensively promotes the rubbers produced in Malaysia in the UK and in Europe, while in the United States there are four stations in different States to propagate their raw rubber and rubber products.

Latex crepe being a hand-made, very high quality grade of natural rubber (NR), was known as the Rolls-Royce of rubber and was paid such high premium prices because it is the purest form of NR produced for food and pharmaceutical applications and in the adhesive industry. At present the demand for latex crepe rubber is growing while the price paid for the same is extremely attractive as predicted by the RRI in year 2001.

Owing to the very high labour scarcity and cost in Malaysia and also due to the very large and fast growing rubber industry in Malaysia, in 1969 they reluctantly decided to do away with the manufacture of this labour intensive grade of NR; even though the price paid for it was very attractive.

In 1969 Malaysia launched the "Technically Specified Block Rubber" (TSR) scheme. TSR rubber is made by a semi-automatic process. Hence the labour requirement for manufacture is minimal and vast quantities can be processed in factories. Even the time taken for the manufacture of TSR grades of rubber is only about 5-6 hours compared to nearly four days or more taken for crepe and RSS manufacture.

In TSR producing countries fuel and electricity is available at cheap rates and hence that is another attraction for them to increase TSR production deviating from crepe production while in Sri Lanka where power and fuel are costly and the labour is still cheap compared to south East Asian countries, the preferred forms of NR are latex crepe and sheet rubber.

The availability of skilled factory personnel and estate managers who are able to continue with the production of this premium grade of rubber is another factor in favour of continued crepe manufacture Sri Lanka.

However, Sri Lanka has miserably failed since 1969 to occupy the vacuum created in crepe manufacture by Malaysia when the NR production in the country was over 125,000 MT. It also did not promote this superior grade of rubber in the world market until about the mid-1980s when RRI jointly with the Planters' Association and the Colombo Rubber Traders' Association started campaigning to regain the market for these rubbers which faced a sharp decline in price and demand. But so far there has been only a little success in that process compared to the situation before 1969. Since 1969, there have been many instances where latex crepe No. 1 was sold below the RSS No.1 price.

Poor or no feed-back from the consumers masked by the middlemen was another reason for this declining demand and price for the commodity. Representations made by the Ministry, the Colombo Rubber Traders' Association and the Planters' Association did not improve the situation vastly. The market for this rubber in the adhesive industry has been lost completely.

In the TSR scheme launched in 1969 there was a grade called TSR EQ which is much whiter in colour than the other grades of TSR rubber, introduced purely to compete with crepe. But high foreign matter content up to 0.05 percent by weight was the main snag for this grade of rubber to be used in food and pharmaceutical products. Hence, in 1989 the TSR scheme in S.E. Asian countries was revised and, instead of EQ, a new grade called TSR L was introduced with the foreign matter (dirt) content below 0.03 percent, while the colour specification was more lenient than in the EQ grade. This grade, owing to its consistency in quality almost fully grabbed the adhesive industry market, replacing crepe.

The main factor that influenced the adhesive/adhesive tape industry at that time was the inconsistency in quality of the latex crepe No.1X and No. 1 grades which are graded purely visually. There were two types of crepe rubber qualifying to be grades as No. 1.

a.Fractioned and bleached (FB) rubber.

b.Unfractioned and bleached rubber (UFB)

FB grade being a grade produced by removing a high percentage of non-rubber present in NR latex is almost completely soluble in solvents while it is free from dirt matter or toxic chemicals. Hence, FB crepe is the grade suitable for the adhesive industry. UFB grade, on the other hand, does not completely dissolve in solvents to make adhesives and produces a gel which clogs transportation channels of the rubber solution. However, as the visual grade does not indicate this drawback, the consumers who repeatedly face these problems ultimately gave up the use of this commodity in the adhesive industry.

Mould contamination of lace crepe (the thinnest form of crepe rubber designed to ease drying) caused by incompletely dried rubber and the rubber stored in humid atmosphere was also a major drawback of crepe rubber. In the case of sole crepe, mainly the good quality dry sole crepe sheets packed in wet Albesia boxes created the mould problem thereby lowering the demand for sole crepe.

However, action taken by RRI jointly with the PA helped to minimize these complaints to a great extent. RRI jointly with the PA imposed the following guidelines:

a. latex crepe IX must be produced out of fraction removed and bleached latex.

b. all laces graded as IX should be dried in a hot air drying tower.

c. sole crepe must be packed only in corrugated cardboard boxes and not in Albesia boxes containing high moisture levels.

These guidelines helped producers of latex crepe, including sole crepe, to eliminate most of the problems faced during trade. But when the rubber prices were down, in order to lower the cost of production, some companies deviated from these rules and started central processing of rubber in a large factory by collecting latex from many divisions; some situated far away.

This central processing caused many problems thereby affecting the reputation of crepe rubber in a big way. In some of the places where the central processing was done, there were no adequate milling facilities and there were instances where the partly milled rubber mats had to be kept till the next day for milling, thereby offsetting the pure white colour. In some other places there were no adequate drying tower facilities and hence the laces were dried in lofts thereby creating mould problems and even discolouration caused by slow drying. In some places there was no adequate water supply for processing huge quantities of rubber collected from several divisions.

Since the beginning of containerisation of crepe rubber, there was another new complaint for latex crepe rubber called "storage softening". RRI identified the cause of this defect as "peptization" caused by the residual bleaching chemical present in the crepe lace which ultimately softens during transportation in metal containers where the temperature is higher than the ambient.

However, with the introduction of the water soluble bleaching agent by the RRI, the problem was completely eliminated, because the ionic water soluble bleaching agent does not adhere to non-polar rubber chains to cause peptization during transit under temperate conditions.

Even after these improvements introduced during processing of crepe rubber some consumers of crepe rubber wanted to standardize latex crepe too, giving specifications like such as TSR. But latex crepe, being a very high quality premium grade of rubber produced for specific end-users, should not be graded as ordinary TSR to enjoy the price of TSR grades with a small premium. Instead, RRI jointly with SLSI, PA, producers, brokers and shippers of rubber formulated a scheme specifying some special and important parameters of crepe rubber according to the need of the specific end-users. The efforts taken by The Competitiveness Initiative with the support from Kipp Tobin should be appreciated at this juncture.

The manufacturers of latex crepe should also cooperate with the RRI and the Rubber Cluster to achieve the objective of regaining the demand we had for latex crepe and sole crepe before 1969.


Banks bound to fail in risky business
By Dinesha Matthias
Eminent economist and central banker, Professor Charles Goodhart, was in Colombo on the invitation of the Central Bank to deliver a series of lectures on monetary economics and central banking to the bank's senior staff. For 17 years he was a monetary economist at the Bank of England, becoming its chief advisor in 1980. He was at the London School of Economics in 1985-2002 where he helped found the Financial Markets Group, a research outfit where he still works. Goodhart was also one of the four independent members appointed in 1997 to the newly formed Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England. Professor Goodhart spoke of the role of the regulators and the banking sector in an interview with The Sunday Times FT:

What were the issues you addressed in your lectures to the Central Bank officials?

In my lectures at the Banking Studies Division of Central Bank, I had lectures on the new capital adequacy requirements; that is the Basel Capital Accord, with which the central banks and commercial banks all around the world would have to comply by 2006.

There was Basel I in 1988, which had problems in implementation. Under this new accord, Basel II, banks would have to adjust their capital base. This would apply to banks worldwide and would give supervisors and markets more power.

What are your views on the changing role of regulators? The public tends to think de-regulation means removing the regulator?

De- regulation means getting rid of the direct control on what financial intermediaries can do and what assets they can hold. Deregulation around the world has led to increase competition and greater risk. Enhanced regulation requires the financial regulator to be more aware of the vulnerability of the individual banks and try and restrain banks from taking undesirable risky positions. Regulators cannot prevent banks from making bad judgements. Some banks will always make some bad judgements and some banks will always fail. The role of the Central Bank is to be aware of the financial position of banks and impose greater constraints on the banks that are excessively risky.

How do you regard the professionalism of the regulating authorities especially the Central Bank?

The level of professionalism is fairly good. With increased regulation, central banks need a great deal of professional ability and a variety of professional abilities. They need professionals in economic, accounting, business and law.

How do you assess the banking collapse Sri Lanka just experienced?

I only know what I've read in the papers. Banks fail in every country. The Pramuka collapse is a relatively small collapse compared to banking collapses in Britain, like the Fringe Bank crisis of 1973 and 1974, and the BCCI bank collapse. There have been banking collapses in the US, France and various other countries. There are very few countries, which have not had an individual bank collapsing. Banks are bound to fail from time to time as they are in a risky business. They will make bad judgements. The important thing is that the Central Bank should ensure the whole financial system remains stable. In a competitive system banks will fail occasionally, just like in any other business. Business is always risky. If you don't take risks business wouldn't make profits.

Central banks perform on-site and off-site supervision of banks. Can the Central Bank advice a bank's board of management of the decisions to be made?

A financial regulator is in a difficult position. The Central Bank cannot warn the public. If they do so the whole financial system could collapse. The only think the financial regulator could do is to give a private internal warning. In the US, the Federal Depositors Insurance Corporations Act specifies a ladder of responsibility to the financial regulator as a commercial bank's capital base erodes. Requirements depend on the capital adequacy requirements and capital base of the bank. Understanding the capital base depends on getting very accurate data. This then raises the need for good accounting. It is important to ensure that accountants are sufficiently independent and the bank has good corporate governance.

It is said that for the financial regulator to help a commercial bank in difficulty the commercial bank needs to possess government securities?

The Central Bank is like any other bank. It has its own deposits and loans. When a commercial bank possesses government securities the Central Bank can lend with a degree of safety and help the bank in its short-term liquidity needs without exposing its own position to considerable risk.

Liquid assets provide income and it assures the commercial bank that, when needed, it can get money from the government by using the securities. Central banks should make such loans when necessary because the collateral is good. By making loans to commercial banks without security central banks can put at risk their own money as well as that of the taxpayers. There may be cases where this is desirable. But to do so central banks needs more information, and then perform full on-site inspection and assess the financial position. This process is time consuming. Therefore by having liquid assets central banks could help commercial banks in difficulty during a short period of time.

Today there are institutions offering deposits at very high interest rates. The Central Bank has come under much criticism for this situation. Is it justifiable?

If institutions are offering such high interest rates they are either engaged in a much riskier business or that is an indication that its an illegal scam where there is no repayment of the deposits. The public cannot blame the financial regulators. They ought to know better and be well informed. If a financial regulator informs the public it leads to moral hazards.

There is criticism about the mismatch between loans and deposits of commercial banks - that is lending long term with short-term deposits. Can central banks control this?

This is risk taking. This is not specific to Sri Lanka. It is common all over the world. What the regulator could do is to ensure that risks are not excessive and banks are within the required capital base requirements. The Basel Accord requires the capital base of a commercial bank to be well over the risk of its overall asset portfolio.

In Sri Lanka, the Central bank has cut interest rates, but commercial banks have not yet reduced their lending rates?

This is a problem of competition. Lending rates and margins depend on the competition. Competition ought to ensure banks don't charge excessive monopolistic rates and fees. But we've also got to remember when comparing the interest rates on deposits and loans, there is a risk premium associated with the loans.

During the last year, most commercial banks here made good profits. How do you assess this situation?

In Sri Lanka, with a bank collapse if other banks are doing well it is a sign that the banks are stable and well financed with high capital. The second point is how would one assess whether the profits are excessive.


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