Migrant workers to rebuild Iraq?

By Feizal Samath
Migrant workers from Asia may help rebuild Iraq if a proposal by the Philippines, presented at a Colombo meeting of Asian labour ministers last week, is accepted.

Jose S. Brillantes, Undersecretary at the Department of Foreign Affairs in the Philippines, suggested that labour-sending countries should come together and ensure that their workers benefit from the opportunities that would emerge in post-war Iraq.

But local NGOs dealing with migrant workers were horrified by the suggestion. "Are we also going to share the spoils of war like the Americans? We should not be seen benefiting over a tragedy (even it means more jobs for our workers). What I would have expected the ministers to do is to at least issue an appeal to stop the war," a senior official from one of these groups said.

At the meeting, Brunson McKinley, Director General of the International Organisation for Migration (IOM), immediately backed the proposal saying migrant workers would have an important role to play in the rebuilding and reconstruction phase. "We will (seriously) look at this proposal."

McKinley, who took the opportunity to list steps being taken to protect stranded migrants in Iraq, however, said that not many foreign workers wanted to leave the battered country. "Not many of your nationals want to go home," he told ministers and officials from 10 countries at Wednesday's meeting. He said IOM had helped to send home some 2,000 mostly African workers from the borders that Iran, Jordan and Syria share with Iraq.

Local officials said that all the Sri Lankans in Iraq have left the country including a woman who is married to an Iraqi national. "She did not want to leave earlier because of her husband but she has now left," said an official at the Foreign Employment Bureau.

Employment agencies here welcomed the Philippines proposal for migrant workers to be part of Iraqi's reconstruction effort. Suraj Dandeniya, President of the Association of Licensed Foreign Employment Agencies (ALFEA) said Sri Lanka was part of the development of Iraq in the late 1970s to mid-1980s with engineers, drivers and construction workers being among the 15,000 to 20,000 Sri Lankans working there.

"We lost control of that market thereafter. It's a good opportunity for us to get back in and it would be good if Sri Lanka supports the Philippine proposal," he said.

Ministers and officials from Bangladesh, China, India, Indonesia, Nepal, Pakistan, the Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam and Sri Lanka met under an initiative by Labour Minister Mahinda Samarasinghe and the IOM to discuss common issues and come up with practical suggestions for cooperation and to manage the migrant worker industry. It was the first ever meeting of its kind in Asia.

The ministers, in a declaration at the end of the one-day session, agreed that countries - in their individual capacity - would also look at mechanisms to promote and provide a kind of preferred country status on receiving states that follow best practices in the employment of migrant workers.

Most of the country presentations dealt with problems faced by migrant workers like non-payment of wages, poor working conditions and sudden loss of jobs while little was discussed about the issue of harassment of mainly female workers which is a serious issue often raised by rights groups and migrant worker associations.

Minister Samarasinghe said among new welfare measures being provided to migrant workers from May 1 is a special identification card in the form of a chip carrying personal details that would help them in case migrants lost their passports overseas or faced other problems.

A special uniform was also being provided to migrants.

Gulf war shocks intensify

The economic shocks of the war against Iraq intensified last week as prices of low grown teas dipped further at the Colombo auction although there were less unsold lots, and the tourism industry said new bookings had fallen sharply.

The government moved to support the tea industry seeking US backing to supply Ceylon tea to post-war Iraq and talking with the World Bank about how to help workers in tea small holdings whose income has dropped sharply because of lower demand.

"The auction was better than the previous week with much fewer teas unsold but prices dropped further - by about 3-5 rupees across the board," said Lalith Ramanayake of brokers John Keells Ltd. "

However, most teas were saleable."

The sale average for low grown teas, which make up more than half of Sri Lanka's crop, had plunged to Rs. 132.84 per kg at the March 25-26 auction from Rs. 144.84 the week before.

Over 60 percent of Sri Lanka’s output goes to Middle Eastern markets from where demand has dropped sharply owing to the uncertainty caused by the war against Iraq.

Most Sri Lankan low grown teas are bought by the Middle East and the Commonwealth of Independent States. Dhammika Wedanda of Asia Siyaka Commodities said that buyers were attracted by the lower prices.

Given the crisis caused by the Iraq war, he said it was more important to sell the teas, even at lower prices.

“There was more demand than last week for most types of teas at slightly lower levels,” he said. “There seems to be some kind of improvement in Middle Eastern demand but it is not where it should be.”

John Keells said in a report that the industry usually relies on Middle Eastern buyers to make the bulk of the purchases at this time of year as Russia and other CIS states reduce their buying with the approach of summer.

Niraj de Mel, CEO of the Tea Association of Sri Lanka, said there was more interest in low growns as buyers in consumer markets in the Middle East would have found other routes to ship the tea despite the closure of certain borders.

A pending order from Iraq could not be fulfilled because letters of credit did not come in time before the war broke out, he said.

Plantations Industry Minister Lakshman Kiriella held talks with US Ambassador Ashley Wills last week seeking American help in resuming shipments of tea to Iraq.
Government officials said Sri Lanka is trying to get support to send tea to Iraq possibly under the United Nations oil-for-food programme once the war is over.

Sri Lanka won a contract to supply 10 million kg to Iraq under the 13th phase of the programme.

Iraq was once one of the biggest markets for Ceylon tea and last year imported over 17 millions kilos.

Harsha Aturupane, a senior economist at the World Bank, said development agencies including the World Bank have been discussing with the government the impact of declining tea revenues, which might lead to workers in small holdings falling below the poverty line.

Robert Holzman, director of the World Bank’s Social Protection Network, said the impact of the Gulf war on poorer social groups in the world have been under discussion for the past year and that they were looking at various strategies on how to tackle the problem.

Tourist Hotels Association president Kumar Mallimarachchi said there had been a marked drop in new bookings.

“New bookings aren’t coming - only repeaters who know there are no problems here are ready to come,” he said. Of the existing bookings over 95 percent had arrived. Wasantha Leelananda, managing director of Walkers Tours and Travels, said potential visitors had adopted a wait-and-see approach, which he said “has a significant impact for the summer season.” New bookings were “very slow in coming” but there had been “not that many cancellations,” he said.

“Air routes to Colombo have not been badly impacted because we can bypass the war zone,” he said. “Also, we’re now a peaceful destination.”

But he said there was a need to promote the island more vigorously in new markets such as India.

Ceylon Biscuits in Rs. 700m expansion project

By Thushara Matthias
Ceylon Biscuits Ltd, manufacturers of Munchee, is expanding its production line at a cost of Rs. 700 million and plans to make a new bakery product that it will introduce to the domestic and export market by the end of this year.

The company has set up a fully owned subsidiary, CBL Foods International (Pvt) Ltd, in Ranala, that will employ about 150 people to make the new product as well as other products under its market expansion project, Ceylon Biscuits managing director Lakshman de Silva said. He declined to immediately identify the new product.The company has always been a forward looking one that took advantage of the incentives offered by the Board of Investment to expand its range of products and generate more employment while helping to modernize the island's industrial base, he said.

The company at the initial stage hopes to concentrate on the domestic market and later on venture into exports.

"We are confident this will be successful overseas as the equipment is capable of manufacturing sophisticated products catering to the foreign market as well as products suitable for the Sri Lankan palate," de Silva said.

"The products manufactured for the Sri Lankan market will be targeted at the mass market hence emphasis will be placed on manufacturing a very hygienic product at an affordable price."

Among Ceylon Biscuits' export markets are Oman, UAE, USA, Canada, Australia, Fiji, United Kingdom and China.

Depositors badger bank officials

Desperate depositors of Pramuka Bank have said they have begun bombarding Central Bank officials with telephone calls to find out the fate of their money, sometimes even calling them at home.

A number of depositors interviewed by the Sunday Times FT said they resorted to this tactic as they were uncertain how long they would have to wait to get their money back and were worried by the delays in the efforts to revive the bank.

Central Bank officials were not immediately contactable for comments about the barrage of telephone calls.

Meanwhile Pramuka Bank directors rejected calls by the Pramuka Depositors' Association and the Stakeholders' Association to resign during a meeting with some of the directors including the chairman, Udaya Nanayakkara, in Nanayakkara's residence.

Depositors want the directors to resign to facilitate the Janashakthi Capital Ltd offer to restructure Pramuka.

They have filed several court cases challenging the cancellation of the Pramuka licence by the Central Bank and its proposed liquidation.

The validity of the recent amendment to the Monetary Act - relating to the Pramuka issue - is also being challenged by the Centre for Policy Alternatives in the Supreme Court as the new provisions stated in Section 30 (10) to the Monetary Act were placed in the order paper of Parliament without being gazetted.

A spokeswomen for CPA told The Sunday Times FT that the amendment has already been passed in parliament and now is law.

The Central Bank, in its statement of objections in the Court of Appeal in answer to the petition of the depositors, indicated that following the suspension of operations of Pramuka, the Central Bank has found the condition of Pramuka to be much more serious than earlier envisaged.

Former chairman of Pramuka Rohan Perera unlawfully helped himself to a large sum of money from his own account at the bank just as a suspension order had been served on Pramuka, it said.

The independent auditors, Ernst and Young, has reported that Pramuka's accumulated losses were so great that to sustain its operation in the short run it would need additional capital of Rs. 1.3 billion.

Banks in bad shape, broker's report says

Behind the stunning profits reported by the big commercial banks in the last financial year lie a host of hidden problems that has made the banking sector in "dire need" of reform, a report by a stock broker has said.

Many banks suffer from weak asset quality and low operational efficiency, while overstaffing meant layoffs were in the offing and new capital adequacy requirements threaten the survival of smaller unlisted commercial banks, DFCC Stockbrokers said.

Margins are expected to come under pressure this year because of improved liquidity - a result of reduced government borrowing and an increase in customer deposits.

Cuts in benchmark rates and lower government borrowing are expected to drive interest rates lower.

However, the report said, the pressure on earnings owing to lower margins can be offset by higher credit growth and an increase in fee-based income.

It pointed out that the economic recovery, proposed infrastructure projects and the resumption of economic activity in the north and east following the ceasefire is likely to improve credit growth.

But, the DFCC Stockbrokers' report said, "drastic cost cutting initiatives" are required to improve the operational efficiency of commercial banks.

"Currently, high cost-to-income ratios of banks are sustained by the high margins maintained on lending. However, this is unlikely to be maintained in the prevailing low interest rate scenario and cost reduction initiatives including automation and staff reductions are a dire need."

Equity investors are likely to place a "significant premium" on balance sheet quality and shift their focus to asset quality from reported earnings, the report said.

Investors should expect banks to report higher levels of provisioning for bad loans in the current financial year in order to improve their cover. The mandatory credit rating requirement imposed on banks will force them to improve provisioning as they strive to get favourable credit ratings.

"The efficiency level of the listed banks as measured by the cost to income ratio lags far behind regional norms and the levels reported by foreign banks operating in Sri Lanka," the report said.

However, one exception was the Commercial Bank, which it said operates at regionally comparable levels.

Other banks suffer from excess staffing, pension funding, low automation levels and poor cost optimising operational strategies.

“We believe that there is significant room for efficiency improvements in listed banks through pruning low-volume retail clientele that contribute to high personnel costs and increased automation of both back office and delivery channels,” DFCC Stockbrokers said.

“The low efficiency level in the local banking sector is an integral cause for the low ROA (return on assets) in the sector.” DFCC Stockbrokers also forecast a wave of mergers among banks. “We believe that the current banking sector is too fragmented to achieve the economies of scale that will lower the industry cost-to-income ratio and become comparable with the more efficient regional banks.

“It is evident that the Central Bank is keen to see a high level of consolidation in the sector by a possible increase in minimum share capital requirement for commercial banks which presently stands at Rs. 500 million. This is expected to set off a wave of consolidation with smaller banks merging with highly capitalised larger banks to meet the share capital requirement.”

With the increase in the capital adequacy requirement to 10 percent from 2003 (inclusive of FCBU), the brokers said they expect the survival of the small, unlisted commercial banks, which are saddled with high bad loan portfolios, to be threatened.

The proposed consolidation of unlisted commercial banks, Union Bank with Sampath and NSB, may be the forerunner to several more such consolidations.

There were 25 licensed commercial banks - 11 domestic and 14 foreign bank branches - operating in the island as at end-2001.

The report said 2002 was “an exceptional year” for the big four banks - Commercial Bank, HNB, Seylan and Sampath - who were able to boost interest margins because of the time lag between cuts in deposit rates and lending rates. Interest rates on deposits were reduced immediately after a benchmark rate cut while lending rates were maintained until banks were compelled to reduce them because of competition.

It warned that the 10 percent Value Added Tax on banks and financial institutions is likely to reduce earnings growth in the sector.

The report also described as “potential time bombs” the pensions schemes of large banks that could explode unless urgent action is taken to contain future funding requirements.

 


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