Tigers talking big from position of strength
Six
rounds of peace talks with the Sri Lanka Government have been a
waste of time…… However, the Liberation Tigers of Tamil
Eelam will not return to war since they are committed to peace (despite
the boycott of the peace talks since April 21)….. We will
take part in the Tokyo aid donor meeting only if the Sri Lanka Government’s
response to our suggestions is concrete, trustworthy, honest and
not based on verbal pledges for an interim administration for north-eastern
province.
We are not least concerned about the snags and problems of Sri Lanka's
constitution. The Sri Lankan government should think and take concrete
steps to go beyond the parameters of the constitution to resolve
the interim administration issue….
That in essence
is what LTTE Political Wing leader, S.P. Thamilselvan, told a crowded,
hour long news conference last Thursday from the newly constructed
Peace Secretariat building in Kilinochchi.
The event,
originally scheduled for Wednesday, was put off for the next day
to allow time to make public a five-page letter guerrilla Chief
Negotiator, Anton Balasingham, wrote to Norwegian Deputy Foreign
Minister, Vidar Helgesen. This was in direct response to three specific
proposals he (Mr Helgesen) had placed before the LTTE on behalf
of the UNF Government. That was during talks with Mr. Thamilselvan
in Kilinochchi on May 17.
The specific
proposals were Government's answer to demands made by LTTE leader,
Velupillai Prabhakaran, to "establish an interim administrative
structure with adequate powers to undertake North-eastern re-construction
and development activities." He placed them before Norwegian
Foreign Minister Jan Peterson during talks in Wanni, barely a week
before Mr. Helgessen went there.
The UNF Government
proposals were spelt out in three separate documents - a Draft Agreement
(between the GOSL and LTTE), an informal paper on "Elements
of a Strengthened and Expanded Mechanism for Reconstruction and
Development of the North and East," and a letter suggesting
the use of locally elected bodies as a basis for development activities.
The LTTE has rejected all three and placed the tough new demands,
almost impossible for any Government to deliver.
With the aid
donor meeting only two weeks away, the Government is doing its utmost
to come up with a solution acceptable to the LTTE. UNF leaders have
been locked in consultation with Colombo-based diplomats of the
donor community, among other matters, to sound out their views on
how best funds committed by them should be spent. They have been
asked to spell out some modalities. Minister Milinda Moragoda flies
next week to Tokyo to assure the Japanese Government that everything
is being done to resolve the imbroglio.
Critics, commentators,
academics, analysts and the like will no doubt focus more detailed
attention this week to this first major crisis on the peace front
for the UNF Government since the Ceasefire Agreement of February
22, 2002. If such a crisis revolves around an all powerful "interim
administrative set up" for the LTTE and hinges on the upcoming
aid donor meeting in Tokyo, there are equally bigger hurdles for
the Government to clear when it comes to another all important question
- the resumption of peace talks.
At least two
contentious issues remain to be sorted out - the LTTE demands for
troop withdrawals from High Security Zones (HSZ) and the Sri Lanka
Monitoring Mission's (SLMM) highly controversial proposals to carve
out live firing and training areas in the country's territorial
waters for use by Sea Tigers. Even if the Government paves the way
for the LTTE to the donor meeting in Tokyo, the gigantic task of
clearing the hurdles to please them to return to peace talks still
remains.
During the
stalemate that has now set in, many will undoubtedly take comfort
in the LTTE assurance that they will not return to war. Whether
that will include those responsible for the country's defence establishment
in the UNF Government remains a pertinent question. The reason?
Soon after the ceasefire 15 months ago, believe it or not, they
had wrongly assumed that a peace settlement had already been reached.
Or so it seemed. Hence they embarked on security planning for a
"post peace settlement" era. This is whilst their former
arch rival, the Tiger guerrillas engaged themselves in a planned
strengthening of their military machine.
First
to the guerrillas
Why is the LTTE in a position to assure it will not resort to war?
Why is such an assurance being taken so seriously and given much
prominence this week? Is it not a tacit acknowledgement that their
military might has grown since the Ceasefire Agreement? It is not
a secret that whilst talking peace they have been preparing for
war.
Armed cadres
who stood at 7500 before the ceasefire now exceed 19,000. During
the past 15 months, recruitment and training of cadres, not to mention
child soldiers, have been reported periodically in the media. Hardly
a fortnight passes without the much publicised "passing out
parades." The procurement and smuggling in of military hardware
across the north eastern seas has continued. So much so, the Sri
Lanka Navy was engaged in a deep sea encounter to sink the LTTE
cargo vessel MV Koimar, carrying fuel and assorted ammunition (Situation
Report - March 16)
If the LTTE's
military machine has been strongest in the north, since the ceasefire,
it has been effectively extended to the east. There again, it is
not only the cadres that have risen from a reported 2,000 before
the ceasefire to over 8,000. Intercepts of radio transmissions in
the Trincomalee and Batticaloa districts in the past weeks spoke
of cadres being ordered to report to specific issuing points to
collect new weapons and communications equipment. Long range weapons
have been moved in to some areas of the east to face security forces
installations.
An expanding
Sea Tiger network has facilitated not only movement of cadres but
also warlike material between the north and east. A string of "Police
Stations" that existed only in the north have spread out to
the east despite a futile campaign of lies and deception by Government
propagandists to show they existed even before. There are credible
reports now of the formation of an Air Wing.
What of the
Government? Soon after the ceasefire, a retired British military
officer was invited on a paid assignment to examine the role of
the Security Forces.
He was General Sir Michael Rose, a highly decorated soldier, among
other things, headed the 22nd SAS (Special Air Services) Regiment
and served a year (from 1994 to 1995) as Commander of the UN Protection
Force (UNPROFOR) in Bosnia.
In his first
report on THE NEED FOR A STRATEGIC DEFENCE REVIEW,
Gen. Sir Michael notes that "the burgeoning peace process can
only be further sustained by positive and co-ordinated action at
all levels in the political, economic, social and security sectors."
"Central
to the peace process," he says in an introductory note to the
report "will be the restructuring of the Sri Lanka Armed Forces
and the re-integration of the LTTE fighters into civil society."
Gen. Sir Michael
has commended the Army for "fighting bravely" during the
19 year war but adds that "too often they have seen victory
turn to defeat." By February 22, when the Ceasefire Agreement
was signed, he says "tactical initiative was being lost and
the capability of the LTTE had become, in some respects, superior
to those of the Sri Lanka Armed Forces." The reasons given
by him are "a lack of intelligence, failures in the policy
of static defence, inadequate equipment and poor administration…"
He says they "resulted in a lack of confidence amongst many
of the middle and lower ranked members of the Armed Forces with
regards to their political management and senior military leadership."
However, senior
Sri Lankan military officers who have over a decade of experience
in fighting Tiger guerrillas disagree with Gen. Sir Michael that
"tactical initiative" was altogether lost when the ceasefire
came into effect. To the contrary, they point out, that Long Range
Reconnaissance Patrols (LRRPs) had begun to cause concern for the
LTTE. So was the Navy interception of cargo vessels bringing in
military hardware.
"In order to adjust to the new strategic imperatives and different
roles," Gen. Sir Michael says "the Sri Lanka Armed Forces
will have to make fundamental changes to their doctrine, force structure,
capabilities, training systems, personnel administration and equipment
requirements."
The "strategic
imperatives" he refers to is the scenario after the ceasefire.
Therefore, the "changes," he says "will of course
much depend on the requirements of national policy." He cautions
that "it is unlikely present force levels can be substantially
reduced in the immediate future - if it is accepted that there will
be a Sri Lankan commitment to international peace keeping missions…"
If no concrete
measures were taken to address the shortcomings highlighted by Gen.
Sir Michael in his first report, his subsequent one is further proof
that the UNF Government was still keen on downsizing the Army and
finding placements for them in United Nations Peace Keeping Force.
Hence the national priority was not to prepare the Security Forces
to be in a state of readiness to meet any threats. It was rather
to diminish whatever role they were playing despite the shortcomings.
A clear case
of placing the cart before the horse. Even before a peace settlement
was reached, here was a Government paying money to seek advice from
a retired foreign military expert on how to downsize the Army and
send its men abroad to serve on UN missions. The full text of Gen.
Sir Michael's report THE NEED FOR AN AGREED PEACE PROCESS,
appearing on this page speaks eloquently about what the Government
planned to do.
In his report,
Gen. Sir Michael says that "having decided what peacekeeping
doctrine is appropriate for Sri Lanka, a long-term training programme"
will have to be undertaken to prepare for this new role. He also
refers to other aspects related to the peace process in the report.
The euphoria
of the Ceasefire Agreement that led to the UNF Government response
that its military readiness should be responsive to the expectations
of a peace dividend changed in the recent months. In late March,
Security Forces were told to prepare themselves for any eventuality
and stock up requirements at least for three months. Funds for this
purpose are being released by the Treasury.
But revamping
military capability is still long way off. For obvious reasons,
one cannot detail out the shortcomings of each service or its poorer
levels of preparedness. As repeatedly revealed in these columns,
bureaucratic apathy at the Ministry of Defence coupled together
with political interference over procurements - a malady that severely
inflicted the defence establishment during the previous People's
Alliance Government - sad enough, remains among the main reasons.
To say that
troops should remain at a high level of preparedness at all times
is not to suggest that they go to war. Nor is it to stymie or sabotage
peace talks. National security is for a nation's well being. And
its people have a right to know how they and a nation will be protected
from all threats including those to peace.
Sir
Michael’s report on the need for an agreed peace process
Although 130 military personnel from the Armed Forces of Sri Lanka
have taken part in peace keeping courses overseas, it will take
a significant commitment of resources and a two year preparation
time before it will be possible for a battalion group to be deployed
on UN peacekeeping operations abroad, says General Sir Michael Rose,
a highly decorated retired British Military Officer hired by government
in his report on THE NEED FOR AN AGREED PEACE PROCESS.
Here is the
full text:
THE NEED FOR AN AGREED PEACE PROCESS
1. Although
there has been continued progress at the political level in the
search for a lasting peace in Sri Lanka, - and this has received
wide international acclaim - there has not hitherto been the same
degree of progress on the ground.
2. Post conflict
actions that strengthen and rebuild civil infrastructure and institutions
are clearly necessary to avoid a relapse into conflict. In Sri Lanka,
the perceived lack of material progress on the grounds has already
caused disappointment amongst Tamil speaking people, - particularly
those living in the war-torn areas. The continued existence of high
security zones, particularly those in Jaffna, are resulting in political
problems that could have long term consequences for the overall
peace process.
3. To support
further political progress at the top, there urgently need to be
established in Sri Lanka, two additional peace-building elements.
First, there must be an agreed process that sets out all the political,
security, economic and social measures that must be taken to move
the situation from the present cease-fire agreement to the final
politically agreed solution. Second, there has to be a mechanism
capable of delivering that process at the regional, district and
local levels of government.
4. A public
information campaign agreed by both parties to the conflict must
also be established in order to counter the propaganda of those
who wish to disrupt the burgeoning peace process.
5. Finally,
a neutral international organisation will almost certainly be required
in Sri Lanka to supervise the implementation of the peace process,
deal with complaints and, where necessary, expose those who violate
the agreements or who obstruct the overall peace process. The present
SLMM, although doing excellent work, is clearly not sufficiently
empowered or numerous to undertake such proactive role. The European
Union might be invited to provide this international supervisory
organisation.
THE PEACE PROCESS
6. In order
to move the situation forward, there are a number of carefully co-ordinated
steps that must be taken in any peace process. These include:
- a. The defining
of the line of conflict. This is particularly important in the
eastern sector.
- b. The separation
of forces.
- c. The disarming
of all non-government forces and the withdrawal to peacetime locations
of the government forces. These steps can be achieved by pre-planned
and politically agreed stages.
- d. The de-mining
of war affected areas to humanitarian standards.
- e. The establishment
of complete freedom of movement for all civilians.
- f. The reconstruction
of civil infrastructure including roads, bridges, railways and
airports.
g. The raising and training of local Tamil based police forces.
h. The creation of regional administrative structures including
legislative and judicial bodies.
- i. The establishment
of a 'link' language between the Sinhala and Tamil speaking population.
The teaching of English as a lingua franca is one possible solution
that would, no doubt, attract some help from the British Government.
- j. The holding
of provincial elections.
7. The disbursement
of international aid for economic re-development should be directly
linked to each stage of the process.
MECHANISM
8. A Joint Commission Organisation (JCO) needs to be established
at regional, district and local level in order to underpin the work
of the de-escalation committee and implement on the ground the strategic
action plan or agenda set out in the agreed peace process.
9. At each
level of the JCO there would be political, security, humanitarian
and civil aid representation. The military commanders on both sides
would have to be present at all meetings.
10. These meetings
should be chaired by a member of the international supervisory organisation.
11. Meetings
should be held daily at local level and any local dispute that could
not be resolved at this level should be referred to the district
or regional level. District and regional meetings could be held
weekly.
12. The international
supervisory organisation should be given the necessary authority
to resolve disputes and this would require complete freedom of movement,
as well as the right to search for undeclared weapons. There would
have to be full consent from both sides to the conflict for the
presence and role of the international supervisory organisation.
13. An important
part of the peace process will be the integration of LTTE fighters
into civilian society. Some may wish to join a local ethnically
based police force to be deployed within Tamil areas. Such a transition
can probably only be done via an international police presence,
which would help train such a force. Once again the European Union
could be invited to provide such a presence.
PEACEKEEPING
14. Although 130 military personnel from the Armed Forces of Sri
Lanka have taken part in peacekeeping courses overseas, it will
take a significant commitment of resources and a two year preparation
time before it will be possible for a battalion group to be deployed
on UN peacekeeping operations abroad.
15. The UN
will only accept peacekeeping forces capable of sustaining themselves
with regards to self-defence and logistics. This requires the deployment
of a complete force package, including communications, engineers
and logistic support services, - all of whom have to be individually
trained in the complex tasks of peacekeeping.
16. Having
decided what peacekeeping doctrine is appropriate for Sri Lanka,
a long-term training programme will then have to be undertaken to
prepare for this new role. Training will not only include such tasks
as the protection of humanitarian assistance, the restoration and
maintenance of order, the enforcement of sanctions, the guarantee
of freedom of movement, but also international law regarding human
rights and war crimes.
17. A new military
training establishment will therefore be required in Sri Lanka with
specialist training aids to enable the Armed Forces of Sri Lanka
to operate effectively across the spectrum of peacekeeping including
Chapter 6 and Chapter 7 situations.
18. Senior
officers will also need to become experienced in the top management
of peacekeeping forces. This will require a presence, possibly at
one star level in the military control structure of the UN in New
York.
19. It is suggested
that a small team from UK be invited to help create a peacekeeping
training programme in Sri Lanka. Colonel Wilkinson from King's College
London who is presently working in Sri Lanka on the re-organisation
of the management of defence, was responsible for writing the British
Army manual of peacekeeping and he has also advised NATO and the
UN on peacekeeping doctrine. He is ideally placed to give further
advice on this subject in Sri Lanka.
RECOMMENDATIONS
20. The European Union is invited to contribute to an international
supervisory organisation capable of expanding the present monitoring
role of the SLMM.
21. The European
Union is also invited to establish an international police presence
in Sri Lanka to assist with the creation of a predominantly Tamil
police force.
22. I continue
to advise the Prime Minister, Mr. Ranil Wickremasinghe, on the peace
process and that I also give a seminar on this process, at an appropriate
time, at the high-level peace talks.
23. I explain
to Mr Anton Balasingham in London the concepts and processes of
peace.
24. Colonel
Wilkinson of King's College London is invited to advise further
on the creation of a peacekeeping capability within the Armed Forces
of Sri Lanka.
General Sir Michael Rose 3 Jan 03
Athas to address
global conference of investigative journalists
By Thalif Deen in New York
The Sunday Times Consultant Editor and Defence Correspondent, Iqbal
Athas, will be one of the guest speakers at a star-studded gathering
of investigative journalists in Washington D.C. next month.
The four-day
conference, organised by Investigative Reporters and Editors (IRE)
Inc., is to be hosted by the Washington Post and the US News and
World Report, and is being co-sponsored by USA Today, TIME magazine
and the International Centre for Journalists.
The line-up
of speakers at the conference, which is scheduled to take place
from June 5 to 8, include Pulitzer Prize winners, newspaper magnates,
writers, academics and some of the best known names in American
journalism.
The speaker's
list includes Ben Bradlee and Bob Woodward of the Washington Post,
Seymour Hersch of New Yorker magazine, David Cay Johnston of the
New York Times, Alan Miller of Los Angeles Times and James Steele
of TIME magazine.
Athas, an International Press Freedom Award winner of the New York
based Committee to Protect Journalists (CPJ), will be on a panel
on "Terrorism and the Media - Dispatches from the frontlines."
It includes
French journalist Mariane Pearl, whose husband Daniel Pearl of the
Wall Street Journal who was abducted and later executed by a group
of militants in Pakistan last year. This session is being held at
the National Press Club in Washington D.C.
Athas is a
member of the Washington based International Consortium of Investigative
Journalists (ICIJ), a world-wide body of investigative journalists.
He was one among a ten member ICIJ team that won an award from the
Society of Professional Journalists - the largest and most broad-based
journalism organisation in the US - for Online Investigative Reporting.
It was for their report on "Making a Killing - the Business
of War" - the role of mercenary groups around the world. This
award is being made in July.
According to
a press release issued by the organisation, Athas has been bestowed
with the singular honour of being the only foreign investigative
reporter listed among the speakers at the conference so far.
A grassroots
non-governmental media organisation, Investigative Reporters and
Editors, was formed in 1975 specifically to improve the quality
of investigative reporting both in and outside the United States.
The organisation
which appropriately uses the acronym IRE, has expressed outrage
over restrictions placed on civil liberties, particularly relating
to the media, by successive US administrations, and has increasingly
demanded confidential government documents under the Freedom of
Information (FOI) Act. |