Vote
of confidence but implementation the key
By Feizal Samath, Business Editor
Prime
Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe (L) shares a light moment with
US Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage (R) after finishing
the Tokyo Conference on Reconstruction and Development of
Sri Lanka in a Tokyo hote,l June 10. |
Sri Lanka's
political and economic processes got a vote of confidence last week
with donors pledging a sum of US$ 4.5 billion towards development
of the whole country including a massive rehabilitation and reconstruction
programme in the northeast.
According to
newspaper reports, media attention and the perception in the private
sector, this is the largest amount of foreign aid pledged to this
country. Or is it?
"Its not
a big deal," argues a Central Bank economist, who declined
to be named. "If you annualize the quantum of aid received
in the past 10 years or more (even during Ronnie de Mel's time as
finance minister), the country has been getting about $800 million
a year which works out to $3.2 billion over a four year period which
is the period in which last week's commitment was made."
Officials have
said in the past that these funds represent aid to the entire country
and is not confined to any particular region. World Bank Country
director Peter Harrold told the annual sessions of the Sri Lanka
Economists Association, two weeks ago, that 20 percent of the aid
would go to the northeast while the balance would be for the rest
of the country. This is an old ratio of disbursement except that
in the past, northeast development didn't take place and the money
was unutilized.
The Central
Bank economist also pointed out that last week's pledges include
the World Bank's April announcement of US$800 million in the form
of grants and interest-free loans and the IMF's already-announced
$500 million under the Poverty Reduction Growth Facility (PRGF).
The economist
and private sector officials stressed the need for transparency
and accountability in the utilization of these funds, particularly
because the present government was also falling into the trap of
raising a lot of hype about getting so much money while there is
little or no information about the quantum in terms of grants and
low-interest or interest free loans.
That's another
issue. During the times of the much-hyped up World Bank-organised
donor meetings during Ronnie de Mel's times and upto the mid-1990s
(they are no more pledging conferences but annual development forums),
governments boasted about the amounts secured at these meetings
and they were essentially "WE DID BETTER THAN THE FORMER REGIME"
type of political messages.
But what wasn't
analysed then was how these numbers (of $800 million or less) at
each donor conference were arrived at. In some cases - or often
for that matter - donors re-pledged sums that had been committed
before when projects were ongoing for three to four years.
For example
an amount of $40 million pledged by a donor in a particular year
- say in 1992 and included in that year's total which the finance
minister would come back and proudly announce - would be brought
back in a commitment made the following year if the project is ongoing.
Which meant that commitments for instance in 1994 would include
pledges made in 1992 and so on.
This also illustrates
the lack of transparency, obviously for political reasons, in providing
details to the public about the amounts pledged. The same should
not happen now in an era when the government has promised transparency
and accountability.
The media is
also partly to blame for raising expectations of foreign aid "seen
ending all the problems in this country" through eye-catching
headlines or sunshine stories like "a massive dose of foreign
aid" or the conference being a tremendous endorsement of support
from the international community and so on. Praise is okay as long
as it is balanced with objectivity and connected to ground realities
as to whether the money trickle down to the poor.
"The money
should not only trickle down to the poor ---- they should get large
doses of it," says Nihal Abeysekera, president of the Federation
of Chambers of Commerce and Industry of Sri Lanka (FCCISL).
"It is
vitally important that we get it right this time. We missed the
(development) bus in the 1950s. The bus has come again … we
should not miss out this time. Making sure the rural poor benefit
from donor support is essential and there should be transparency
in the way things are done," he added.
The government
also needs to pay more attention to its biggest donors like Japan
and the ADB, who are providing far more than the US and the World
Bank. The ADB has committed $1billion compared to the World Bank's
$800 while the US contribution of $54 million is nowhere near the
Japanese input of $1 billion.
In Sri Lanka
however the US has made sure it has a bigger say in the peace process,
the economy, trade and investment. Having said that the World Bank,
ADB and to some extent, Japan and the EC are also driven by US interests
and hence the latter's contribution to the total $4.5 billion of
donor aid may be indirectly much higher.
Notwithstanding these concerns, it is also important to look at
the good side of donor aid and this particular commitment which
the Central Bank economist viewed as a good package since it deals
with "policy, projects and rehabilitation."
The private
sector is also enthusiastic about the Regaining Sri Lanka Programme
and the Needs Assessment and sees it (private sector) playing a
crucial role in the development of the country. Civil society concerns
have been raised about the lack of inclusion in the consultative
process when the Needs Assessment study was being done in criticism
that has been endorsed by Ports Minister Rauf Hakeem.
"Civil
society views didn't come in as the Needs Assessment consultative
process and study was rushed through in six months. The Muslims
too had some concerns which didn't get into the document,"
he said adding however that was an evolving process and "I
am sure multilateral agencies would be flexible in the approach
during implementation" He said the development agency (announced
by the Prime Minister) which would be responsible for disbursing
the aid would be a public-private sector partnership.
One must not
forget the LTTE equation in the development process. Donors are
seen tying up aid disbursements to progress in the peace process
which implies that if there are no peace talks, aid wouldn't come
in.
Economists
however note that this would apply only in mega projects in the
northeast since funding for projects like the southern highway,
power sector reforms and other southern infrastructure are already
on stream and would continue irrespective of peace talks.
Business/chamber viewpoint
Good signal to the economy, but need for transparency
Nihal
Abeysekera, FCCISL president, says transparency is essential in
disbursing foreign aid. "People should know that there is an
institution responsible for this aid with address and telephone
numbers known to the public. This money is for the people and not
to individuals. So there is nothing to hide."
He called for
the formation of a bipartisan committee of political parties, NGOs
and civil society representatives to oversee the disbursement process
suggesting that the committee should meet once a fortnight and review
progress.
Abeysekera
praised the work of former John Keells chairman Ken Balendra, who
is heading a government unit finding ways of speeding up disbursements
of foreign funds, and retired civil servant R.S. Jayaratne, also
in the same unit, and called for a strengthening of this unit.
Tissa Jayaweera,
a Colombo businessman who attended the Tokyo meetings, complained
about the time given to chambers and the business community to prepare
for the business forum. "Some of the big chambers were sent
invitations to attend just 10 days before the event," he said
adding that the Japanese chamber officials were probably working
on this at least six months ago.
Jayaweera,
a member of the FCCISL executive committee, also raised the common
issue of implementation and said the problem would come from line
ministries and officials who would want their commissions!
Hemaka Amarasuriya,
chairman of the Singer group, emphasized the need for the government
to set targets, goals and mileposts like successful Asian countries
if these monies are to be disbursed and used quickly for the benefit
of the people.
"This is
a tremendous boost to the economy and will create more liquidity
in the money supply chain. It is also a challenge for the private
sector," he said adding however that there is a need for faster
implementation rules and cutting across red tape. "Ministers
should also be held responsible and accountable for faster implementation
of projects."
Renton de Alwis,
a former CEO of the Ceylon Chamber of Commerce and Chairman, Sri
Lanka Tourist Board who is now managing a consultancy business,
said when the private sector is given the ask of expending donor
funds, it takes on a larger social responsibility than when funds
are raised from private sources.
"We need
to be mindful that the ownership and the responsibility for the
repayment of these funds fall on all of the people of Sri Lanka.
Most in the private sector I believe need to redefine their business
philosophies and work with a somewhat different mindset."
Economists'
viewpoint
Get policies rights before projects
A Central Bank economist believes it is important for the government
to focus on policy reforms rather than projects. "The pre-occupation
now is on projects. There is a bigger need to focus on policy like
labour reforms, land market, financial sector reforms, etc and make
sure these are in place before projects are implemented," he
said adding that due to lack of proper policies often projects have
in the past been blocked or delayed by line ministries.
He said policy
reforms would create an enabling environment for investment, pointing
out also to the lack of attention paid to industry - especially
SMI's - in the current process. He said unemployment in five districts
have risen to 15 percent compared to 2-3 percent a few years back
because local industry is crashing due to being uncompetitive.
"How can
you expect local industry to survive if they have to get loans at
25 percent compared to single digit levels in Asia, high power and
telecommunication rates, etc?" he asked. Muttukrishna Sarvananthan,
an economist attached to the International Centre for Ethnic Studies
(ICES), reckons the quantum of aid announced at the donor meeting
was positive and more than what Sri Lanka had bargained for.
However he also
pointed out that this is a public relations exercise by donors to
send a signal to investors that they endorse Sri Lanka's peace process
and economic developments.
"This
doesn't mean we would get all this money. Take Afghanistan for instance.
It hasn't got all the money pledged at a donor meeting in Tokyo
(last year)," he said.
Sarvananthan says at least 50 percent or more of the funds would
go to the north and the east and would entirely be through grants
while the rest of the country would be subject to loan funds.
CIVIL
SOCIETY concerns
Civil society says not consulted on their needs
Three representatives representing civil society groups in the north
and east are refused visas to travel to Tokyo to present their concerns
at the donor meeting. No reasons are given by the Japanese embassy
here for the visa refusal.
Late last year,
NGO workshop called to include the views of the disabled in the
government's poverty strategy paper is told that the paper has already
been prepared. An official from the Planning Ministry involved in
the process tells participants they can submit their views for inclusion.
But none of those views coming from the handicapped were subsequently
entertained.
Rural participants
at another poverty conference called by UNDP are given the same
message - the poverty strategy document has been completed but views
could still be expressed. Which ultimately didn't happen.
Civil society
groups complain that the views of the poor are often ignored in
the formulation of policies and designing of projects for them.
And as our story shows, a government minister also acknowledges
that civil society was not consulted in the Needs Assessment process.
There is little
attention paid to agriculture and fisheries - which represents 80
percent of activity in the northeast - in the new proposals. Jayanandan
Joseph, a 58-year old peace coordinator in Jaffna, stresses that
while the donor summit is an important event it is essential that
the people are the ultimate beneficiaries.
The efforts
to revive the economy would only succeed if schools are rebuild,
children are able to learn, unemployment is reduced and women given
their due place, he said.
"There
is a heavy concentration on infrastructure and focus on big investment
aimed at generating jobs and alleviating poverty but where is the
attention to traditional livelihoods?" asks Nimalka Fernando,
a rights activist and chairperson of the Tokyo-based International
Movement Against Discrimination and Racism (IMADR).
"In such
a case what are we regaining in Sri Lanka if the livelihoods of
the people are being taken away," she said. Sunil Bastian,
a director at the Centre for Policy Alternatives (CPA) and a social
scientist, argues that the basic preoccupation of the "Regaining
Sri Lanka" document is the objective of achieving a 10 percent
growth rate.Bastian said though he was not opposed to economic growth,
the focus on economic growth alone was not enough.
Neelakandan
Kandasamy from the Centre for Human Rights and Development says
donors have their own agendas and focus on peace campaigns without
providing resources for human rights and good governance. "There
is no proper allocation of resources." |