Snatching peace from the jaws of war?
"International Analysts conversant with the LTTE have remarked
that 'as in war, so in peace.' The LTTE has stuck to its broadly
predictable strategy of pushing Colombo to the edge, and then going
for the jugular. The tone and substance of the letters from Anton
Balsingham made it clear that there is no prospect of an immediate
climb-down on the part of the LTTE from its latest entrenched position,
despite all the prodding and nudging of the international community.
The LTTE remains as defiant as ever. What Prabhakaran and his organisation
are trying to achieve is a solution based on the principle of one
country, two nations, two governmental systems, two armed forces
functioning independently of each other under a common umbrella
for purposes of protocol.''
Now, that may
sound a familiar tirade against the LTTE, written by any number
of Sinhalese with whiskey in hand. But it was not. It was a document
-- a very confidential intelligence report that was released last
week, by the DII, the Directorate of Internal Intelligence which
is basically what the National Intelligence Bureau used to be. Two
things can be said. The report was blunt and it was no respecter
of persons. Cut to the bone, what it said was that the Tigers are
taking the government for a ride, and that the government may do
well to look sharp.
The most telling
part of the document (apart from specific intelligence warnings
which we shall come to) is when it says: "the failure of the
Ranil Wickremesinghe government to work out a road map for talks
in consultation with the opposition and President Chandrika Kumaratunga,
and his oft exhibited over-anxiety to placate the LTTE, have placed
the government in a weak position.
The more the
concessions he makes to the LTTE, the more recalcitrant it becomes,
calculating often rightly that the more the psychological pressure
it exercises on him, the more the concessions he would be prepared
to make. Prabhakaran is aware that Wickremesinghe's political future
is intertwined with the success of the negotiations and therefore
he can be expected to go to any lengths to accommodate the LTTE's
demands. From this arises a key question. Is Prabhakaran exploiting
the mechanics of conflict resolution to extract concession after
concession, so that he can be in total control of the de-facto Tamil
Eelam?''
The language
does not leave much to conjecture and to imagination. It is a blunt
intelligence document that says things -- according to the compilers
of it -- as they are. There are specific warnings, of LTTE hit squads
waiting to eliminate certain men of other Tamil political parties
in Wellawatte, and a group of the Charles Anthony brigade having
infiltrated the Vadamarachchi sector with weapons.
There are other
reports of movements and infiltrations in Kalmunai etc., and these
specifics may have prompted the PA to say "the LTTE is planning
an attack'' Sarath Amunugama was saying that to anybody who would
listen to the PA press conference. Even though this was the case,
and the President was threatening to take-over the Ministry of Defence
on the grounds that there is a total state of unpreparedness in
the face of this Tiger subterfuge, there was no real indication
that the PA is serious about the fact that the LTTE might go to
war.
The mass demonstrations
that took place in Jaffna as Pongu Thamil this week were one of
the intelligence warnings given in the report above, and in these
demonstrations the LTTE indicated that government troops should
move out of the camps and the public institutions 'in our land in
Jaffna.''
If, as the intelligence
reports say, the LTTE is extracting concessions from the government,
it was still engaged in the process of doing so - - and a war next
week in these circumstances, as the PA says, looked unlikely.
Taking
aim from inside and out
But the stability of the government, in the face of all the realpolitik
concerning the LTTE, may be in jeopardy due to more insidious forces.
Arumugam Thondaman, before he took off for India, indicated that
he will pull-out of the government if the government decided to
go ahead with the Upper Kotmale Project, which the Minister of Power
and Energy badly wants, in order to supplement the national grid.
The JVP was
in the meanwhile breathing fire at Hyde Park, making a vow that
the government will have hell to pay if there was an Interim Administration
that is given to the Tigers. To that extent the only solace that
the government seemed to enjoy was from the fact that there seemed
to be some division within the opposition ranks as well.
Actually the
opposition was seeking to defuse the division. Last week , instead
of appointing a Deputy Leader for the SLFP, the President decided
to go contra-constitutional and scrap the post of Deputy Leader
of the SLFP, thus staving off the dispute as to who the Deputy Leader
should be, Mahinda Rajapakse or brother Anura Bandaranaike. Bandaranaike
himself was in support of the move, or so he stood up and said,
at the Central Committee meeting before the party convention in
Attangalla.
However, the Leader of the Opposition Rajapakse was appointed a
Senior Vice President of the Party and Anura Bandaranaike was only
made Vice President.
There were nine
other Vice Presidents , while there were three other Senior Vice
Presidents. Even with all that Rajapakse had to contented with a
bit of a fiasco when he did not have a seat when he arrived a little
late for the party convention at Sri Sangabodhi Maha Vidyalaya in
Attanagalla. He sat in the third row, when Chandana Kathriarachchi,
one of the organisers, shepherded him to the front row with a chair.
But he had to unseat Mangala Samaraweera in the process, and anyway
in the ensuring melee Mangala had to be seated somewhere else and
there were three or four more unseatings before everyone was finally
in their proper place.
Infighting or
otherwise, the President had said in no uncertain terms, when she
met the Prime Minister before he emplaned for London, that the Interior
Ministry was like a bull in a China shop. After the Premier departed
she made it known through various conduits that she intends taking
over the Development Lotteries Board in reality when the PM comes
back - -and together with that, perhaps the Interior Ministry and
the Defence Ministry too. That would be three birds with one stone
but she is still taking aim -- and there are a lot of stone -throwers
within the party.
I refer to the
article under the headline "Clean Mr. Choksy and other matters"
which appeared at page 10 (editorial Page) of your issue of Sunday,
June 22, 2003.
The article suggests that I had misused my ministerial powers and
thereby enabled the clearance through Customs of certain luxury
vehicles by an importer whom I had earlier represented in a professional
capacity whilst practising as a lawyer.
This is totally incorrect.
The vehicles
in question (which were reconditioned vehicles) were imported into
Sri Lanka in September last year, when an issue arose with the Customs
authorities in respect of an applicable regulation. This is nine
months after I assumed Ministerial office and ceased to practise
at the Bar. I thus had no professional connections with the import.
Upon an Appeal
lodged with me under the Customs Ordinance, after full verification
of the facts with both the Japanese Ports Authority and the Japanese
Embassy in Colombo, the decision on the Appeal was made by me. The
Article accordingly is a wholly incorrect aspersion on my integrity
as the holder of public office.
Unfortunately,
I was not contacted prior to publication. In the circumstances,
in fairness to me and in keeping with proper journalistic traditions,
which I have no doubt you uphold, please cause this communication
to be published with equal prominence on the same Editorial page
of your next issue on Sunday, June 29th 2003.
I also observe
that the headline to the article in question specifies my name.
In the context of the article, the headline itself seeks to ridicule
me. I therefore request that the clarification will be under an
appropriate headline.
Yours sincerely,
K. N.Choksy P.C. M.P
Minister of Finance.
Political Editor's Note:
The Column was based on a case now before court. in which Mr. Choksy
is a respondent, and there was no intention to cast any aspersion
on Mr. Choksy. We did say that Mr. Choksy will have his defence.
The Minister was not available for comment at the time the article
was written. |