The
United National Front (UNF) Government appears to have shifted gear
to a dual track political mode in the past weeks - prepare
for war whilst talking peace. For 14 months since
the Ceasefire Agreement was signed, little or nothing was done to
the Security Forces. The mistaken notion that the war has ended
led to moves to downsize their strengths. They were to be found
employment in UN Peace Keeping Forces.
Desertions grew and
ammunition stocks dwindled. There were more than 10,000 deserters
during the period. That is half the number in 2001 and much less
than that in 2000. To shore up morale and ensure the barest level
of preparedness, troops had to be put through paces of training.
The low ammunition stocks
in highly vulnerable areas, would have helped troops defend themselves
for only hours than days. In April, this year, they were allowed
to stock up three month's requirements. The all important Treasury
which imposed a ban released the funds.
But the recent weeks
have seen the UNF move at an unbelievable pace. The same pace the
Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) kept since signing that
11 page Ceasefire Agreement on February 22, 2002. They began recruitment,
training and re-supplying by smuggling in state-of-the-art military
hardware.
Though belated, the
significance of the latest UNF move lies in the timing. It co-incides
with fresh proposals being formulated for an "interim administrative
set up." The aim is to persuade the LTTE to return to the negotiating
table. UNF's Chief Negotiator, Prof. G.L. Peiris told a news conference
on Thursday these proposals, in the form of a "basic structure,"
would be forwarded "in the next few days."
The UNF expects a more
comprehensive document encompassing all the features of the proposed
structure to emerge at future talks. If Prof. Peiris was in favour
of placing a comprehensive proposal before LTTE, it was Minister
Milinda Moragoda who opined that the offer of an outline would be
the best means to draw the guerrillas to the negotiating table -
a move that would lead to a much needed image boost. Once that is
done, the UNF leadership has agreed that the process of discussing
the nitty gritty of an "administrative structure" could
go on. At least the peace process would be on track and the ceasefire
would remain intact, they believe.
That Thursday morning
when Prof. Peiris was spelling out UNF's latest strategy to woo
the LTTE, his cabinet colleague, Defence Minister Tilak Marapana
boarded a Bangkok bound flight from Colombo. This journey signalled
the emergence of UNF's new defence strategy to meet emerging guerrilla
threats.
The Sri Lanka Army is
to launch a new recruitment drive, due to begin later this month
or early August. Placing himself as the head of a military delegation
to Israel, Mr Marapana has not only given it a high profile publicly
but also underscored its significance. More so because the mission
is being undertaken at the same time as the Government is stepping
up its efforts to persuade the LTTE to return to talks. That is
in marked contrast to all other previous occasions. No strategies
were pursued which would convey to the LTTE that they were preparatory
to counter any peace initiatives.
The immediate task before
this high profile mission is to conclude a deal to equip the Navy's
fleet of Fast Attack Craft (FAC) with upgraded weapons systems.
At present these FACs including Israeli built Dvoras are equipped
with 23 mm guns. It is known that the Sea Tigers have acquired large
quantities of these weapons compelling the Navy to upgrade their
own systems.
Exacerbating the need
for the Navy were deep sea encounters with Sea Tigers. Two major
confrontations on March 10 (Situation Report
- March 16) and June 14 (Situation Report
- June 22) led to Naval craft sinking guerrilla cargo vessels loaded
with military hardware. It was felt that the Navy should be better
equipped for future confrontations. But the task of concluding a
deal for weapons upgrade for the FACs does not certainly require
the presence of a Defence Minister or for that matter the Commander
of the Navy. It could have been easily done by a technical team.
But the itinerary of
Mr Marapana's delegation covers visits to military establishments
including naval installations. Inspection of advanced equipment
as well as meetings with suppliers is part of the schedule. In fact
the broader outlines for this high profile visit had taken shape
in Colombo.
That was when a defence
team from Israel visited Sri Lanka barely two weeks before Mr. Marapana's
departure. It was headed by retired Brigadier General Kuti More,
a former Intelligence Official (Military Intelligence - Hebrew acronym
Am'an). He now heads the International Department of the Israeli
Defence Ministry.
Co-ordinating the visit
was Zvi Joseph, the highly influential Israeli arms dealer who has
put through many a multi million dollar arms deal in Sri Lanka over
the years. He operates from an office in Singapore. He has cultivated
many contacts concerned with defence procurements in Sri Lanka.
They include top politicians, bureaucrats, retired and serving senior
military officials.
Other members of the
Israeli defence team: Major General (res.) Yossi Ben Hanan, head
of SIBAT - Foreign Defence Assistance and Defence Export Division
of the Ministry of Defence. SIBAT is Hebrew acronym for "Defence
(security) Assistance. SIBAT is responsible for licensing all military
(know how, technology, materials etc) exports. A high ranking official,
he is due to lead a top level Israeli defence mission to United
States in September.
Yehial Harev, the Chief
Security Officer of the Ministry of Defence and its associated organisations
including state owned military/industrial complexes. His official
title in Hebrew is Ma'Imab - acronym for the one in charge. He is
regarded as one of the most powerful officials in Israel.
He is in charge of security
at the Defence Ministry including its most important organs like
Israel's nuclear reactors. He also supervises the appointment of
security guards and officers at all state owned industries including
the well known Israeli Aircraft Industries (IAI). He sits on all
the major Defence Ministry committees and has a say in licensing
Israeli arms dealers and on exports of military hardware.
Colonel Yehuda Shoshani,
Israel's Defence Attache in Thailand covers several countries in
the region including Sri Lanka. Col. Yoash Rubin, is head of the
regional desk at SIBAT. Stav Moshe, a businessman is owner of a
company named Hornet. Years ago he acquired Bykoor, one of Israel's
largest corporations.
Zvi Joseph is also a
junior partner of Stav Moshe. Together they represent most of Israel's
military corporations including Israel Aircraft Industries (IAI)
and Israel Military Industries. The duo are said to be behind deals
involving over 40 million US dollars in the sale to Sri Lanka of
Kfir interceptor jets (French version of Mirage) and patrol boats
for the Navy.
The proposed deal to
upgrade part of the Navy's FACs (15 of them) from Israel has already
generated a heated controversy. Like all military deals where the
successful are witch hunted by the many that are unsuccessful, the
latest move has also seen accusations being hurled at the Navy.
An influential and powerful section of the UNF appears to be piqued
by the moves to go to Israel instead of making all the procurements
from the United States.
Whether these accusations
will turn out to be as ridiculous as the charges that the Navy sabotaged
the peace talks when it attacked an LTTE cargo vessel in the north-eastern
high seas on June 14 (Situation Report
- June 22) remains to be seen. Only a fuller probe, which the government
can initiate, will reveal the truth. But a propaganda blitz over
this move, now part of a popular sport, to paint the Navy black,
cannot be ruled out.
Since September, last
year, the Sri Lanka Navy has been engaged in moves to upgrade weapons
systems on their FACs. Though the Navy had originally called for
tenders, it had later been withdrawn after US authorities had raised
issue. This was on the grounds that the Navy could benefit from
them only if they worked on a Government to Government basis. They
were not in favour of competing through tenders. These new developments
were after the US government had made a major policy shift on military
sales since its war on terror began. The move opened the doors for
Sri Lanka to obtain US weaponry.
Seizing on the opportunity
were Sri Lanka's Ambassador to United States, Devinda Subasinghe
and Minister Milinda Moragoda, known to have very close contacts
in the George W. Bush administration. They succeeded in obtaining
free of cost a US Coast Guard cutter manufactured in 1967. The question
of equipping weapons systems on board arose.
In November, last year,
the Sri Lanka Navy sent a two member team to the US for "inspection
of defence related products available to purchase for SLN."
They were Rear Admirals L.D. Dharmapriya and Vasantha Karannagoda.
The duo looked into procurement opportunities available for the
Navy. In their three-page report dated November 24, last year, the
two senior officers noted in their conclusion:
"It is very
clear from the visit that the military equipment/craft manufactured
in the USA are of very high standard and are extremely competitive
in prices. It is further learnt that the US Government is willing
to provide these items at the prices that the US Armed Forces purchase
them (wholesale prices as they buy large quantities). Therefore
the prices could be even lesser than the indicated prices in above
paragraphs.
"It is proposed
that the Sri Lanka Government pursue this matter and negotiate with
the IPO (International Programmes Office) to check the feasibility
of obtaining the required military equipment free of charge on a
grant or purchasing them on credit basis if the Government of Sri
Lanka approve the purchase of new equipment for SLN. Details of
any missile were not given / shown to the delegation due to non
availability of State Department clearance for same."
After their return,
Defence Minister Marapana recommended to the Cabinet that the FACs
be equipped with US made Bushmaster Gun Systems. This is where the
controversy begins with questions asked as to why the Navy obtained
only 15 units instead of 30 from the US for upgrading the FACs.
This is despite reported claims that the hit probability of Bushmasters
being higher than those of Israeli Weapons System.
Senior Navy officials
say that only 15 units of the (Mark 44) Bushmasters System with
separate mounts were immediately available for delivery. Hence they
had to turn to Israel for the remaining 15. They say the move angered
a local agent representing the US Company. The saga continues.
Another Government move
this week appears to have embarrassed neighbouring India. This time,
it was a seminar in Jaffna organised by the German based Berghoff
Foundation for Conflict Studies on the subject of High Security
Zones (HSZ). Many foreign speakers castigated the proposals made
on the HSZ by retired Indian Lt. Gen. Satish Nambiar, whose services
were obtained by the UNF Government. The fact that there was official
representation from the UNF Government at the seminar drew more
attention and wide publicity, both in Sri Lanka and abroad.
Defence Secretary, Austin
Fernando, had ordered the Army to send two senior officers to take
part. The Army did, as one source said, subject to one condition
- that the sponsoring Foundation does not place the names of the
officers concerned on their list of invitees for seminars and courses
abroad. This had happened earlier according to Army sources.
It is now apparent that
the UNF Government has awoken to its folly of not maintaining the
levels of preparedness of the Security Forces - a matter repeatedly
highlighted in these columns. This is in spite of the fact that
they have been fully aware that the Tiger guerrillas, on the other
hand, regardless of the ceasefire and peace moves have been strengthening
their military capabilities. Not only so. They have openly spoken
of the military being the backbone of their quest to fulfil their
political aims.
It is clear that the
LTTE has seen more meaning in the words of the well-known Chinese
philosopher Sun Tzu even before the ceasefire. However, it has taken
a while for the UNF. More than 1,500 years ago Sun Tzu said.
In peace
prepare for war, in war prepare for peace. The art of war is of
vital importance to the state. It is a matter of life and death,
a road either to safety or ruin. Hence under no circumstances can
it be neglected....
In this realisation,
the UNF Government has now decided to prioritise the preparedness
of the Security Forces. It has rightly evaluated the Navy as the
key factor to counter the strategic policies of the LTTE. The latter
have placed their main strategic reliance on the Sea Tigers maritime
capability to maintain and enhance their military might.
The re-equipment of the
Security Forces has again opened the doors for the influx of international
arms dealers competing to sell equipment. It has been the country's
past experience that these arms dealers have been the harbingers
of corruption using the weaknesses and greed of politicians, civilians,
bureaucrats and military officials. These corrupt deals have resulted
in the past in the purchase of inferior and unnecessary equipment.
This undoubtedly was one of the reasons for military debacles and
disasters.
Whether this time around
uncontrolled corrupt practices, in the past ignored by the UNF Government,
will again manifest itself is to be seen.