Challenges
and opportunities in the use of renewable energy
By B. R. O. Fernando, past president, Institution of
Engineers
When nuclear fission power was first becoming a commercial reality,
fossil fuel dominated the electricity generation industry and the
budding nuclear power industries basked in the glow of numerous
promises and said electricity would be almost free or at the very
least, like water then was not worth metering. Water has since become
an expensive commodity today, referred to as "White Gold"
and is now widely metered. Today, the basic problem of nuclear power
of ensuring reliable energy at reasonable cost, both in money and
environmental terms, gets progressively difficult. Electricity is
not free. It is most expensive and tapped resources are as scarce
as they always were.
Growing evidence
has convinced most of the scientific community that some degree
of climate change is taking place. There is no conclusive proof
that indicates whether the cause of the climate change is a small
glitch in the sun's output of energy, or whether it is due to the
activities of human kind or both. But the media and everyone slip
easily into the use of phrases like "greenhouse gases"
and "global warming". Greenhouse effects of carbon dioxide
and other gases in the atmosphere have doomed the planet Venus to
have the hottest planetary surface in the Solar System, which has
resulted in a hellish atmosphere both physically and chemically.
There are an increasing number of signs that the nature of the Earth's
surface is beginning to change. At no time in modern history has
energy played a more crucial role in the development and well being
of nations than at present.
Much effort
is still required to make an appreciable impact on the adoption
of renewable energy as a major source of energy supply world wide.
Wind power, passive and electronic solar energy and certain new
methods in the use of biomass have moved into the normal commercial
world. Technologies such as waves, ocean, thermal and tidal energy
and the hydrogen economy have not, as yet; but the prospects are
still good and the potential benefits are enormous.
Presently solar
thermal applications such as water heating, processed heat, crop
drying and thermal generation are all well established, and to a
lesser extent ceramic making, metal melting and water desalination.
Biomass usage
for heat and electricity generation, energy crops and residues,
liquid gaseous and solid fuels constitute 5% of total prime energy
while the ratio increases to 15% in the developing world. It is
worth mentioning that if we compare CO2 emissions from electrical
power plants, we find that using coal or oil produces 1110 gm of
CO2/kwh; using gas reduces the figure to 600 g/kwh but using biomass
reduces it dramatically to 16g/kwh (Ref. World Renewable Energy
Congress VII Cologne 2002).
On the photovoltaic
front which is perhaps the most publicised use of renewable energy
and thanks to space exploration, we find that cell and panel efficiency
has increased substantially. The real success story in renewable
energy lies in the Wind Energy industry. The cost of electricity
produced from wind power has in some European countries fallen as
low as 4US cents/kWh which is cheaper than from gas. Europe remains
the main market for wind power, followed by USA and India.
lobally, the
growth of wind power during 2001 was in excess of 30%. If this growth
rate were maintained, Europe would have 22% of its electricity supplied
from renewable sources by 2010, and globally by 2020 wind energy
will produce 12% of electricity equivalent to 1200 GW. In order
to achieve this, US $5.2 billion must be invested immediately and
rise to a peak investment of US $6.7 billion by 2020. The present
installed cost of wind energy has been reduced to a value of US
$675/Kw. Denmark represents one of the most successful suppliers
of wind energy utilisation.
Wind
energy economics
During the twelve years from 1990 to 2002, World Wind Energy capacity
has doubled every three years. Wind Energy capacity in 1990 which
was 2000 MW has reached 25,000 MW in 2002. The growth rate accelerated
in 2001 by 38%. The representative prices of wind farms and wind
turbines and electricity generation costs depend on factors such
as location, the size of the machines and size of the wind farm.
The growth curve suggests that for every doubling of capacity prices
fall by 15%. The steady decrease in costs is due to the move towards
larger machines. In 1992 the cheapest machine was rated at 300 Kw.
In 1996 it was about 500 Kw and now is around 900 Kw. At present
the prices of the largest turbines are dearer than those around
the 1 MW mark. Large turbines means taller turbines which mean they
intercept stronger winds, and this further enhances the attractions
of large machines.
The wind industry
has delivered impressive reductions in cost and productivity over
the past twenty years. Energy generation prices are now almost on
par with those of the fossil fuels. If wind energy capacity continues
to double every three years or so, accompanied each time by a 15%
reduction in wind turbine production costs, there will be a 30%
reduction in prices by 2006.
Forecasting
electricity prices from the thermal sources of generation is more
difficult, but at worst, generation costs from gas will stay level
at about 3 US c/kwh with gas prices offsetting gains from lower
plant costs and higher efficiency. At best therefore, wind and gas
prices might "Cross Over" around 2005 and at worst around
2009.
Biomass
industries
Biomass includes a wide range of chemically stored, solar
energy resources, all originating from plant material. Conversion
into useful energy services and products can be undertaken using
a wide range of technological pathways. Biomass products can vary
in scale from simple combustion in domestic open fires to bio fermentation
processes for the treatment of organic wastes of a community, to
fully commercial complex thermo chemical reactors. Traditional biomass
currently contributes to 12-13% of global primary energy demand,
but based mainly in the non-sustainable annual burning of firewood,
crop residue and animal dung. Removal of this material from the
land, robs the soil of recycled nutrients, exposes it to wind erosion,
reduces the organic matter content and reduces the soil rooting
depth.
There are generic
environmental issues relating to the biomass base. The USA has fallen
behind much of the world in the use of biomass and other renewable
energy forms to produce electricity and steam. Instead the USA has
embraced coal for energy production. Currently over 52% of US power
is fuelled by coal. CO2 emissions for US coal fired plants are estimated
to be 2.3 million tons per year. CO2 output of USA has increased
by 20% since 1990 and millions of tons of sulphur in the form of
SO2 to SO3 are emitted every year.
Wastes from
municipal and industrial services represent an increasingly important
fuel source that can be used to produce heat and power. These types
of wastes are produced worldwide wherever there are centres of population.
Using these wastes as fuels can have important environmental benefits.
It can provide a safe and cost effective disposal option for wastes
that could otherwise pose significant disposal problems. The use
of waste as a fuel helps reduce carbon dioxide emissions through
displacement of fossil fuels. Methane is a very potent greenhouse
gas, 21 times more damaging than carbon dioxide. Produced by biodegradable
waste and residues such as bagasese, ricehusks and sawdust when
diverted from landfill and used as a fuel. If landfill gas is collected
and used as a fuel (rather than be allowed to escape to the atmosphere,
methane emissions are avoided).
Any energy
that is recovered from biodegradable waste can be regarded as renewable
energy. It comes from plant material (either directly or in the
case of animal wastes or paper indirectly). As plants grow they
absorb carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. When this biomass material
is used as a fuel, the CO2 is returned to the atmosphere in a "carbon
neutral" cycle, and the biomass is used to displace fossil
fuels. Instead of being left to decompose naturally, it will actually
help to limit the emission of CO2 and methane into the air.
There are many
ways of combining waste disposal with energy recovery. The UK's
landfill gas industry is today one of the most developed in the
world. For the last 15 years, landfill gas has allowed UK companies
to convert a potential hazard into a source of renewable energy.
As the industrialised nations make moves towards reducing emissions
to the atmosphere in an effort to stem global warming, landfill
gas is fast becoming one of the chief areas of activity for developers,
providing, as has been proved in the UK, a low cost, reliable base
load with clear environmental benefits. Around 600 MW landfill gas
capacity is likely to be commissioned.
Combustion
with energy recovery
Waste combustion with energy recovery is an established way to dispose
of wastes. It decreases the volume of waste and allows for the recovery
of metals and other potentially recyclable fractions. After further
treatment, most of the remaining residue can be combined with other
materials and used as an aggregate material.
Any residue
that is land filled is biologically inactive and does not generate
potentially harmful emissions. The heat recovered from these plants
can be used to generate electricity or can be used for industrial
heat applications. The size of energy from waste plants is designed
to meet the waste disposal needs of the community taking into account
the potential for waste minimisation and recycling. Plants that
generate electricity can typically process between 20,000 and 600,0000
tonnes per year and from this they can generate 1 to 40 MW of electricity.
Power is produced from these wastes by using the steam raised in
the combustion process to drive a steam turbine to generate electricity.
Solar Electric
power has demonstrated its effectiveness and holds exceptional promise
for electrical generation throughout the world. Its technology makes
it suitable for central station installations of gigawatt proportions
as well as smaller, remote electrification applications of the 100
Watt size. Solar is an extremely cost effective way of generating
electricity in remote locations.
For industrial
services that require small amounts of power or for isolated homes,
grid connection is often impossible or far too expensive. Solar
is a clean alternative that will dramatically reduce maintenance
costs. Photovoltaic products are proven.
The traditional concept of a solar cell is that of a solid state
(semiconductor) device which produces useful electricity (direct
current and voltage) from the sun's energy via the photovoltaic
effect. Various solar modules and designs exist that can be integrated
into traditional residential architectural plans. The direct current
electricity generated in the solar modules is converted to alternating
current (AC) that can be used by most standard appliances. Some
new solar modules have built in inverters. Batteries are important
if you want to store electricity. But you can eliminate them if
you are connected to your local electrical utility power gird as
is prevalent in most developed countries.
Solar
photo voltaics
Solar PV is a new and exciting technology which should
not be confused with solar thermal systems. Thermal systems are
used to heat water, whereas solar PV actually generates electricity.
PV technologies have significant long-term potential to provide
sustainable energy for the world's needs. World PV sales continues
to grow at a rate of 20-30% per year and it is estimated that the
world production in 2001 nearly reached, the 400 MW mark. Solar
Cell module shipments continue to increase 25% to 40% annually.
The industry roadmap calls for a 25% annual growth (surpassed over
the past four years worldwide) in meeting the expected demands for
PV products over the next 20 to 30 years. This rate of growth equates
to a doubling of the capacity every three years.
The most established
market sector for PV is in the power supply for communications,
remote sensing, signalling and research centres, whereas the alternatives
may be unattractive for reasons such as the pollution and noise
caused by some generators, the difficulty of transporting fuel to
an isolated location and maintenance costs.
PV is also widely
recognised as a solution to the problem of powering millions of
homes and farms in developing countries, where relatively small
power supplies are needed to provide lighting, radio and TV, telephones
and light industry as well as clinics and schools. The electricity
can be used to directly power an appliance such as a pump or refrigerator,
or it can be converted to AC to power any conventional electrical
appliance. For use at night, the energy can be stored in a battery,
or as water stored in a tank or as cold in a refrigerator.
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