Downturn
in economy: IMF voices concern
An International Monetary Fund (IMF) delegation currently in Sri
Lanka has expressed concern about the current political instability
in the country as the foreign exchange reserves dropped, the rupee
has begun to depreciate against the dollar and foreign investments
slowed down following the political crisis sparked off in November.
The
IMF delegation led by Jehangir Aziz, Deputy Division Chief of the
IMF's Asia Pacific, arrived in Sri Lanka last Sunday and held a
series of review meetings with Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe
and Finance Minister K. N. Choksy over the week.
The
visit comes ahead of the IMF board meeting in mid February where
they would review the granting of the second tranche of the Poverty
Reduction and Growth Facilitation programme of US dollars 80 million
(Rs. 7.5 billion). The loan, provided at very high concessionary
terms, was due to be released in December, but held back due to
the political crisis.
The
first tranche amounting to US dollars 80 million was released last
year. Minister Choksy confirmed that the IMF delegation was concerned
about the continuing political instability which would have an impact
on implementing the budget proposals.
The
IMF delegation is due to have another meeting with Minister Choksy
before leaving the country tomorrow night. Mr. Choksy said that
for the first time the excess inflow of foreign exchange into the
country has taken a reverse process and the rupee which had appreciated
against the dolloar and other major international currencies for
the first time in 25 years had now started to depreciate moving
from Rs. 93 per dollar upto about Rs. 98 per dollar.
Other
major international currencies were also appreciating against the
rupee with the Sterling Pound reaching Rs. 180 against the rupee
from Rs. 169 last week. "Many of the foreign and local investors
are adopting a 'wait-and-see policy'. This is a matter of concern
to the government," he said.
Mr.
Choksy said that the foreign exchange reserves also had dropped.
Soon after the political crisis started in November, the IMF and
World Bank officials who met in Washington D.C. discussed the economic
tranches to Sri Lanka.
The
IMF delegation had, however, expressed satisfaction about the government's
fiscal programme, implementation of the Value Added Tax and the
restructuring programmes. Meanwhile, the depreciation of the rupee
is expected to have an impact on the prices of imported items including
wheat flour, fuel and milk foods.
Already
the country has been facing the impact of the increase of the Value
Added Tax (VAT) from 10 per cent 15 per cent. Despite regular assurances
from Deputy Finance Minister Bandula Gunawardena that the increase
of certain items due to the change of the VAT would be offset by
reduction of other Customs duties the prices have been increasing. |