April
2 and thereafter
Following last week's exclusive in The Sunday Times that the United
Peoples' Freedom Alliance has issued two manifestos with contra-positions,
the confusion has become worse confounded.
The
JVP's propaganada secretary told us, instinctively, this was a UNF
hoax, but it has now been confirmed that in fact there were two
manifestos, but after some embarrassment, the UNPFA has come to
abandon the second revised version.
Now
a cacophony of voices are being heard on the issue. What was purely
a matter of at least two reasonably well-known printing companies
handling a commercial printing job, is now threatened to be drowned
in a bedlam of voices.
For
good measure, a UNFA candidate from the Gampaha district, a one-time
Censor, has thrown a mother and an uncle into the fray. No PA offensive
is in any way complete sans those essential ingredients.
Apart
from textual discrepancies, the more basic issue is one of trust
between the Alliance partners, and the danger of blaming all others
for a text-book faux pas of their own making.
We
do hope that these are not events casting their shadow over the
future of this country. With less than a week to go for the third
election to Parliament in four years, from all accounts, the country
is in for more political instability than what we had. Scientific
Opinion polls in this country are now gradually taking precedence
over astrological predictions mainly due to the fact that many astrologers
have - like most of their countrymen - been unable to remain non-partisan,
and have had their coloured predictions proved wrong so many times.
According
to these polls, a hung Parliament is what we will get by April 3
with the best-case scenario being a minority government, and every
likelihood of yet another election sooner than later.
There
is no doubt some last ditch battles are yet to be waged, and all
seasoned campaigners know that it's not over till it's over. That
many a campaign has swung in the last 24-hours. It has happened
in Sri Lanka and it happened in Spain only a fortnight ago. And
that the crucial floating, un-decided vote can eventually be the
deciding factor in an election such as this.
April
3, the day after the election will be as crucial for this country,
when political stalwarts plunge into backstage manoeuvres, using
every trick in the book and outside it, to form even a semblance
of a government.
The
stakes are that much higher for the President and her Alliance,
because it is they who called for this election despite the fact
that the UNF had a working majority (134 of the 225 seats) in the
last Parliament, and had four long years of their mandate left.
The
indications now are that the UNF will have a reduced number of seats,
but that the Alliance will not breast the tape either, leaving the
Nation split down the middle. What is then to happen?
No
doubt one will need to await the outcome of the election results,
but if we know that the trend is towards a hung Parliament and further
instability, is anyone out there working out options other than
to get the money bags ready to buy newly-elected MPs or to seduce
them with high office and other perks? |