Signals
to the private sector
The corporate world would have much to ponder over given the decisive
defeat of the UNP government and the neo-liberal economic policies
it stood for and the better-than-expected support for the leftwing
JVP at the April 2 general election.
The
people's verdict would no doubt have set alarm bells ringing in
many a corporate boardroom and lead to some soul-searching among
the tycoons who backed the losing side.
It
also shows how out of touch with reality, and the common people,
the business community is. The absence of violence meant there was
no disruption of economic activity.
It
sends a positive message to foreign investors and tourists and augurs
well for efforts to restore investor confidence. It is most likely
the new government would have to renegotiate the deal struck by
the previous regime with the IMF for aid given the fact that its
policies are markedly different and go against the neo-liberal policies
of liberalisation and deregulation promoted by the lending agencies
and the Western aid donor community.
The
IMF aim was tied to certain conditions and actions to be taken by
the government according to an agreed upon timetable. The new government
does need IMF loans, especially because such funds are seen as a
badge of approval by other investors. It also needs to resume the
disbursements of aid already pledged and foreign investments that
were in the pipeline but put on hold because of the uncertainty
generated by the power struggle between the president and prime
minister and the left-wing orientation of a PA-JVP government.
The
first priority is the speedy resumption of peace talks with the
Tigers since donors have clearly said that disbursements of aid
would depend on significant progress in the peace process. We quote
corporate leaders as saying that the private sector should get on
with business now that the perceived uncertainty associated with
the election is over.
The
corporate sector cannot wait indefinitely for 'ideal' conditions
to arrive before they make their investments and should take a lesson
from those companies who quietly get on with business whatever government
is in power and however much 'uncertainty' may be in the air.
The
private sector should take comfort from the fact that the new government,
although having made hostile remarks about the business community
during the polls campaign, is still supporting free market economic
policies and has not opted for a totally closed or socialist policy.
It
may be puzzling for the former regime, the corporate sector and
its foreign backers that the people appear to have rejected a set
of economic policies that they claimed would have led to a more
prosperous Sri Lanka, creating an environment in which dynamic private
enterprise could have thrived and accumulated wealth that eventually
would have trickled down to all.
But
the reality is that the majority of people have delivered a verdict
that they did not support the UNP's headlong rush towards a fully
deregulated free market economy and the indecent haste with which
it went about privatising state enterprises. The election verdict
means that the UNP, the corporate sector and the aid agencies had
not done a good enough job in winning support for their policies.
The
former regime and its foreign backers had not been able to convince
the majority of the people that the free market, deregulated economy
they promoted was good for them.
The
people are saying that they had not been able to see and feel benefits
of a free market economy despite claims to the contrary and the
positive macro-economic indicators trotted out by the former regime
and its corporate backers. This is a signal the private sector would
do well to heed. |