The
importance of Karuna to the LTTE
Cutting through all the country's multifarious problems, ranging
from dengue to provincial elections, to rising crime to rising prices,
the northern insurgency succeeds in drawing our attention, once
again.
The
Norwegian special envoy was here once again to meet the two warring
parties in this two decade and more long conflict. And once again,
he left our shores empty handed. This time, the LTTE deflected the
issue in a new direction. As both, our Political Editor and Defence
Analyst say in these pages, the guerrilla leaders brought out the
Karuna factor as the one and only item on the agenda. Everything
else, went into abeyance - in the backburner for another day. It
is quite natural that the LTTE would be upset over the fact that
the Government in Colombo, and the military high command were handling
the breakaway guerrilla leader from the East in a way that would
be to the detriment of their organisation.
They
have made a song and dance over the issue, saying they cannot trust
the Sri Lanka Army, and kept away from joint meetings between the
two to maintain the Ceasefire. As a reaction to all this, the Government
spokesman made a mess of things by making contradictory statements
about the UPFA government's role in the saga, and the incumbent
Army Commander paid the price for providing ' protective custody
' to this ruthless fugitive. All this in what was a strained effort
to placate the leadership in the Wanni jungles.The fact that the
LTTE wants the Karuna factor sorted out is understandable in more
ways than just a case of wounded pride. There surely is more to
this.
Their
entire drum-beat of being the sole representatives of the Tamil
people in Sri Lanka has taken a terrific beating by this split in
their ranks. Without the backing of the Eastern Tamils - all those
Tamils residing in Trincomalee, Batticaloa and up to Ampara, the
platform of the LTTE claim falls apart.
This
organisation is already challenged for exclusive rights over the
Tamils by one-time militant groups now in the democratic mainstream
like the EPDP led by Minister Douglas Devananda. Elements in the
mainstream TULF like V. Anandasangaree, its embattled President
have joined forces with the like-minded EPDP, and have formed a
Common anti-LTTE Front. Mr. Anadasangaree has left for Europe and
together with sections of the anti-LTTE Tamil diaspora, they are
drumming up support to counter the LTTE. On the other side, Tamil
politicians belonging to the TNA have taken their campaign to win
legitimacy for the LTTE on to the world stage.
Next
week, TNA MPs R. Sambandan and Gajan Ponnambalam, now in Washington
DC have been granted an interview with the US Under Secretary of
State for South Asia, Ms.Christina Rocca. Their special assignment;
to request the US to lift the ban on the LTTE as a terrorist organisation.
Coming as it does in this background, it is clear that the LTTE
is in disarray, their only card - the deadly suicide strike. They
desperately want to get over their problems over the Karuna factor.
In this context, what is it that the government must do? Undoubtedly,
the government cannot behave like a terrorist organisation. And
yet, which government in the world doesn't behave like a terrorist
organization when dealing with terrorists?
It
would seem that the government has been in two (or more) minds,
unsure how to handle the LTTE split. It happened during an election
campaign, and it was like hot potato that fell on the lap of the
new government. Confused, to an extent frightened, the government
found scape-goats and valiantly washed its hands off.
From
what we see, there seems to be no way the government is capable
of handling a covert operation in using the Karuna factor to the
country's advantage in its fight against separatism. The only visible
answer seems to be to let him loose as a political entity, and hope,
that even if it does not pose much of a military threat to the LTTE,
it would at least challenge it in the East, politically, very much
the same way the EPDP is doing its job in the North. That of course,
would only prove its worth if there are elections, not sham elections,
but genuine, free and fair polls in the East. These polls are envisaged
in a 'final solution' to the proposed negotiations with the LTTE,
which bring us to the next question - where do the proposed negotiations
stand right now?
There
is some confusion that the LTTE has dropped its demand - or never
had it in the first place - to make the ISGA ( the interim self-governing
authority) as the “basis" for talks. We are now informed
that the LTTE simply wants " an interim authority " in
place, not necessarily ISGA, and they would welcome a counter proposal
from the government, which we sincerely hope remains the critique
of the ISGA made by the PA in November last year.
The
fear in the 'south' is that any "an interim authority",
and certainly ISGA is a fait accompli to a separate state. But the
Karuna factor has overtaken these events for the moment, and we
once again urge this government not to continue making the mistakes
of the past, and to have a wider think-tank, map out scenarios (like
the Karuna factor), collate Intelligence more professionally, study
what the LTTE says and does, and generally, have a more microscopic
look at the organisation, and how best to deal with it in the months
ahead. |
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