Lankan
companies not prepared for another tsunami-like crisis
By Quintus Perera
A top risk management consultant said last week that
it's extremely difficult to revive businesses - particularly medium
and small enterprises - when caught up in a crisis like the tsunami
and needed some form of government support.
"Just
like Sri Lanka being provided debt relief by many countries, affected
small enterprises also need similar support," noted Nivard
Ajith Cabraal, President, Business Recovery and Insolvency Practitioners
Association of Sri Lanka and a former president of the Institute
of Chartered Accountants of Sri Lanka, during a presentation to
The Sunday Times Business Club (TBC) in Colombo.
Speaking
on "Crisis Management - Are Sri Lankan companies prepared after
the Tsunami", Cabraal said that a business completely washed
off should have "The Recovery Treatment" -- writing off
its earlier loans and this outright grant could be procured from
a grant made to banks.
He
said even three months after the tsunami Sri Lankan companies are
still not prepared for a crisis like this. Cabraal comments on Monday
evening relating to how to handle a crisis ironically came just
before Sri Lanka went through a second tsunami alert at midnight
on the same day.
Asked
to comment on the controversy over the 100-200 metres buffer zone,
he said it was impractical as circular, tall vertical buildings
could survive the onslaught of the tsunami as seen last December
where many tourists were saved by moving to upper floors in hotels
- and it's difficult to say how far tidal waves would go inland.
Circular structures was another reason why various religious statues
withstood the tsunami.
"The
nature of crises could be unexpected but businesses should be prepared
to face crises. There are crisis controls that have to be followed
carefully. In Sri Lanka the practice of circulars deal sometimes
with crisis management. But the unfortunate situation has been that
the people take a long time to understand the contents in circulars
and issues like legal terms etc. There are special institutions
in the US that help the people understand circulars and complicated
government advertisements through a simple explanation process."
He
said to understand crises and prepare for it there should be mock
trials just like war games. Before a war starts -- in expectation
-- soldiers would acquaint themselves by playing war games to understand
the intricacies of war.
He
said that if the armed forces were not acquainted with war, they
would run away without facing it. "It is extremely important
to learn how to handle crises and be ready. Only a very few people
in Sri Lanka took the earthquake insurance cover though the premium
was small while most took cover for floods.
Those
who took this cover were adequately prepared for a (virtually unbelievable)
crisis." Cabraal said, "most of the Sri Lankan companies
were not ready to face the crisis resulting from the Tsunami and
worse still, did not ever seem ready now to face any crisis".
He
said 4,389 industries were directly suffered due to Tsunami according
to an IDB survey; 1.5 percent of employees and employers died and
one percent employers were disabled; cost of damage to business
sector was estimated at Rs 1,400 million while damaged industries
have obtained credit facilities amounting to Rs 501 million.
Cabraal
said the tsunami has taught us that, "if we do not have planned
responses to meet uncertainties, we would be helpless in any crisis.
The remedy is to be prepared (like those who took tsunami cover
insurance)." The monthly meeting was hosted by Trans Asia Hotel
and the co-sponsored by Lion Breweries Ltd.
Venture
Capital Funds to rebuild hotels
There is some interest shown by Venture Capital Funds
to invest in the reconstruction of Sri Lankan hotels damaged by
the tsunami, according to Nivard Ajith Cabraal, President, Business
Recovery and Insolvency Practitioners Association of Sri Lanka.
The
Cabraal Consulting Group (CCG),which he heads, is preparing an information
document - on behalf of the hotel industry - to promote investment
among worldwide investors and VC Funds. Cabraal said the CCG is
optimistic that suitable VC funds would respond favourably within
a month.
Initial
data shows that Rs 3 billion or US$ 30 million is required to rebuild
the affected hotels of which Rs 2 billion would be sought from Venture
Capital Funds.
Some
23 hotels in Beruwala, Hikkaduwa, Galle, Wadduwa and Trincomalee
have to be rebuilt of which about 10 hotels have been extensively
damaged. He said funding difficulties would be encountered by SMEs
including hotels, leading to a deadly debt trap and the long-term
impact on tourism would be political turmoil, unemployment and unrest
increasing unless re-building commences immediately. Many affected
hotels would find it difficult to service old loans as well as the
new loans and it would be necessary to obtain equity or quasi-equity
funds to rebuild and existing loans have to be restructured in a
meaningful way.
He
said that the proposed vehicle to source equity/quasi equity funds
would be to establish a Private Venture Capital Fund to provide
the funds to rebuild damaged hotels and to create an environment
for them to be on a sound and stable financial position for long-term
sustainability after the disaster. |