CEB
crisis: Either way the consumer is plugged
By Tyron Devotta
The Ceylon Electricity Board (CEB) has a plan to add upto 11 billion
rupees to its coffers this year. To achieve this the CEB has proposed
to the government on February 3, tarriff increases. If the new rates
are implemented, the electricity bills of lower income groups will
increase by more than one hundred percent.
A
household now paying Rs. 45 a month will pay Rs. 115 that would
be a155 percent increase in its electricity bill. Those paying Rs.
120 at present will see their bills going up to Rs. 190 that will
be a 58 per cent increase.
Those
paying between Rs. 45 and Rs. 120 are the consumers that use up
to thirty units a month and they form close to 900,000 of CEB's
consumers. The cash-strapped CEB needs this money to run its operations.
The government on the other hand cannot allow this increase. Any
increase of this magnitude will have a tremendous impact on the
cost of living. The government is at present considering the options.
If
the new scheme suggested by the CEB is implemented, close on another
900,000 consumers in the next category will also face massive increases
in their bills. Those paying Rs. 121 as a monthly bill will see
their bills rise to Rs. 194 -- i.e. a 57 per cent increase and those
households paying Rs. 231 will see their bills go to Rs. 301.
Sources
in the government energy sector told The Sunday Times that within
these two groups there were about ten thousand places of religious
worship.
The
CEB for years has been inefficient in its operations. And the result
of its inefficiency has been passed down to the customers. Sri Lanka's
electricity rates, one of the highest in the world, have been an
impediment to its economic progress and successive governments in
the past have tried in vain to arrest this problem. On September
6, 2002 the then Finance Minister, K.N. Choksy, wrote to Asia Development
Bank President Tadao Chino saying, "the power sector had deteriorated
in the past several years to such an extent that its critical physical
and financial situation is becoming a severe constraint to economic
growth and has affected the welfare of the people in general".
The
then Minister of Finance was writing to the ADB President asking
for finances to support the implementation of the Sri Lanka Power
Sector Development Programme. He said the Government of Sri Lanka
had resolved to introduce power sector reforms.
Two
and a half years later and another government in place the resolve
still remains except for one problem -- the CEB unions. They say
the present government has let them down. They say that for a party
that was against privatization before the elections cannot go ahead
with restructuring proposed by the ADB. As this restructuring is
akin to privatization.
The
ADB expected the overall implementation of the restructuring to
take about two years. The restructuring was expected to start on
January 1, 2003 and to be completed by January 1, 2005.
Nothing
has happened so far as the unions threaten islandwide blackouts
and a total crippling of the power supply to the country if the
CEB is restructured. The engineers union of the CEB does not believe
that the restructuring could have any positive effect on the CEB.
The
union says the popular belief among the top decision makers in the
present government is that the CEB is at present making huge losses
and once it is restructured under the reforms act all the problems
in the power sector will be solved. As a matter of fact CEB loses
about Rs. 3 per kWh from each unit it sells to the customer.
They
say that except for a few trivial problems in the power sector,
most of the problems will not be solved by restructuring as envisaged
in the reforms act.
Some
problems may be further aggravated and sector operational costs
will be increased further and will aggravate the financial crisis
in the sector. The biggest problem, they say is the inability to
generate energy from low cost energy sources such as coal. They
say with the world oil prices escalating day by day, if the CEB
continues to generate thermal power from fossil oil, the CEB will
never be able to come out of this crisis. The restructuring of the
power sector into nine companies will not give any solution to the
generation crisis.
One
of the key solutions to the present crisis is to accelerate the
construction of coal power plants using soft commercial loans, the
CEB engineers say. They also say the claim that the off loading
of debt in the CEB will make the power sector financially viable
is not true. The engineers union says that even if the short-term
loans of the CEB (amounting to Rs. 27 billion) are off loaded it
will not have a high impact on the tariffs. They say the effect
on the tariff will be a reduction of fifty cents. The CEB at present
has a financial burden of Rs. 80 billion of which 27 billion rupees
are in very expensive short-term loans.
The
Ceylon Electricity Board Engineers Union (CEBEU) says that if the
restructuring is carried out the new companies will have to increase
tariffs by at least sixty per cent. The engineers union says that
unless this is done these companies will not be financially viable
and start accumulating debt.
CEBEU
spokesman Noel Priyantha said those in favour of the reforms, take
the management of LECO (a state owned power distribution company)
as an example of the unbundled company. They even point out the
profits LECO is making. Mr. Priyantha said that LECO buys power
from the CEB at Rs. 6 per unit -- far below the production cost.
But
restructuring is the plan of the government at present under ADB
advice. There will be one generation company, one transmission company
consisting of two subsidiaries i.e. the systems operators and the
transmission functions, one bulk power dealing company that will
procure power to meet the forecast demands and sell in bulk to distributors
and five distribution companies.
The
production cost of a unit of electricity is around Rs. 10 and the
selling cost is at an average of Rs.7.70 Electricity selling cost
to the consumer is highly subsidized. Hence the massive losses to
the CEB. The CEB loses between 35 and 40 million rupees a day.
If
reforms happen will there be a reduction in tariffs to the consumer?
Will the newly formed nine companies handling generation, transmission
and distribution reduce the burden on the consumer.
Nihal
Wickramasuriya, Manager Power Sector Reform of the Ministry of Power
and Energy, says the new companies will recover costs. "Any
industry has to first recover their costs, if you produce something
and don't recover your cost of production you are sunk. So naturally
any cost will have to be recovered from the customer," he says.
But
power prices should go up only to the true cost - not with any unwanted
costs, he adds. He explains that the true costs are the generation
cost, transmission cost and the distribution cost any thing beyond
that he says should be identified and isolated.
At
a meeting with the media last week CEB General Manager Ranjith Fonseka
identified some of these costs. He said that the CEB was losing
large amounts of money due to unauthorized street lamps. He also
said that there was energy waste in large government offices, hospitals
and Kachcheries. He said "that energy was wasted due to the
lack of interest of the employees to switch off lights and other
equipment when going out of the office."
Mr.
Fonseka said they were also facing huge loses due to illegal tapping
in the North and the East of the country. He said that the country's
average was around 4.7 per cent for illegal tapping but in the East
itself the percentage of loss due to illegal tapping was around
21 per cent.
The
reforms manager of the Power and Energy Ministry Nihal Wickramasuriya
said the new companies to be set up under the restructured mechanism,
will have to have tariffs at least at a break even point. This would
mean that there would be an increase in tariff. Consumers from the
lower-end right up to the high-end user will face tariff increases
unless the government subsidises at this point.
The
CEBEU argues that tariff increases are inevitable as almost eighty
per cent of the consumers in Sri Lanka enjoy tariff rates below
Rs. 4.10. This rate they say is highly subsidized. The CEB's average
selling price for this category that consumes below 90 units averages
around Rs.4.05 the CEBEU said.
The
average cost of producing this electricity is Rs.10. The CEB had
its last price increase of 38 per cent in 2002. It needs about 50
per cent increase in tariff to break even. If they go for reforms
and restructure the CEB, it will get help from the ADB and JIBC
in the form of soft loans. If it doesn't the government may give
the green light for tariff increases.
CPC
chief calls for use of small vehicles
Ceylon Petroleum Corporation Chairman Jaliya Medagama said
Sri Lankans must get away from the mentality that smaller vehicles
will not be keeping with their status and indicated that Sri Lankans
should take India's example where they had smaller vehicles.
The
CPC Chairman said this at a meeting last week, held at the Ministry
of Power and Energy where key decision makers in the energy sector
and top officials from the CPC, CEB and the media were present.
Power and Energy Minister Susil Premajayantha chaired the meeting.
Mr.
Medagama was stressing the need for fuel efficiency and said the
government was loosing billions of rupees each year due to fuel
subsidies. He said that up to March this year they had lost around
five billion rupees and the government should seriously take into
consideration whether they could afford so much of foreign exchange
outflow or whether the government should take sterner steps.
He
said the government should look into the matter of the importation
of vehicles and serious consideration must be given as to what type
of vehicles were imported into the country and whether some categories
must be reduced.
He
told the gathering that a litre of petrol must be sold at Rs. 83
if the CPC was to break-even but now it is being sold at a subsidised
price of Rs. 68 in the outstations and Rs. 70 in Colombo. And diesel
he said should be sold at Rs. 81 but was being sold at Rs. 62.
He
said the government should pay attention to the policy for fuel
subsidy. There is a question he said whether people who should really
be getting the subsidy are getting it.
Transport
Ministry Secretary D.S. Jayaweera who also made a presentation at
the meeting said that 67 per cent of the gasoline subsidy given
by the government went to the private motorists. And 49 per cent
of the diesel subsidy is used by private motorists especially vans.
He
said the government gave both these groups the advantage of low
import duty and tax to import low fuel-efficient vehicles. He also
said most motorists did not maintain them properly contributing
to air pollution. |