Economy
growth on auto pilot
There is hardly any integrated management of the Sri Lankan economy.
Yet it does perform to a modest extent as the controls and management
of several sectors are largely in private hands. This augurs well
for the economy, as we are a people preoccupied and sidetracked
by political concerns and the main thrusts of the government, as
well as those in opposition are power politics.
Short-term
political gains predominate over formulation and implementation
of economic policy. Sound economic policies bring results over the
mid-term and long run. They often have immediate disadvantages,
much like medicines that are painful or bitter to administer, but
are in the interests of good health in the long run. Such policies
are not the central concern of political parties and governments.
It is only as a response to economic and financial crises that governments
take action to avert the immediate crisis. Fundamental problems
of the economy are shelved, as policy imperatives are politically
distasteful and unpalatable. It is for this reason that many actions
of governments are dictated to by multilateral agencies and donors.
Even
though one may complain that the formulation of economic policies
at the behest of these agencies is a subversion of the sovereignty
of the people, without their dictates we may find ourselves in a
worse state of affairs. This year the economy is not in crisis as
the agricultural, industrial, construction and much of the services
sector are in the hands of private management.
These
sectors have to face the consequences of government policies, yet
are able to cope with these and grow. In contrast, those sectors
in the hands of the government are in chaos. The Petroleum Corporation
and The Electricity Board are the current examples. From time to
time other services, such as the universities the government railway,
doctors and nurses, are on strike. These disruptions affect the
people and the productivity of the economy. Yet the economy ticks
owing to much of the real sectors performing reasonably well.
This
problem is highlighted in the case of the state banks. The high
incidence of default that state banks have incurred and as a consequence
the need to re-capitalise them is well known. Much of the bad debts
incurred have been due to directed lending to politically significant
borrowers and to public corporations. There have been various reforms
undertaken at the behest of the World Bank and IMF.
However,
the political interventions have continued, albeit a little tamed
by the rules and regulations of the signed memorandum. What has
been lacking is a focus on management reforms. They have not dealt
with the issues of "privatising" management. The principles
of recruitment, salaries, promotions, and incentives for good performance
should follow the principles of good management followed by the
competing private banks. This applies to other state enterprises
as well.
The
controversial question however is whether a state enterprise in
our political milieu could implement such flexible and discretionary
policies. Even the country's legal system treats actions in state
businesses and commercial institutions differently to those in the
private sector. We are not proposing privatisation in a subtle way
by putting forward these facts. Privatisation is a complex issue
and must be embarked on after a full consideration of a multiplicity
of factors. There could be good reasons why some key enterprises
should remain under state ownership and control. What we are putting
forward however are the difficulties in managing state enterprises
in our highly politicised context. Unless we are able to find ways
and means of making state enterprises efficient and well managed
and not a source of continuous disruptions, the economy can hardly
be expected to perform any better.
The
Minister of Finance Dr Sarath Amunugama soon after his appointment
made an interesting statement, that the economy would grow at 5
per cent without the government. This is precisely what we have
been able to achieve. Maybe more critical commentators would say
that we will achieve a 5 per cent growth, in spite of the government.
The indisputable fact is that a 5 per cent growth will continue
to keep our people in poverty. |