KKS
under Tiger watch:Psy-op or real threat?
Last Wednesday's Hartal in Trincomalee - Deserted streets as
life comes to a standstill. |
A late
afternoon eleven days ago, alert Navy personnel at the Northern
Naval Area headquarters in Kankesanthurai (KKS) rounded up a Tiger
guerrilla cadre at sea.
With
a few nylon lines he floated in a dinghy. He pretended to be fishing.
But a close check revealed a different story. Concealed near his
feet were a fully loaded T-56 Chinese-built assault rifle, one magazine
and 31 rounds of ammunition. Removal of the engine cover of the
nine horsepower outboard motor that powered the dinghy led to the
discovery of a 9 mm Chinese made pistol.
As
Navy men interrogated him, a clearer picture emerged. The young
man was a member of the sea going arm of the Liberation Tigers of
Tamil Eelam (LTTE), the Sea Tigers. He had set out to sea from Valvettiturai
on a reconnaissance mission. He had made observations at the KKS
harbour area and moved towards the waters off neighbouring Madagal.
That is where he was caught.
He
confessed he was under orders from his seniors to conduct surveillance
outside the KKS harbour and the naval establishment located there.
He had said similar reconnaissance was being conducted by his colleagues
in the Trincomalee harbour, home for the Navy's Eastern Naval Area
headquarters. Responding to a specific question on the reasons for
such reconnaissance, he said it was to plan out attacks on these
strategically located naval bases. His "official" aluminium
LTTE identification tag with his membership number inscribed (commonly
known as Dog Tag) was found in his possession. After initial interrogation,
the Navy handed over the youth to the Police for further questioning.
The
same evening he was arrested, there was another Sea Tiger boat landing
at nearby Palmyra point, located between the KKS harbour and Point
Pedro. Troops who observed it cordoned off the area and conducted
a search. A Sea Tiger cadre, a one time battle casualty with a bad
limp, was rounded up. His colleague had run away. He also confessed
that he had been asked to conduct surveillance in the general area
surrounding KKS harbour. He had used a mobile telephone to call
his seniors in Kilinochchi to report on his observations. But the
youth had thrown the phone away. He also possessed an aluminium
identification tag. This youth also disclosed surveillance was being
conducted to formulate plans for attacks. After initial interrogation,
Navy officials handed him over to the Police.
Days
later, the new Commander of the Navy, Vice Admiral Wasantha Karannagoda,
was on his first official visit to the Northern Naval Area Headquarters
in Kankesanthurai. He made an impressive speech to officers and
men there about his determination to stamp out corruption. He declared
he would not hesitate to cancel any procurement deal if he had reason
to believe they smacked of corruption or involved irregularities.
Later, Vice Admiral Karannagoda wanted to visit a Buddhist shrine
his predecessor and now Chief of Defence Staff, Admiral Daya Sandagiri
had constructed.
Navy
personnel hurriedly conducted a security sweep of the area surrounding
the shrine. They had an unusual find - a Sea Tiger cadre was fast
asleep near the shrine. He wore a cyanide capsule around his neck.
He had an aluminium identification tag and a mobile telephone. Navy
officers learnt that the man had also been tasked to conduct surveillance
around their Agbo base located in Madagal. Using his mobile phone,
he had been describing to his seniors in Kilinochchi about activity
around this camp. That included the movement of vehicles, civilians
and other activity. After initial interrogation, Navy officials
have handed him also over to the Police.
These
three events within just one week have heightened concerns for State
intelligence agencies. They are worried although a few senior Navy
officers contend this is "psy ops" by the LTTE. They claim
the Sea Tiger cadres had been deliberately sent on those missions
to be arrested. This is to enable them to relate a story of impending
attacks to create a fear psychosis, particularly in view of the
forthcoming presidential elections. Even if such views may come
as a morale booster to the ruling party not to be deterred by guerrilla
threats, under-estimating the enemy and their capability has been
one of the failings of the security establishment in the past. Such
organised acts staged to enable the guerrillas to fall into the
hands of the Security Forces are not known standard operational
procedures of the LTTE.
If
southern political leaders are crying hoarse about a federal solution
to the prolonged ethnic conflict ahead of the November 17 presidential
elections, has the LTTE embarked on preparations for another course
of action? That seems their worry and it comes amidst other developments
which they believe are significant.
Beginning
September 5 the LTTE embarked on the closure of their political
offices in Government-controlled areas in the districts of Jaffna,
Mannar and Vavuniya. The opening of such offices was allowed under
the Ceasefire Agreement of February 22, 2002. Ninety days after
the CFA became effective; all unarmed LTTE members were permitted
freedom of movement in the North and the East. The guerrillas were
required to carry identity papers. However, the Government was granted
the right to deny entry to specified military areas.
The
closure of these political offices came in the wake of the declaration
of a State of Emergency on August 12. This was after the assassination
of Foreign Minister Lakshman Kadirgamar. The LTTE Political Wing
leader for Jaffna, Ilampirathi, told the Head of the Sri Lanka Monitoring
Mission (SLMM) Hagrup Haukland in Pallai on Friday they vacated
the political offices since other groups carrying weapons were known
to be moving around. It was taking place during an election period
and it had been considered prudent to withdraw due to safety reasons.
In
separate statements the LTTE also accused the Army of conducting
raids or searches on their political offices. A senior Army official
in Jaffna denied the accusation and said SLMM officials in Jaffna,
who probed the charges, found it to be incorrect.
Ilampirathi
had moved to Pallai from Jaffna for fear of arrest following the
brutal murder of Superintendent of Police in charge of the district,
Charles Wijewardena. This came in the wake of the arrest by CID
detectives of Gopi, a suspect in the killing - an event that triggered
off a shoot out in which two policemen were injured.
Intelligence
sources say a sizeable number from over 3,000 guerrilla cadres who
had entered the peninsula for political work after registering themselves
have returned to the Wanni. "This is evidently an exercise
to make us believe they have withdrawn. But we have evidence to
confirm many of them have returned again to Jaffna using sea routes,"
an intelligence source who spoke on grounds of anonymity told The
Sunday Times. The source added, "We believe a larger number
had not left the peninsula. The smaller groups that left have returned.
But,
those who have been operating during the ceasefire have trained
an estimated 3,000 civilian cadres - three wheeler taxi drivers,
conductors, bus drivers etc - on how to handle weapons. They are
also active in the peninsula."
His
remarks were underscored by an incident at the Muhamalai Army checkpoint
on Friday. Among the civilians who came along a queue meant for
those entering the Government-controlled areas of Jaffna was an
LTTE cadre. The Army said he was found in possession of an aluminium
tag (or dog tag) that gave his identification number and confirmed
he was a guerrilla cadre. Army personnel questioned him and handed
him over to the Police.
Within
minutes, the news of his detention had spread. A bus load of university
students led by Tamil National Alliance (TNA) parliamentarian Selvarajah
Gajendran arrived at the checkpoint, staged a sit down protest and
obtained his release. They said the youth Ponniah Sritharan (26)
was a student from the Science Faculty of the Jaffna University.
The
protestors alleged the Army had accused the youth of possessing
LTTE literature. His release prevented a confrontation situation
that became inevitable. Army officials say instead of registering
themselves and entering the peninsula for political work, the guerrillas
were doing so by entering through lanes meant for civilians at the
checkpoint.
These
turn of events in the North came as concerns grew in the defence
establishment over a disturbing increase in the rise of violent
incidents in the east, particularly in the Government controlled
areas of Trincomalee and Batticaloa. Defence Secretary Major General
(retd.) Asoka Jayawardena directed Army Commander Lt. Gen. Shantha
Kottegoda to visit the area to make an on-the-spot assessment. He
visited Batticaloa on Friday.
Last
Wednesday the guerrillas brought life in Trincomalee and the suburbs
to a standstill by staging a hartal. State and private sector institutions
closed down and transport services were disrupted. Only a few shops
remained open. Additional troops and Police were deployed but the
event was incident free.
In
the Batticaloa district attacks on Police and Security Forces positions
had continued on a daily basis. A few instances, among many incidents,
give one an idea. On September 11 guerrillas threw a hand grenade
at a Police Post in Palameenmadu. On the same day they opened fire
at Police tractor in Valachchenai. The fire hit a bus but the passengers
had escaped unhurt. Troops later found empty T-56 assault rifle
ammunition. On September 12 a police post in Valachchenai was attacked
by guerrillas who later fled to Kaluwankerni, an area dominated
by them. On September 14 guerrilla who infiltrated into a Security
Forces camp hurled a grenade leaving a soldier dead.
In
Trincomalee, too, the instances have been many. A few instances
here again give one an idea. On September 11 guerrillas hurled a
grenade at the police post in Uppuveli injuring a policeman and
a civilian. A day earlier, a grenade was hurled at the Air Force
road block at Anuradhapura junction. That same week troops on duty
near Alles Garden came under grenade attack. Two soldiers were injured.
Guerrillas also threw hand grenades at two different security points
near Sirimapura. The first was directed at a hut where the troops
were resting. Guerrillas also directed small arms fire at the Kattaiparichchan
entry-exit point.
According
to Army statistics incidents of grenade throwing from September
1 to 21 amounted to 50 and left five security forces personnel,
nine civilians and two policemen dead. A further 13 security forces
personnel and two civilians were injured.
According
to the Army from December 24, 2001 until September 20, this year,
ceasefire violations by the Tiger guerrillas have totalled 5,515
incidents. Here is a breakdown area wise: Jaffna 375, Wanni 276,
Batticaloa-Ampara-Polonnaruwa 569, Trincomalee 227, Colombo 29 and
other areas 3. In addition abduction of adults amounted to 1110
cases, abduction of children 198 cases, harassments 757 cases and
child recruitment 1971 cases. Since December 24, 2001 until September
20, this year, during the tenure of the ceasefire, there have been
774 deaths. Here is a break-down of statistics compiled by the Army:
Killing
of civilians by Tiger guerrillas 239, killings by renegade Karuna
faction of Wanni cadres 96, killing of cadres loyal to Karuna faction
by Wanni cadres 182 and killing of security forces personnel 61.
Killing of civilians (not categorised) total 108. Killing of those
belonging to political groups 54 and civilian informants 34.
These
developments, intelligence sources point out, come as the Tiger
guerrillas continue to smuggle in military hardware. According to
one well informed source, a procurement programme directed personally
by LTTE leader, Velupillai Prabhakaran was yet to be completed.
The source said mid sea transfer of military cargo into fishing
trawlers to be smuggled through the north east coast was still continuing.
Besides this, the same source said, training was being carried out
using the light aircraft the LTTE had acquired. There has been a
notable increase in flights, the source revealed.
In
this backdrop, Friday's Tamil Resurgence rally in Jaffna assumes
greater significance. Smaller rallies have been held in Batticaloa,
Vavuniya and Mullaitivu. The main event in the northern capital,
which is being heavily publicised, is focused to deliver a strong
message to the south and the international community. This is in
the backdrop of a protracted delay in peace talks, the non implementation
of P-TOMS (Post-Tsunami Operational Management Structure), demands
for troop withdrawals from High Security Zones and other vital issues
of concern to the LTTE.
Senior
intelligence officials say this assumes greater importance in view
of LTTE leader, Velupillai Prabhakaran's "Maveerar Day"
(Great Heroes Day) speech on November 27 last year. His concluding
paragraph, no doubt, becomes relevant. He said:
"We
cannot continue to be entrapped in a political vacuum without an
interim solution or a permanent settlement, without a stable peace
and without peace of mind. The Sinhala nation neither assimilates
and integrates our people to live in co-existence nor does it allow
our people to secede and lead a separate existence. We cannot continue
to live in the darkness of political uncertainty, without freedom,
without emancipation, without any prospect for the future.
There
are borderlines to patience and expectations. We have now reached
the borderline. At this critical moment we wish to make an urgent
appeal to the Sri Lanka government. We urge the government to resume
the peace negotiations without conditions, based on our proposal
for an Interim Self-Governing Authority. If the Government of Sri
Lanka rejects our urgent appeal and adopts delaying tactics, perpetuating
the suffering of our people, we have no alternative other than to
advance the freedom struggle of our nation. We call upon the concerned
International governments to understand our predicament and prevail
upon the Sri Lanka government to resume peace talks based on our
fair and reasonable stand."
The
Tamil Resurgence rally in Jaffna on Friday will no doubt spell out
in clear terms the stance of the LTTE. It is important in view of
the November 17 presidential elections.
But
more important will be the message Mr. Prabhakaran will deliver
on his 51st birthday. That is during his "Maveerar Day"
speech on November 27, ten days after the outcome of the presidential
polls. Who ever becomes Sri Lanka's fifth executive President, that
message will be vital in his six year term.
The
political "Maveerars" of the South have progressively
weakened the nation's security establishment whilst the guerrillas
have successfully built a strong military machine. They now have
very little choice but to offer devolution, federalism or even more.
Would it be wrong to say LTTE can now call the shots even better
than before?
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