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Situation in North fragile and worsening:Haukland
Sri Lanka Monitoring Mission Head Hagrup Haukland who served in Norway's army for 35 years and worked in at least eight conflict ridden countries including Bosnia, Iraq and Lebanon before resigning in 1999 as Commander of the Armed Forces Peace Support Operation training centre. A year later, he joined the Norwegian Foreign Ministry and was tasked to study the conflict in Sri Lanka. After the then Sri Lankan government and the LTTE signed a ceasefire agreement on February 22, 2002, Mr. Haukland was among the first to arrive here a month later to monitor the truce.

By Shimali Senanayake
The outgoing SLMM head in an interview he gave the Sunday Times hours before relinquishing his duties as SLMM Head on March 31said the general situation was very very fragile and both parties have a hell of a lot of work to do to keep the situation stable.

Following are excerpts of the interview:

You have been intrinsically involved in monitoring the cease-fire since it was signed, and have been the longest serving mission member. When you arrived there was a lot of euphoria about the peace process. What was most significant in those early days?
When we arrived here in early March 2002, it was a very very positive atmosphere whereever we went and who ever we spoke to. We experienced that as a very positive thing and very important too for the parties. We were involved in monitoring in the north and east and it mainly included monitoring small incidents that were solved immediately. There were direct meetings between the two parties and the majority of the ordinary people were happy. This positive trend and atmosphere lasted for approximately one year.

What changed this?
After the last round of peace talks in March 2003, the situation deteriorated. There were skirmishes and incidents, it was sad to realize and to experience the situation moving from a more positive trend to something more negative. The ordinary people were also frustrated over the suspension of the peace talks.

There were some incidents where we thought the ceasefire was over. And I'm, happy to say we were wrong. Especially the incidents at sea; the sinking of the Chinese trawler which was sailing under a Sri Lankan flag and the sinking of merchant vessels.

The most frustrating thing for us is to watch or observe the fear and frustration among the local people related to incidents of violence and killings.
Luckily the parties decided to continue and commit themselves to the agreement.

What would you constitute as the turning points of the ceasefire agreement?
There are a number of turning points. One of them was the Karuna split. This, in my opinion was the most serious blow to the whole process here. And also the killing of the LTTE leader Kaushalyn and then the assassination of Sri Lanka's foreign minister.
When I look back at all that happened one thing is clear. It's the parties – the Sri Lankan government and the LTTE who have managed to keep the ceasefire not the SLMM. The SLMM has been an important tool for both.

The situation in December and January can be considered as the climax of violence during the ceasefire. You gave repeated warnings of a possible outbreak of hostilities. How was this period handled?
The situation in December and January was very bad, then everybody thought the ceasefire was gone. But again it proved to be a wrong assessment on our side. It's a question of how much the soldiers and the combatants, if you like, can take. It was the worst situation SLMM had experienced in the cease-fire period. From Jan 25 after it was agreed to have this Geneva meeting, all of a sudden the situation calmed down. We saw a positive trend among the population as well.

Has the situation improved after the Geneva talks?
In Geneva, a strong statement was made. A good one in relation to us by reconfirming their commitment to fully cooperate with and respect SLMM rulings, which the parties have to live up to. But what have we seen in the last weeks; we have the killings in Vavuniya and we have this situation in the east. Also in the last week the incidents near Mannar, in the Trinco bay and Sampoor areas.

But when you see what is happening, there are skirmishes now which are very very dangerous as they can easily escalate. I'm sure the LTTE and the government side are fully aware of it. So I sincerely hope that leaders on both sides take responsibility, I'm not saying only leaders at the top level, I mean all leaders on the chain of command take responsibility on either side not to do any provocative acts, act with restraint and do the utmost to maintain a stable ground situation.

The ordinary people of the north east are very optimistic and we saw a change in the atmosphere when the parties decided to meet in Geneva. But I'm sorry to say that based on the incidents we have had now, it looks like they are sliding back to losing hope.

How do you interpret the veiled threats the LTTE has been making about not attending the next round of talk?
I'm still optimistic, I think they will meet. They have no other choice. A new war is beyond my imagination. Both sides can't afford it,. It will be devastating; they know that much better than I do. I say again, it's upto the parties to take responsibility and do the utmost to maintain a stable ground situation.

What is also frustrating is there is no direct dialogue, this is a bad thing. There is a need to meet face to face and discuss how to proceed in a positive way and also how to implement confidence building measures. Because the way we see it now, there is no confidence, absolutely zero. The atmosphere between the parties is very very poisoned.

Have all the meetings at local level stopped?
Yes. The last meeting was in August 2005 in Jaffna, shortly before the LTTE pulled out its political officers. Then after the Claymore explosions on December 4, we tried to organize meetings between the parties but the government side said, no. Meetings at the local level are crucial. Because you are not talking politics but about solving practical problems or if an incident should happen.The LTTE was the first to suspend these meetings.

How would you describe the post-Geneva situation ahead of the next round of talk?
The general situation is very very fragile. Both parties have a hell of a lot of work to do to keep the situation stable. From my point of view it doesn't make sense, there seems to be some kind of competition going on to lodge as many complaints as possible. But there should be a competition to keep the situation calm and quite.

You say the situation is very fragile, dangerous where even the atmosphere between the parties is poisoned, Are we looking at an outbreak of war anytime soon?
No, I don't think war will break out. Either party cannot afford it. But the worst thing that may happen is a postponement of the next round of talks. That will be very negative to the process.

So do you think there will be a postponement?
A: The danger is always there. It depends on how much they can take. But I'm not saying the parties are waiting for a golden opportunity to say no. I'm not saying that. But if they don't meet in Geneva as planned, then they must be fully aware of the consequences. So I sincerely hope the government and the LTTE will meet, because there is a bad need for them to meet and talk face to face and hopefully there will be a more concrete outcome at the next round.

Allegations of armed groups engaging in violence has been recurrent on part of the LTTE and dominated talks in Geneva. The military says these groups are not operating in government-held territory. But sources in the east say that your monitors have met with a group of Karuna men in Valachchenai last week, is this true?
Yes, we met them, spoke with them. It was a very friendly atmosphere. They identified themselves and they were there. I'm sorry to say it's a mistake by the army commander to say they are operating not in government controlled area. Then it's a question of the flow of information between the army headquarters or the army commander and the field commanders. It's a very delicate problem.

But one of the LTTE's bone of contention is that the army is colluding with these groups. Do you have any evidence to confirm this?
I can't confirm it. Nor do we have evidence that the army is backing or supporting these groups. But there is no question that these groups operate in government-controlled areas in the east even after the Geneva talks.

Do you see this worsening the already fragile situation?
This is the main block seen from the LTTE side. It's purely in the hands of the government on how they want to handle this. I want to add however, that every person regardless of faith, ethnicity, whatever it is, has the right to live. They cannot have armed groups running around killing people. The government is responsible for the law and order in their area as the LTTE is responsible for theirs. It's as simple as that. But it's a very difficult task to curb it.

What is the status of report that is expected to be presented at Geneva II?
It's in preparation, recordings are being done. We are keeping the parties briefed weekly. It will be presented in Geneva by the new head of the SLMM. So far most of the violations are by the LTTE.

A persistent criticism has been that the SLMM is biased toward the LTTE. And on numerous occasions said there is no evidence to hold the LTTE responsible for scores of killings.
That's one of the problems; those who are complaining don't provide us with adequate information. The police and the LTTE are not eager to give us too much and just bearing in mind that a majority of killing have happened in government-controlled areas. It's bad and sad.
It's ridiculous to say we are biased because we are here to help both parties. It's hurting and frustrating when such accusations are made. It's not truce at all.

One of the reasons to have new HOM from Sweden is amid charges that there was a conflict of interest in having the facilitator and the HOM from the same country. Do you think the change will help?
Hopefully, maybe. But the problem is not there because there is a clear distinction between the two roles. I want to stress that the facilitator has never ever interfered and given the SLMM instruction on how to handle a situation and how to handle our tasks.

The access to the northern and eastern seas as always been a contentious issue since day 1. It emerged again last week with the LTTE saying that they had a right to use the seas adjacent to the land areas they control.
A: The LTTE has no rights whatsoever to the sea, absolutely not. Sri Lanka's waters – all around the island – are controlled to the Sri Lanka navy. No one else. But the LTTE has not accepted it and will keep pushing. The most serious incidents have taken place at sea, that's how sensitive the issue is. But there are no two words, there can’t be two forces at sea and the LTTE know it.

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