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“This year we think the first quarter will be tough,”
Mr A. Sukumaran, Chairman of the Sri Lanka Apparel Exporters Association
said. “But we are expecting a lot of business in the second.”
Earlier
this year apparel exporters were worried that larger quotas awarded
to China, by the US government, will impact Sri Lanka’s market
share in the US. The US is the biggest consumer of Sri Lankan garments,
buying up over half of the total production. When world garment
quotas were removed at the end of 2004, the garment industry was
expecting large losses in the US market to China. However, the US
re-imposed quotas on a number of Chinese garments and as a result,
Sri Lankan garment exports actually increased in 2005 compared to
2004.
The
2006 US quotas for China, however, were worrying. They are much
higher than 2004 levels, guaranteeing Chinese exports a much larger
slice of the US garment market.
“As
China has a much larger quota now, the price pressure is definitely
on, but due to a combination of factors we are hoping to see more
business come our way this year. This will be a case of more volume
at lower prices,” says Mr Sukumaran.
One
reason for the increased flow of business to Sri Lankan garment
factories is the quota premium charged for Chinese quotas. The premium
will increase the price of Chinese goods and will send buyers to
other countries.
China
can be subjected to restraints until 2008, according to its accession
agreement into the World Trade Organisation (WTO). Another strong
competitor, Vietnam is also still restrained by quotas. This is
because the country is still not a WTO member and doesn’t
benefit from the agreement to liberalise the textile and garment
trade. However, the country is negotiating to join the WTO, when
it will then benefit from world trade agreements.
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