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![]() 6th June 1999 |
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From the Green CornerThis has got to be the moment of truthBy ViruddhapaakshikayaMy unseen friend, Paakshikaya must be a worried man. That is the conclusion I came to after reading his column in the pages of The Sunday Times last week and I don't blame him either. After nearly five years in government, the moment of truth has arrived for the PA regime. That should have happened earlier, as far back as January 25 this year but they resorted to unabashed thuggery at Wayamba to prevent that. Then a statistical miracle averted what would have been an electoral disaster at the elections to five provincial councils a few months ago. But now, the south is due for a vote, repeating the Wayamba tactics is difficult and the hierarchy of the PA knows they cannot delay the inevitable any longer. This was reflected in the writings of my friend, Paakshikaya, last week. He (or she) refutes my claim that some of his government's key ministers should resign and wants me to discuss the southern polls and nothing else this week. I will indeed oblige you, my friend, but you are likely to regret that you ever made that suggestion and I shall explain why. If only Paakshikaya had listened to his own Deputy Minister Mahinda Wijesekera, a former JVP student leader on a recent talk show on television, he would have seen the telltale signs of anxiety within his own camp. Placed alongside UNP MP Vajira Abeywardena and JVPer Vimal Weerawansa, Mr. Wijesekera was an agitated man. But what was curious was his line of attack. His words to Vajira Abeywardena and the UNP were almost benevolent. But, when he was talking about the JVP he was spiteful and vituperative. Tell me, Paakshikaya, doesn't that tell a story? Hasn't your President resorted to the same tactic while campaigning in the South? Yes, I agree she does utter some barbed remarks against Ranil Wickremesinghe every now and then but those are mere childish taunts compared to the attack on the JVP which she accused of being a terror group trying to raise its head again. Is this also not reflected in the state media's handling of the arrest of a journalist of a Sinhala newspaper? I really do not know the truth regarding this journalist and that must be left to enforcement authorities and the courts of law to decide. But when he was detained, the state media screamed in it's headlines that he was a JVP murderer- he had been convicted even before he was formally charged and what's more the JVP was linked to him conspicuously. Why this sudden change of heart, Paakshikaya? After all, didn't you call the JVP the darlings of democracy not so long ago? Didn't you welcome their re-entry to the mainstream of democratic politics? But now you find them repulsive, even more than the UNP! I shall explain why, Paakshikaya. The south is unlike any other electorate in this country, Paakshikaya and you know it. It is unlike, say, the western province where you have your traditional strongholds in the Gampaha district. It is unlike the north central province because the electorate is a healthy mix of the rural-mostly in the Hambantota district- and the urban- mostly in the Galle district. Then, the south is also where the PA began its march to victory in 1994, largely as a result of a miscalculated UNP decision over the Fransiscu fiasco that led to dissolution of the then provincial council. The south was eager to embrace the PA in 1994 for a variety of reasons. It was home to many families who had lost at least one victim to the violence that reigned at that time. It was also vastly underdeveloped and Chandrika Kumaratunge promised to change all that with grandiose development schemes. And, that was also a time when the JVP re-organization was still in it's infancy and the electorate did not consider them a viable option. You cannot deny Paakshikaya that, four years on; the circumstances have now changed very much in the south. Your government's rehabilitation of the victims of violence in the south has been far from satisfactory. The grandiose development plans for the region have not borne fruit and the much-publicised Southern Development Authority (SDA) is almost a non-existent entity now. And the JVP has come of age politically whether we like it or not. Remember what happened in the five provinces which held polls recently, Paakshikaya? The PA obtained just over 40% of the vote even in areas, which it won. The difference between that and a 50% majority was the vote that went to the JVP. The UNP vote was stable at around 40%. Now, in the south, Paakshikaya, the JVP percentage will be much higher. I'm sure the votes they are taking are not ours- they are all anti-UNP votes that would have otherwise accrued to the PA. Therefore, while the UNP vote will still remain stable at around 40%, the PA vote will dip further. Now this is why you will not win as predicted on Thursday, Paakshikaya. I can fully appreciate your reluctance to accept this especially in these columns on the eve of the elections. But, I also know that your own stalwarts have made their sentiments clear about all this recently and voiced their concerns at the highest level- at cabinet meetings. And that, my friend is the reason why your adorable President is now contemplating implementing the Official Secrets Act. She is scared these concerns and many other issues that are likely to embarrass her administration will be made public because what transpires at cabinet meetings are now regularly reported in the independent media. This, my friend, must teach you an important lesson- a lesson the UNP has learnt the hard way. Whenever a government tries to tinker with a free media it is tacitly conceding that it is no longer popular and viable. That is what happened to us in the late eighties and early nineties and is happening to you now. Let me refresh your memory on this issue, Paakshikaya. I think most reasonable people will agree that what propelled your government to power in 1994 was the campaign for the so-called "free" media led against the UNP regime of that time. And you were hardly shy of joining that media bandwagon. Chandrika Kumaratunga, S.B. Dissanayake and Mahinda Rajapakse were in the forefront of it then. There you were singing the praises of freedom of the press and promising you will never ever try to gag your critics. Your government never won any prizes for keeping its promises but even by its low standards, it has treated the media with disdain, imposing a censorship, assaulting journalists and prosecuting newspaper editors for criminal defamation. And now, Paakshikaya, to crown it all, on the eve of the southern provincial poll you are thinking of re-introducing the Official Secrets Act just because your President doesn't have the confidence in her ministers that they will keep their mouths shut! And then, Paakshikaya you have the audacity to write in these pages saying the poll will be won by you on Thursday. Let us leave that to the people, shall we, my friend? In the mean time, you can think of what excuses to offer when you find that the PA will not gain control of the south.History, they say, has a habit of repeating itself. The UNP lost the last southern provincial council at the last election. It then lost the general and presidential elections that followed. The PA will lose control of the south on Thursday. Need I say any more about what will happen to it when general and presidential elections are held next year?
From the Blue CornerClean up grand old party and out Mr. 'nice' guyBy Paakshikaya
I shall oblige but I did tell him that I need not have bothered because the PA will win the southern province, come Thursday and there is no need to doubt that prediction. In previous weeks I highlighted the deficiencies of the UNP campaign in the south and exposed the various divisions within the party. That was when my friend Viruddha Paakshikaya accused me of conspiring to topple Ranil Wickremesinghe from the UNP leadership! This week, as the campaign closes I must confess I did take a peek at the UNP campaign in Galle, Matara and Hambantota, attending some of their meetings incognito- and the experience was comforting, purely from a political point of view. What are the issues that UNP speakers raise at their campaign rallies, Viruddha Paakshikaya? Do they talk of what our government has failed to do or what the UNP hopes to do? No, they do not because I assume they do not have facts to support their arguments. Instead they resort to character assassination of Minister Mangala Samaraweera and President Chandrika Kumaratunga even descending to the level of dragging her children into the issue. I need not tell you that this is a low level of politicking. It is not that we are against the occasional risqué joke on a political platform, we would even enjoy that. I do remember that our own S.W.R. D. Bandaranaike and the UNP's Dudley Senanayake and Sir John Kotelawela were not averse to such tactics. But others in the UNP do not seem to care for dignity and decorum. Those of us in the Old guard of the SLFP remember how one of your stalwarts remarked when Mrs. Bandaranaike assumed the Prime Ministerial chair, "that chair will have to be washed every month". So, the UNP does have a history of resorting to the vulgar and the unprintable but still, I feel the campaign in the south has seen more of it than at any other time. Why I am lodging this protest now, Viruddha Paakshikaya is because you always try to impress upon our collective readership that your leader, Ranil Wickremesinghe is the perfect gentleman. He is the type of man, you seem to say, who would open a door for a lady and would blush a powder pink even if a dirty joke is cracked in his presence. On that score, I rather agree with you, Viruddha Paakshikaya. But then, why does he permit all these assorted scoundrels to destroy that image? Why doesn't he intervene and put a stop to this nonsense? Is it- and I cannot but resist the temptation and ask- because he is a weak and inefficient leader who has no control over his flock? Then, we come to the next obvious question- what does Ranil Wickremesinghe himself say at campaign meetings and the answer to that is amusing indeed. I heard him compare the country to the national cricket team that has just completed a disastrous defence of their World Cup. Sri Lanka without the UNP, he says, is like the cricket team without Dave Whatmore! Viruddha Paakshikaya, your leader's arguments only testify to one fact- he has nothing else to say that would convince the voters of the south to vote for the UNP! The voters of the south, Viruddha Paakshikaya, are aware of their responsibilities. Whatever the armchair pundits in Colombo may say, they recognise though this is a provincial poll to elect provincial representatives, it is also an election that will send an important message to the rest of the country. They also know the outcome of the poll may determine the timing of the General and Presidential elections. Therefore, they will act cautiously and carefully. Their choice is clear. Do they choose a government which has made many promises, kept some of them and sincerely wants to honour the remaining pledges in the future or, do they choose a party which is clearly demonstrating it is still learning to oppose, let alone govern?Then, many in the UNP- not the PA- are talking of the impact of the JVP- on these elections. I will concede that the JVP has its strongest political base in the south, more so in the Hambantota district. And the party does have an appeal for the radical youth- after all, everyone is a socialist at 20, but then, few are socialists when they are 40! But those who forecast a massive vote for the JVP are forgetting key facts relating to voting patterns in the south, Viruddha Paakshikaya. Remember the south is also the region which is home to many, many victims of JVP terror. These families will never vote for the JVP again and they will not vote for the UNP either because it was the UNP regime which presided over that era of terror. Then, don't forget that the PA government has done a considerable amount of development work in the region. Don't forget that hundreds of thousands have found jobs in the province. Don't forget that ministers Mangala Samaraweera, Mahinda Rajapaksha, Richard Pathirana and Amarasiri Dodangoda are all men of stature and integrity in the government, giving credibility to the PA's pledge to develop the south. And, not least of all, don't forget that President Chandrika Kumaratunga herself campaigned tirelessly in the region addressing rally after rally, drawing huge crowds demonstrating her charisma is still immensely more than that of her rival-you know who, Viruddha Paakshikaya! Then, I must also reassure you, Viruddha Paakshikaya, that the election will most certainly be free and fair. You know very well that I was one of the many in the SLFP who felt ashamed at what happened at Wayamba earlier this year and we made every attempt- and succeeded- at preventing a recurrence at the elections to the other five provinces. Now, we see a sinister attempt to float rumours and speculation that rigging has been planned for Thursday. This is the figment of a fertile imagination in the UNP, Virudhdha Paakshikaya. The people who float this rumour know they will be vanquished in the voting and therefore are taking precautions, concocting elaborate stories- like one that goons from Mahiyangana have descended in the south to stuff ballot boxes! You will need better stories than that, Viruddha Paakshikaya, to defend your party's performance when the results are known on Friday. My prediction of course is the PA will retain control of the council comfortably and will win all three districts- Galle, Matara and Hambantota, though the latter will see a closer contest. The UNP will poll less than 45% of the vote and the JVP less than 10%, I daresay. And, since your leader is resorting to cricketing analogy, some may be tempted to query whether Ranil Wickremesinghe casts himself in the role of Arjuna Ranataunge, the captain everyone is trying to get rid of! I must forewarn you, Viruddha Paakshikaya these days every cricket lover is fervently asking for a clean up of the cricket administration and wants to see Arjuna Ranatunga out after the disaster at the World Cup. After next Thursday's election, every loyal UNPer will be fervently asking for a clean up of the grand old party and want to see Ranil Wickremesinghe out. And, my guess is, like Arjuna Ranatunge, Ranil Wickremesinghe is more than likely to say, "our boys did pretty well, so, why should I go?"
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