Winning
the peace through new ideas
As I see it, there is good news and there
is bad news today. The good news is that
the battlefield war between the Sri Lankan state and the LTTE is over.
That is because the LTTE could not be decisively overcome: neither
on the battlefield as a conventional army, in the jungles as a guerrilla
force, nor in the towns and cities as a terrorist organisation. As
a beneficial result, the crippling burden of large scale death and
bereavement and the horrors of war have meantime been removed from
the people of this island. The bad news is that, having lost the war,
the Sri Lankan state is in grave danger of losing the peace.
The peace process
is, to paraphrase the l9th century German military thinker Clausewitz,
the continuation of war by other means. It may be less bloody but
the battle to save Sri Lanka continues nevertheless. The enormous
resources which have been devoted to fighting war now have to be
diverted to winning the peace. The government could not beat the
LTTE using overpriced bullets and bombs. Now is the time to look
at other weapons in the armoury.
I know the government
believes that economic initiatives can be used to win over the people
of the north and the east. That's fine as far as it goes, but in
the de facto State of Tamil Eelam, which is what a large part of
this island will become before very long, the LTTE will control
economic activity with its own parallel system of regulations, permits
and taxes. The trickle down effect for the vast mass of the people
will be marginal and their lives and activities will be strictly
regulated by the agents of the self-declared President and Prime
Minister of Eelam.
Even at this very early stage, just a hundred days or so since the
signing of the MoU, the LTTE has already introduced a raft of measures
in the east, including an 8% tax on government servants, encouragement
to take legal grievances to LTTE courts, a dress code for women
and taxes on large numbers of ordinary traders and shopkeepers.
A significant
part of the economic benefit due to flow to the north and the east
from the government's well intentioned measures will simply be hijacked
by the LTTE's considerable organisational talents.
So how do we
ensure that the peace process is turned into a resounding victory?
In any battle you seek out the weakness of your enemy and exploit
it mercilessly. I believe the greatest weakness in the LTTE is its
own singleminded dedication. Associated is all the inflexibility
and lack of mental agility which goes with taking oneself too seriously.
In Mallavi I asked the ostensibly genial LTTE PR front man Daya
Master when was Prabhakaran's next cocktail party and could I please
have an invitation? He looked totally nonplussed in the face of
a modest bit of British humour. Several hours later, he sternly
warned me. "It is not good to make fun of us."
In the attempted
creation of a one man, one party state of anachronistic rigidity
the LTTE will fail to satisfy the innermost spiritual and cultural
needs of Tamil people in the north and the east. The collapse of
the LTTE will not be brought about by firing bullets or throwing
money at them, but by introducing ideas and culture with which the
LTTE is unable to cope: a real alternative to dull and inflexible
ideology and blind hero worship.
I was delighted
to see that the Prime Minister has invited Sir Richard Branson of
Virgin entertainment and airlines fame to visit Sri Lanka. The invitation
came at London's elite Carlton Club at a meeting arranged by the
PM's new Ambassador at Large, the energetic Nirj Deva, formerly
Britain's only Sri Lankan Member of Parliament. Branson is one of
the brightest and most original thinkers in England who has, in
his time, revolutionised the worlds of pop music, entertainment
and air travel.
I think the PM could do a lot worse than invite Sir Richard to become
Honorary Minister for Fun with Special Responsibility for the North
and the East. With his clout Sir Richard could bring Robbie Williams,
Elton John, even Paul Macartney, to Sri Lanka. Given such fierce
competition the adulation for Comrade Prabha will evaporate as surely
as night follows day.
These days there
is an NGO for everything. Why not an NGO dedicated to starting up
pop groups in every town and village? There are NGOs dedicated to
starting radio stations in former war zones and they should be encouraged
to come here pronto. The US has planes and ships equipped to broadcast
radio and TV programmes to subject peoples: they used them in former
Yugoslavia. Every family should get a free wind-up radio that doesn't
need electricity (there's an NGO for this as well). Every village
should have a TV satellite dish.
The so-called
Iron Curtain, which kept the peoples of Eastern Europe the unwilling
subjects of communism for so long, terminally melted in the face
of more vibrant cultures and the onslaught of new ideas. That is
the way to win the peace.
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