The
pal next-door
Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe's
current foray into India would be his second official visit in six
months since taking charge of the country's destiny last December.
The timing is important, as India needs to be kept informed with talks
with the LTTE hopefully around the corner. Various noises being made
by Anton Balasingham, the political ideologue of the LTTE organisation,
do not indicate that the talks are going to take place anytime soon
- not in the immediate future anyway.
The talks, or
rather the putative talks, seem to be bogged down in a chicken and
egg conundrum of sorts, on whether the core issues should be taken
up first in the agenda, or whether the issue of the interim administration
that the LTTE wants so dearly should be taken up first.
Preoccupied
as they are with the powder-keg of Kashmir, India may not be in
the best mood to listen to Sri Lanka's litany. The fact that the
Indians have indicated that Sri Lanka's Prime Minister should keep
to his schedule with the talks may be a sign that India is not going
to war with Pakistan anytime soon, at least not in the next week.
But, on a previous occasion when President Chandrika Kumratunga
visited India the Indian leadership seemed distracted with the fallout
of Gujarat's Hindu Muslim clashes. It appeared at that time that
the Sri Lankan problem was not quite in their radar.
A joint secretary
from the South Block in New Delhi was then sent to Colombo to file
a full report but even so one might need to excuse India for its
lack of focus on what happens in its own backyard to the South.
India's hands-off
approach by default may not be such a bad thing either, as India's
overbearing intentions in Sri Lanka's domestic affairs in recent
years have often been resented here by both the majority Sinhalese
and the Tamils at different times. But it appears now that because
the centre in Delhi, and more so the incumbent administration in
Tamil Nadu are adopting an anti-LTTE stance, Colombo is wooing both
entities with gusto.
While offers
of oil tanks in Trincomalee are being made to the Indian administration,
free trade agreements are getting off the ground. More Indian tourists
are arriving here, and a state of the art hospital has just been
opened up, bringing professionals here from across the Palk Straits.
The new cosying
up aside, there is no case for lending the oil tanks on any long-term
lease. While economic considerations are a factor, both parties
to the oil tank agreement know that the lease is not due to commercial
imperatives, but because of the security imperatives in the overall
context of the LTTE being given possibly, limited self rule in the
North and the East.
Situations can
change in the kaleidoscope of time. In 1987 the majority of Sri
Lankans hoisted black flags against Indian intervention, but today
Sri Lankans are begging India to intervene and get involved. Likewise,
though in 1987 the Tamil Nadu government openly financed and provided
succour to the LTTE, today, these same political denizens in the
Tamil state want the people they nurtured slapped in jail.
But, there is
always the possibility of Tamil Nadu one day falling into the hands
of those who are sympathetic to the LTTE. Long term commitments
of considerable import such as the oil tank farm deal and other
mutual agreements therefore need to be carefully considered in that
background of facts to ensure that Sri Lanka does not end up a pocket-state
of our great neighbour. That apart it would seem that Indo-Sri Lanka
relations are back on track; even though at one time it almost seemed
bye bye India - now it seems India bhai bhai.
|