Private
sector must accept burdens
The Ceylon Chamber of Commerce (CCC) has commended the budget proposals
for 2004 as a meaningful and realistic plan to take the economy
forward. The projected budget deficit of 6.8 percent, if achieved,
will ensure that interest rates and inflation rates will continue
to come down and the value of the rupee will remain stable against
the major currencies of the world, it said.
These were the
cornerstones of the economic development achieved during 2003 and
will provide the macro economic conditions for the country to achieve
economic growth in a sustainable manner, a statement said.
The net domestic
borrowing estimated at Rs.65 billion for 2004 compares favourably
with Rs.87 billion estimated for 2003 (now revised downwards to
Rs.80 billion) and Rs.1,260 billion for 2002. "This will result
in further market liquidity and the availability of more funds for
private sector growth and development. The CCC predicts further
downward pressure on interest rates, which the private sector would
welcome."
The CCC also
said that certain revenue enhancement proposals may impose burdens
on the private sector, but they will have to be accepted because
of the benefits of sound macro economic management and in particular,
the reduction in interest and inflation rates would more than offset
such burdens.
The CCC said
the non-inclusion of the development of railways was a major omission.
It said it was pleased that its proposals on granting tax concessions
to employees receiving terminal benefits and to pensioners have
been incorporated in the budget. It described Economic Service Charge
(ESC) as an "innovative, novel approach" to raising revenue.
But it added
that the government may consider granting business organizations
at least three years to start making profits before imposing the
levy. "Whilst it may be argued that small companies and those
with low profitability may not have the capacity to pay the ESC,
it is expected to release idle or unproductive resources to more
productive economic activity."
The limitation
for past losses available to set off against statutory income to
35 percent in any one year is balanced by the proposal to remove
the restrictions on the period available for losses carried forward,
the CCC said. It said it accepts that the tax of 10 percent on partnership
income as "fair" because the proportionate share can be
set off against taxable profit of individual partners.
The CCC said
it appreciates the increase in tax free allowance for individuals
to Rs. 300,000 and that it should be indexed to inflation annually.
However, the CCC also said that if the single VAT band of 15 percent
is not likely to adversely affect the cost of living, the additional
revenue estimate of Rs. two billion appears to be optimistic.
The CCC also
said that the reduction of tax allowances on capital expenditure
could be a disincentive to new investment. "Since the CCC has
advocated a taxing system where all expenses and all outgoings should
be deductible in ascertaining taxable profits, aligning the tax
allowances with economic depreciation rates cannot be objected to."
The
National Chamber of Commerce
The chamber appreciates that the minister has made use of the important
macro economic environment and the fiscal space created by the government's
improved fiscal management over the last two years to allocate over
Rs. 100 billion for capital expenditure to upgrade infrastructure
as well as providing relief to public servants by granting them
a minimum salary increase of Rs. 1,250.
The minister
has also provided relief to pensioners by increasing the withholding
tax threshold to Rs. 25,000 per month from Rs. 9,000 per month.
The significant reduction in taxation on income and terminal benefits,
the increase in the limit for qualifying payments and widening the
tax bands are all welcome developments from the perspective of the
private sector. The plan to create a safety net for employees is
also welcome.
The minister
has announced several steps aimed at reducing tax evasion and the
broadening of the tax net. The Chamber welcomes these initiatives
as broadening the tax net and increased compliance will, in the
medium term, have a beneficial effect by giving the government the
ability to reduce overall tax rates.
The Chamber
supports in principle the move to rationalize the tax exemptions
and simplify the tax administration although care will need to be
taken to ensure that industry sectors which are in a development
phase receive the required support to grow and become stronger .
The Chamber also supports the flat rate of VAT that is proposed
as this will simplify the administration and reduce leakage.
We believe overall,
this will not have an inflationary effect. This Chamber especially
welcomes the proposal to make available Rs. 11 billion for lending
to the SME sector at an affordable interest rate. It is hoped that
ways will be found to distribute these funds efficiently to this
sector.
The Chamber
has concerns on two proposals contained in the budget:
1. The drastic
reduction of some of the depreciation allowance for capital expenditure.We
believe that Sri Lanka's future competitiveness will require significant
investment to upgrade technology in the manufacturing and service
sectors and are therefore of the view that a 25 percent depreciation
rate for IT investment and 12.5 percent rate for machinery as
inadequate to stimulate the required investments.
2. The proposal
to restrict the use of carried forward tax losses to 35 percent
of current year profit is inequitable. At times businesses have
to take a long term view and incur losses sometimes due to reasons
beyond their control and they should have the ability to recoup
these losses as quickly as possible.
Pros and cons
Positive
Continuing policy emphasis on reducing the budget deficit, inflation
and interest rates should create better conditions for companies
to make profits and increase investments, generating more employment
*Shift to
single VAT band will make tax system more efficient and widen
tax net.
*New
taxes to improve government revenue Rs 110 billion for capital
expenditure to upgrade infrastructure should boost construction
sector.
*Plantations and agriculture sector to benefit from increased
fertiliser subsidy10 percent room tax on hotels deferred helps
hotels sector.
*Import duty surcharge reduction should reduce cost of imported
raw materials for domestic manufacturers and make imported products
cheaper.
*Tax free allowance for private sector employees increased.
*Wider tax exemptions on terminal benefits and retirement benefits
*Increased import tariff on some spirits used by illicit liquor
manufacturers could help hard liquor producers.
Negative
*Despite big allocation for infrastructure, capital spending still
not high enough to maintain high growth rate
*Increase in VAT under shift to single band will raise prices
of certain goods.
*15 percent tax on share trading profits could discourage investors.
*Drastic reduction in some of the depreciation allowances for
capital expenditure could affect investment.
*Restriction on use of carried forward tax losses to 35 percent
of current year profit seen as inequitable.
*20 percent tax on offshore profits of Foreign Currency Business
Units could affect commercial banks Economic Service Charge could
hurt small businesses.
*Increased excise duty on beer could affect sales.
Views
of the business chambers, brokers, economists
HNB Stockbrokers
Hasitha Premaratne
“This is a more of a mixed budget, which offers incentives
for the public sector and public as a whole - a people friendly
budget - while also providing growth opportunities for the private
sector.
The direct
impact on the market was negative because of the 15 percent tax
on profits from the sale of shares. We hope it will be reduced or
eliminated as we feel this is not the right time to impose such
a tax, especially because the stock market is just picking up. Investors
in the last couple of weeks got enough shocks and so could do without
more shocks. We feel there should be more time for the market to
consolidate, especially for foreign investors to get into the market.
Yes, people
have made money on the stock market but they have also taken a big
risk because the political situation has not stabilised - so the
risk premium is high. Also, we must bear in mind we're an emerging
market trying to attract foreign investors and some regional markets
do not have this kind of tax.
Commercial
banks could be affected because offshore profits are to be taxed
at 20 percent and interest spreads come come under more pressure.
The construction and housing sectors should see growth and the decision
to defer the 10 percent room charge should help the hotels sector.
The plantations and agriculture sector should benefit through the
increased fertiliser subsidy.
In the food
and beverage sector, companies like Distilleries should benefit
because of the increase in import tariff on some spirits which are
used by the illicit liquor manufacturers. Higher excise duties could
affect beer producers but this was expected as this is how governments
raise revenue.
he reduction
in import duty surcharge could have a positive impact in terms of
lower prices of imported items but could have an adverse impact
as well as local manufacturing firms might be affected by cheaper
imports.”
Economist
Dr Dushni Weerakoon
“The main change in the revenue proposals is the introduction
of a single VAT band. The two-band system lacked transparency. The
thrust of the revenue proposals is to rationalise the tax system
and widen the tax net.
The government
appears to still have some concerns whether VAT will generate the
anticipated revenue so it has introduced direct tax measures such
as the one percent Economic Service Charge. The government has very
limited options given that tax collection as a percentage of GDP
has been declining over the years.
Capital spending
is still not high enough. This year it is five percent of GDP and
is projected to increase to 5.3 percent of GDP next year. Capital
spending is sstill not enough to maintain a sustained, high growth
rate.
The inflationary
impact of the changes in VAT are still not clear. Even if there
is upward pressure on prices this could be offset by the stable
rupee and reduction in import duty surcharge. While the VAT on diesel
has gone up to 15 percent from 10 percent, this could be offset
by the anticipated decline in oil prices.
Employers
Federation of Ceylon
The Employers Federation of Ceylon (EFC) commends the government
for not making any intervention in respect of private sector salaries
in this budget. The EFC has repeatedly pointed out to successive
governments that the private sector particularly within a market
economic framework has to determine their expenses including employee
wages based on market factors.
In this context,
many private sector employers have in place their own wage determining
mechanisms, which provide for periodical wage reviews and revisions.
A large number of employers within the EFC membership determine
employee wages through collective bargaining with trade unions and
periodical wage revisions are accordingly made. There are also establishments
which pay cost of living allowances and make wage adjustment based
on the movement of the Colombo Consumers Price Index.
Just like how
the government, subject to its capacity and requirements determines
wage increases for government sector employees from time to time,
the private sector has to make their own decisions within their
own budgets in respect of their employees. In fact, for about 20
years since 1980, governments did not intervene in private sector
wages.
There was an
exception in 2000 which led to much difficulties including an adverse
impact on collective bargaining. We are happy that this government
has followed the practice that existed earlier. It is also important
to note that a vast majority of private sector employees and trade
unions are aware of the realities of wage fixation in the private
sector.
Bartleet
Mallory Stockbrokers
Angelo Ranasinghe -
“Overall, this is a fairly well balanced budget that aims
to achieve sustainable economic development. The policy of keeping
interest rates low and the budget deficit down augers well for business
as it leads to higher investments, which in turn creates employment
and increases disposable income.
The budget takes
into consideration economic as well as social factors such as the
cost of living which is a major issue. The wage hike to public servants
and essential items being exempt from VAT are some of the direct
and indirect benefits to the masses, while pensioners get access
to higher deposit rates and an increase in pensions. The one percent
Economic Service Charge could impact negatively on small and medium
scale businesses.
The proposed
15 percent tax on profits on sale of shares psychologically affected
investors. But when you look at the government policy of keeping
interest rates low, risk free treasury bills only yield seven percent
and investors have to pay a withholding tax of 10 percent. So their
net return is less.
Returns on
the stock market have been very attractive - 30 percent or so. With
the economy growing and companies performing well investors can
expect share prices to improve and be guaranteed a fairly substantial
return if political stability is there. Given this, the 15 percent
tax may not be material compared to risk free investments. Taxing
those who can afford to pay is reasonable. However, the timing of
the tax may not be right since investors lost money in the recent
downturn.”
Chamber
of Construction Industry
Surath Wickramasinghe
“The budget has spelled out a three-year programme for increasing
economic growth as a part of a comprehensive 10 year plan representing
an integrated approach for development of physical infrastructure.
This is a welcome deviation from the piecemeal infrastructure development
that has been undertaken in the past
The budget is good for the construction industry. There are several
construction related and infrastructure projects identified for
implementation in the following sectors:
Highways, expressways,
maintenance and rehabilitation of existing roads, power and energy,
north/east rehabilitation and reconstruction, southern development,
housing and water supply. The proposal to set up a Road Fund for
maintenance of public roads is also welcome.
The high priority
given for home ownership with land and concessionary loans to build
a variety of housing complexes for different income groups is a
major breakthrough in this sector.
The "Self
Aid Program" for the lowest wage earner with materials provided
to construct 125,000 households within one year is also commendable.
However, we noticed that the following matters have not been given
due recognition in the budget:
Identification of mega-projects in the different sectors are not
clear. For example no mention is made about the Colombo-Trincomalee
Expressway. If this Expressway is built to compliment the Southern
Expressway with links to the major cities leading upto the North
and East it would make a huge impact to accelerate economic development.
Mention has
been made regarding the development of the Charmers Granary site,
but no mention has been made about the other project like the Panchikawatte
Triangle Re-Development Project which is the pioneering project
in the Urban Regeneration Sector and a project which has received
priority status by the Cabinet.
If as projected above enormous construction programs are to be launched,
"skills" training becomes a prerequisite. No provision
in the budget has been made for this training. The increase of the
VAT from 10 percent to 15 percent will no doubt increase the cost
of construction.
Tax
consultant
N.R Gajendran
“The macro economic situation has improved significantly
in the past six months. Interest rates have come down and this has
reduced the cost of borrowing. Inflation has also come down significantly.
The rupee has stabilized, helping importers. The tax amnesty has
brought in resources in to circulation in the country.
Therefore the
private sector has received a considerable amount of benefits. In
a sense the benefits for the private sector have already been accrued,
therefore further relief cannot be given as the budget proposals
are mainly concentrated on revenue generation.
The economic
service charge is a form of a presumptive tax, which means a company
has to pay tax regardless of its profitability. Even if a company
is making genuine losses, this service charge must be paid.
This goes against
the fundamentals of taxation, which is the capacity to pay. This
charge may affect the small entities, which are liable for this
charge. After the payment of this service charge these companies
may find it difficult to stay in business. However, they can set
it off against income tax.
The tax on
profits made on the share market is good as this is taxing people
who have the capacity to pay. The introduction of a single rate
of VAT should be reconsidered.
Prices of essential
and basic goods which are now at 10 percent will go up to 15 percent.
It is true that prices may come down on goods now at 20 percent,
but the rise in prices of the essential items will have adverse
effects on the poorer and the larger segment of the country.
The government
intends to earn additional revenue of Rs 2 billion by this single
rate of tax but if a luxury rate of tax was introduced at 30 or
40 percent on luxury items this additional revenue could be raised
without inconveniencing the less privileged.”
Asia
Securities
Dushyanth Wijayasingha
“From a macro-economic point of view the budget broadly is
in the right direction. It strengthens the government's fiscal position.
There is also a substantial commitment to providing a further boost
to economic growth through several infrastructure projects.
With the adjustment
in VAT to those firms that sell products which carried VAT at 20
percent - mainly luxury items - would benefit because their cost
of goods will fall, driving demand up. The reduction in import duty
surcharge could favourably impact those firms that sell high value
items which carried a substantial duty surcharge.
The additional
excise duty of Rs. 5 per litre on beer would have an impact on beer
producers but I believe the entirety of it may be passed on to consumers.
Construction firms will certainly benefit from the increased allocation
for capital spending.”
DFCC
Stock Brokers
Naren Godamune
“Overall, there are no drastically negative measures in the
budget. The government seems to have addressed the macro-economic
factors, especially the agriculture sector, giving a boost to rural
farmers and the livestock sector, as well as public servants.
The only negative
factor, from the capital markets view point, is the 15 percent tax
proposed on profits on the sale of shares. It is a bit vague, particularly
how it will be implemented and there is lobbying to remove it.
The reduction
in depreciation allowances, from an investment point of view, is
a bit of a negative thing. But from the government's point of view
they can't give relief to everybody because they must generate revenue.
The increase in infrastructure spending will definitely help the
construction and engineering firms but there are not many quoted
firms to represent the construction industry. However, there'll
be a spillover benefit on the overall economy.” |