Dissolution
or disillusion?
Midnight bolt from the blue
By Chandani Kirinde
It was clearly not a question of if -- but of when President Chandrika
Kumaratunga would dissolve Parliament after the last parliament
completed its first year.
In
spite of a presidential promise to the people's assembly on August
20, 2001 that parliament elected at the December 5, 2001 general
elections would not be dissolved as long as the party in office
commanded the majority, the possibility of a dissolution hanged
over the UNF like the sword of Damocles.
Ending
uncertainty and all sorts of speculation, the President at the stroke
of midnight on February 7 decreed the dissolution. Now with the
country heading for its third general election in less than four
years, political parties are gearing up to meet the challenges in
the run-up to the polls while voters raise questions and the international
community expresses concern.
The
immediate reaction of the UNF was one of anger. Describing the dissolution
as a "dictatorial" action, the UNF said it was ready to
face the election. Cabinet Spokesman G. L. Peiris called the move
"selfish, narrow minded and undemocratic".
"She
is only thinking of herself and is willing to sacrifice anything
for her personal gain," Prof. Peiris told a news conference
this week. The mood in the newly formed SLFP-JVP alliance camp was
one of jubilation. They justified the President's action saying
it was necessary in the interest of the country. "No one can
question the President's authority guaranteed by the constitution,"
PA Monaragala district former MP Wijithamuni Soysa said.
The
JVP said the President's move was a timely one aimed at preventing
the country being thrown into an abyss by the UNF government. The
Presidential move caught many UNF members unawares. Even Prime Minister
Ranil Wickremesinghe, who was spending the weekend at Bentota, did
not think that it would happen so soon.
Joseph
Michael Perera, Speaker of the dissolved parliament said: "This
is a total surprise. Last week she was talking of carrying forward
the Mano-Malik talks and a few days later she dissolved Parliament,"
Mr.Perera said. (See box story.)
It
was on August 20,2002 that Mr. Perera as the Speaker read out to
the House a letter dated August 16, 2002 the President had sent
him. The opening lines of the letter were: "Under Article 32
(3) of the Constitution, I am sending you herewith the attached
message concerning the exercise of the power vested in the President
of the Republic to dissolve Parliament, with the request that it
be read out by you at the sitting of Parliament on Tuesday 20th
August, 2002."
The
President’s message in which she vowed not to dissolve Parliament
as long as the Prime Minister and his party commanded the support
of the majority in the legislature, has, since the dissolution,
been hotly debated.
In
hindsight, it appears now that when the UNF was carrying on with
day-to-day governmental affairs in spite of the President's wing-clipping
actions including the takeover of the Development Lotteries Board
and three key ministries, a section of the opposition in cahoots
with the JVP was scheming the downfall of the UNF government.
The
UNF was hit by salvo after salvo from the opposition camp. The dissolution
coincided with the swearing-in of two PA members - Lakshman Kadirgamar
and D. M. Jayaratne - as ministers. Then came the Presidential decree
announcing the formal removal of Deputy ministers and non-Cabinet
Ministers from their posts. Along with their positions, they lost
all their perks as well.
Upcountry
People's Front leader P. Chandrasekeran was one such minister. An
angry Mr. Chandrasekeran said the President had no moral right to
sack a government, which was elected to office for six years by
the people.
Describing
the President's move as a political witch-hunt, Mr. Chandrasekeran,
whose party has decided to continue its alliance with the UNF, said
the President during the last general election campaign allowed
the PA ministers and deputy ministers to continue in office. Her
action smacks of double standards, the UPF leader said.
With
the dissolution of Parliament, all unfinished business of the legislature
also lapsed. All parliamentary committees, including the select
committee on electoral reforms, will be reconstituted after the
election. The preliminary report on electoral reforms was submitted
to the House a few weeks before the dissolution.
Ironically,
the last Bill -- the Provincial Councils Elections (Amendment) Act
-- was passed unanimously by members of all parties on February
3. Under the new act, provincial elections will be held on a Saturday
and the present number of members in each council will remain.
The
Bill was certified by the Speaker prior to the dissolution, and
therefore, it has become law. With the announcement of new elections,
horse-trading has also begun among political parties and politicians
amid crossovers and crosscurrents.
The
first to cross the line was PA's former Gampaha district MP Atula
Nimalasiri Jayasinghe who joined the UNF on Thursday. Meanwhile,
the international community has also expressed concern over the
recent political developments, which have added to the uncertainty
surrounding the peace process.
Mark
Ward, the US Deputy Assistant Administrator for USAID said on Friday
that the political crisis was putting in jeopardy the international
support needed to rebuild the country (see box story.)
Many
diplomats have voiced concern that the instability could affect
the peace process and even the ceasefire agreement, which completes
two years next week.
With
weary voters being forced to seek solace in the ballot paper once
again, whether fresh elections alone will bring about political
stability to Sri Lanka is highly questionable.
DM's super six
People's Alliance General Secretary D M Jayaratne, who
is staking a claim for the prime ministerial candidate of the United
People's Freedom Alliance, justifies the dissolution of parliament,
citing six factors.They are:·
=The
deadlock in the Mano-Malik talks: Both the Government and the Opposition
agreed that the political situation which arose after November 4,
2003 has to be discussed. The Prime Minister too agreed to solve
this problem through negotiation it is for this purpose that representatives
from both parties were appointed. However several Government members
were against this move, they did not want the Prime Minister to
hold discussions with the President, so the talks were heading no
where, which affected the peace process.
=Demand
for defence: The Prime Minister was insisting that the defence portfolio
be given back to the UNF. This was something the President could
not do. Even the Supreme Court gave a ruling that the President
has ultimate authority over defence. There was no way she could
give back the ministry. The Government insisted that the entire
portfolio be given back. The Government was delaying in sending
a response to the President's proposal for a compromise.
Threat
to security of the country: The LTTE was strengthening its military
wing. It was bringing in arms and expanding its influence in the
Eastern Province, including the government-controlled areas.
Unrest
in the country: We feared the strikes and protests against the government
would lead to a country-wide uprising. The oppressed will take to
arms which will have a great impact on the country.
The
spiralling cost of living: The Government was virtually doing nothing
to curtail the increasing cost of living and remove the burden on
the people.
The
right opportunity: We thought that the time had come to tell the
people that we were prepared to solve their problems and it was
time for a change of government.
Economic
fallout
The UNF-dominated caretaker government has warned of the
potential economic fallout of the sudden dissolution of Parliament.
Cabinet
spokesman G. L. Peiris said that the World Bank had offered a US$
51 million loan to develop Hambantota and Moneragala districts but
there was doubt now as to the release of the money because of the
political instability in the country.
Prof.
Peiris said the country might not be able to get the full monetary
benefits at the February 17 Washington Donor meeting. The minister's
pessimism was backed by World Bank country representative Peter
Harrold's claim that at least US$ 176 million in aid could be held
up as a result of the dissolution.
Meanwhile
Plantation Industries Ministry sources said that the country had
lost an opportunity to sell Rs. 160 million worth of tea to Thailand
because that country, pointing to the dissolution, had deferred
the signing of a bilateral free trade agreement.
The
agreement would have guaranteed a quota for 125 metric tonnes of
tea exports to Thailand. The Thai government had agreed to give
tax concessions and a quota for Sri Lankan tea following Thai Prime
Minister Thaksin Shinawatra's visit to Sri Lanka last year.
Meanwhile,
a study carried out by The Sunday Times' business section Financial
Times on Sunday, has revealed that the country had spent Rs. 45
billion for five national elections since 1999 in terms of government
expenditure and campaign costs.
Speaker
surprised
Former Speaker Joseph Michael Perera was among those who
were caught unawares by the President's decision to dissolve Parliament.
Although often referred to as the custodian of the rights and privileges
of Members of Parliament (MPs), the former speaker too was surprised
by the move and had no prior knowledge of it.
"The
President had given a written assurance to the House that she would
not dissolve it. On Independence Day she told me that the Mano-Malik
talks should continue, so none of us expected this outcome,"
Mr.Perera said.
He
recalled that the President had sent a written assurance to Parliament
in August 2002 to squash rumours of an impending dissolution at
that time. The former speaker who continues as the Chairman of the
Constitutional Council also said the act of appointing two ministers
to the Cabinet without consulting the Prime Minister was unacceptable
in a democratic system.
Mr.Perera
who will be seeking re-election from the Gampaha district said charges
in the state run media that he was abusing vehicles was untrue and
politically motivated.
Blow
to refugee rehabilitation
The UNHCR on Friday warned that the decision to call snap
Parliamentary elections could seriously slow efforts to resettle
thousands of refugees in the north and east of the country.
Jean-Marc
Boulgaris, head of the executive committee of the United Nations
High Commissioner for Refugees, said they were worried about the
political crisis as it could affect the programme to resettle the
internally displaced people.
He
said that the political crisis would have an impact on the international
community investing in programmes that are connected with the resettlement.
He said that the immediate needs of the 380,000 displaced persons
should not be neglected due to the political crisis.
On
Thursday, Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesighe lashed out at President
Chandrika Kumaratunga, accusing her of seriously jeopardising the
peace process by crippling the rehabilitation work.
The
Prime Minister in a tough letter to the President, said the removal
of non-Cabinet and deputy ministers would prevent the provision
of urgently needed rehabilitation and reconstruction assistance
to the north-east.
The
Premier said:"Without prior consultation with me you have removed
from office the Deputy Ministers and Ministers of non-Cabinet rank
including Rehabilitation Minister Jayalath Jayawardena; Minister
Assisting Vanni Rehabilitation Noordeen Mashoor, and Hindu Religious
Affairs Minister T. Maheswaran.
"These
are three key ministries providing urgent relief and humanitarian
assistance and short-term rehabilitation activities for the people
of the North-East."
Presidential
media director Janadasa Peiris rejected the Prime Minister's claim,
pointing out an LTTE statement to the effect that the ceasefire
agreement would stand irrespective of the political crisis in the
south.
Polls take toll on AL students
By Nalaka Nonis
The current political developments in the country
which has led to the postponement of the Advanced Level Exam to
May 6, could curtail the number of academic days drastically for
this year , an official for the Ministry of Education said.
The
Advanced Level exam was initially scheduled for April 2, but the
Education Ministry was compelled to postpone it by more than a month
after the parliamentary elections were fixed for the same day. The
official said the upcoming Sinhala- Tamil New Year, Wayamba Provincial
Council Election and Vesak Poya Day, further delayed the rescheduling
of the exam.
"The
number of academic days a year is about 210 but it is doubtful whether
even 180 academic days will be covered this year," the official
said. University admissions are also expected to be delayed further
because of the postponement of exams. The reason for scheduling
the A Levels from August to April was to pave the way for students
to start their university studies much earlier. But there will be
delays in university admissions this year due to the political climate,
he said.
Though
Saturdays will be used to make up for the holidays, parents and
students complain this would mean missing out on tuition classes.
The postponement of the exam might take students off the track and
trend while they will be compelled to attend tuition classes during
the recess, parents and students complain.
Seeing
stars
Astrology seems to have played a major role once again
in the decision to go for fresh elections. Predictions in an astrological
newspaper on an imminent fall of the government once again highlighted
the nexus between politicians and their astrological beliefs.
From
the signing on the dotted line to form an Alliance between the SLFP
and the JVP upto the time for the dissolution of the Parliament
and the fixing of a date for fresh elections, the planetary positions
have apparently played an important role.
Priyantha
Ratnayake, Editor of the Ira-Handa newspaper has been among those
who have been advising top politicians on how the planetary positions
would affect them. His newspaper in its February 4, issue screamed
in bold headlines that the time was up for the UNF government. In
the following week’s issue it predicted that a new government
would be in place before the Sinhala New year.
Mr.
Ratnayake said February 7, was the right time for dissolution and
April 2 for elections, as both were favourable days for President
Kumaratunga according to her horoscope. He said the favourable period
for the President would have ended by April 19, and hence action
was needed prior to that.
Apparently
when S.W.R.D.Bandaranaike came to power in 1956 in an election held
on April 5, the planetary positions had been similar to what they
are today, hence heralding a favourable time for alliances.
Mr.Ratnayake
said most politicians were strong believers in astrology, even though
they did not admit it publicly. But in the grip of an election,
many were seeking predictions on their prospects in the upcoming
election.
Mr.
Ratnayake was embroiled in a controversy prior to the 2001 general
election when one of the astrologers working for his paper claimed
he had been forced to predict a victory for the PA at that election.
Mr.Ratnayake denied the charge. |