Macro
economic picture
Economic models - industrialisation
for Lanka
Sunil Karunanayake, our regular columnist on corporate and
macro-economic issue, discusses the changing nature of Sri Lanka's
economy and its quest for industrialization.
Malaysia
is a country similar to Sri Lanka in many ways. Today it has built
up a sizeable industrial export base to be among the world's largest
exporters of semi-conductors, disk drives, telecommunication apparatus,
audio equipment etc from modest beginnings as an exporter of rubber,
tin and palm oil and latterly, low technology exports like garments,
footwear and toys. Malaysia's advancement to high skilled areas
was rapid, like Singapore. Some of the other Asian countries transferred
their production facilities to Malaysia. Import substitution and
the resultant growth in domestic industries was another feature
of the Malaysian economy.
HICOM
(Heavy Industries Corporation of Malaysia) was set up by the government
to diversify manufacturing activity and promote small and medium
enterprises. This was further pursued with technological advancements
and investment in research & development. While the Malaysian
government also launched a gradual process of privatization and
restructuring, HICOM was retained under state control.
Here
we see a similarity in Sri Lanka where the government has taken
a conscious decision not to privatize certain state-owned strategic
enterprises. However success of this policy will depend on government
ability to fund loss making institutions such as the CEB and Ceylon
Petroleum Corporation.
In
Sri Lanka technological advancements and research have been below
expected levels. CISIR (latterly renamed ITI) was set up during
the early post-independence era to support industry through research
and innovations.
It
seems that this objective is now given low priority over commercial
motivations. While certain large private sector entities undertake
research on a limited scale it is the government who can take a
lead in this area due to its access to global resources. Sri Lankan
universities over the years have produced a large number of competent
scientists; unfortunately today most of them are serving other countries.
Today quality is uppermost in the minds of consumers in developed
markets, therefore research and technology must play a key role
in getting such market linkages.
Sri
Lanka under colonial rule was essentially a plantation economy concentrating
on export of agricultural produce and importing all consumption
needs. In the late 1940s to the 1950s this economy did build up
sizeable foreign exchange reserves benefiting from higher prices
for its exports. Immediately after independence there was a drive
towards industrialization. Thereafter, the country experimented
with excessive government control, import substitution etc which
did not work well for industrial development. The economic liberalization
of the 1980s saw the emergence of export-led industrialization,
which was partly successful but failed to go beyond low technology
industries.
Research
indicates that increased reliance on market forces as well as government
led protectionism has adversely affected industrial development
in Sri Lanka. Korea is an ideal example where both have worked side
by side.
The
Central Bank's recent consumer finances survey has clearly shown
the disproportionate concentration of economic activity in the western
province which has even been called a separate nation of its own.
On the downside this unmanageable concentration has created a series
of social, environmental and logistical issues for the government.
The
alarming increase of dependency on private tuition and the expenditure
on these by households and the continuing mismatch of skills is
another matter of concern. This phenomenon obviously does not speak
well of our free education policy. Equally disturbing is that even
the poorer sections of society are now spending a disproportionate
share of their income on private tuition.
It
has been said that the real strength of an economy depends not on
the workforce but on skilled competencies in areas such as engineers,
accountants, chemists and financial analysts. These are the exact
areas where government intervention on policy formulation and implementation
could dictate the fortunes of an economy. |