Poll
vault by President
By Our Political Editor
I have had the benefit of reading my colleague's
article in the opposite page where he describes President Chandrika
Kumaratunga being hit by a tsunami of sorts this week.
Probably
unintentionally, however, the President seems to have created waves
the likes of another political tsunami this week at Hambantota where
she launched the Government's action plan for the post-tsunami development
programme. During the course of her speech, she said there is no
need to hold elections for the next five years.
This
was not the crux of her speech, and the state media seem to have
ignored the reference, despite its significance. Was it a slip of
the tongue (and no fault of the brain), or was it, as the pithy
local idiom goes - the mouth may lie, the tongue never lies. Nevertheless,
what the President said is on record as follows: " Political
parties which have been traditionally quarrelling with each other
for the past 50 years, have come forward honestly to rebuild the
nation. However, there could be minor problems, as old habits cannot
be given up. For the next five years we do not hope to have elections.
There is also no necessity to have elections. Even if we hold elections
tomorrow, do not look to increase the ballot boxes, but vote for
the nation. For the moment, forget the party and myself ".
No
doubt, the one reference she made to elections at the national event,
which was arguably not the forum to talk of elections, is a bundle
of contradictions. She says that all the parties have got together
now, then she says old habits persist, then she says there will
be no elections for the next five years, then she goes on to say
that even if elections are to be held there is no need for them,
then says, if elections are to be held tomorrow don't just fill
the ballot boxes (whatever that meant ), and then the coup de grace,
she says vote for the nation, and to forget her party, and even
herself.
Where
she left, the sycophant state-run television took over. Pronto they
began interviewing the "citizens" of Sri Lanka. They were
all, at least those whom the state TV chose, extolling the virtues
of what their President, Minister of Defence, Commander in Chief
and Head of Government - all rolled into one - had said about rolling
the electoral map.
Every
one of them, hey presto, welcomed those worthy remarks. Why should
we need elections now, those interviewed asked. Good camera work
by the faithful, one would say.
But
to unravel that mystery, the main opposition party, the UNP thought
it fit to unleash its spokesman Prof. G.L. Peiris. He bravely announced
that the UNP demanded scheduled Presidential elections this year,
and pledged that the party would fight any form of dictatorship
that was looming. Then, he echoed the official view of the party
"that the tsunami should not wash away democracy in Sri Lanka".
UNP
Assistant Secretary Tissa Attanayake joined in to say that in the
country's darkest patch - during the reign of terror in 1988/89,
when the JVP vowed to kill the first five people who turned up at
any polling booth, the then UNP Government held elections. Within
the UNP leadership there was some concern about the Presidential
statement. They believe that what the President said was certainly
something working in her mind for some time, even pre-tsunami, and
that the tsunami disaster was perfectly timed for her political
agenda -- which they think started, with the incarceration of the
UNP's go-getter National Organiser S.B. Dissanayake.
Some
asked Opposition Leader Ranil Wickremesinghe to formally write to
the President seeking clarification. It was serious enough an issue
to write to her, for she was surely not going to respond to her
erstwhile can't-do-without man-for-all-seasons, G.L. Peiris. Wickremesinghe
felt he should have G.L. Peiris state his claim first.
As
the long weekend was approaching, Wickremesinghe felt he should
allow the issue to ride, and that during his tours to the Mawanella,
Kegalla, Wariyapola areas during this period, he would take the
matter up with the party branches. He also felt, the matter would
raise some eye-brows among the donor community which may themselves
take up cudgels with the President.
All
in all, Wickremesinghe seemed reluctant to go for the President
despite the gravity of the statement she had made -- a statement
splashed in the private media, and unchallenged by the Presidential
Office either. If more proof was needed, it came in the form of
the state-run television endorsing her assertions through a series
of "welcome" interviews.
Wickremesinghe
is not only the leader of the UNP. He is also the leader of the
Opposition, and it is incumbent on his part to raise issues of such
a nature with the President, and let the country to know what the
status is. For one thing, the President makes a tsunami-style devastating
remark, saying she wants to roll up the electoral map for the next
five years without anybody's by-your-leave. Whether she can do it
is another matter. Even when President Junius Jayewardene quoting
Napoleon at a meeting in Anuradhapura about rolling up the electoral
map for ten years, he did not refer to not having elections on the
due date. But for the Leader of the Opposition to duck the issue,
is as serious an issue.
Ever
since the tsunami struck the coastal belt of Sri Lanka, the JVP
has been making some noises about not having political bickering
for two years until the nation was re-built. It did not go as far
as saying that elections should not be held. Wickremesinghe, when
he met President Kumaratunga a fortnight ago promised to support
her government for six months to re-build the nation. Ironically,
the President did not respond to the offer - nor did she mention
anything about postponing elections.
The
fat is already in the fire, in regard to the President's second-term
in office. While the UNP is insisting that her second term comes
to an end this year, the President is not saying anything about
elections this year. She now seems to be saying nothing about Presidential
elections whenever, except for her remarks this week about doing
away with "elections" for the next five years. And there
is the controversial second (purported) swearing-in of the President
(almost a year after she was actually elected and sworn-in in December
1999) to contend with, which was primarily aimed at giving her just
one extra year (2006).
Whether
the UNP is ready for a Presidential election this year is another
matter. It is banking very much on the fact that the ruling UPFA
will start fragmentizing when it has to pick a candidate other than
President Kumaratunga, even though the UNP is still watchful of
the President trying to woo its members, like she succeeded in doing
with Rohitha Bogallagama, the current Advanced Technology Minister.
The
UNP needs to have an election within range to prevent restless UNPers
who find Ministerial power, the cars, the office, the bodyguards
etc., their political oxygen for survival, not jump ship. Behind-the-scene,
moves are on again to win over UNP parliamentarians. A Deputy Minister
is going on making overtures. The carrot he holds on a stick include
Ministerial portfolios and other perks not to mention green backs.
At least one green man has whispered in his boss' ears that overtures
were made to him but he declined.
On
the other hand, the President thinks she's too young to quit politics.
She can't be playing golf surely like Bill Clinton is doing at a
much younger age. It is in this context that this country must take
a look at events that unfolded in the US this week with the inauguration
of the second-term of the President George W. Bush.
The
US is a nation at war. And yet, it has a fixed date for elections,
and a fixed date to start the term of a President, and it holds
them on those dates. The people do not have to debate or doubt what
these dates would be. Why not for Sri Lanka?
The
Presidential remarks have also not attracted much comment from any
party, other than the UNP. President Kumaratunga's ally, the JVP,
remains silent. So much so, that when the previous issue of whether
her term of office ended in 2005 or 2006 was raised from it, the
jVP gave a standard answer saying, "whatever the Constitution
says ", by implication whatever the Supreme Court says. However,
just prior to the Presidential remarks at Hambantota, the JVP has
been making some noises about the post-tsunami disaster management
actions plans under the President's directions.
Their
pater familias, Somawansa Amarasinghe, referred to the party's concern
about the way the Kumaratunga Government was handling matters, and
the issue came to a head this week when the two sides, i.e the JVP
and the SLFP, at a meeting presided over by former Prime Minister
Ratnasiri Wickramanayake. The latter ended up being elected President
of the Alliance at this meeting.
A
corollary to these developments, no doubt, would be the Liberation
Tigers of Tamil Eelam. Contrary to predictions and even prophesizing
by political pundits, the tsunamis have not brought about any rapprochement
between the UPFA Government and the LTTE. To the contrary, the tsunami
that hit the Sri Lankan coast with such devastating effect has left
a similar blow to Government-LTTE relations and thus caused even
more uncertainties to the peace process.
During
her meeting with the high powered team of Norwegian peace facilitators
led by Foreign Minister Jan Petersen, President Kumaratunga on Friday
explained, among other matters, issues relating to the peace process.
She spoke of a constitutional package which could address some concerns
of the LTTE too.
But
even before the Norwegian team set foot on Sri Lankan soil, the
LTTE had re-iterated its position to a team of European Union envoys.
During a meeting last Tuesday at the LTTE Peace Secretariat in Kilinochchi,
Political Wing leader S.P. Thamilselvan told the envoys that the
post-tsunami relief and rehabilitation efforts only bolstered the
LTTE's case for an Interim Self Governing Authority (ISGA). If people
had suffered all these years, their problems have been aggravated
by the tsunamis. This made it imperative that the LTTE had a strong
mechanism to re-develop the areas affected as well as to ameliorate
the suffering of the people.
It
seemed the Norwegian peace facilitators were conscious of this reality
even before they arrived in Sri Lanka. Contrary to speculation and
guessing games in sections of the media, the Norwegian facilitators
have no plans to focus on resuscitating the stalled peace process
during their current mission. Besides offering assistance to the
LTTE to help overcome the problems caused to people in "uncleared"
areas by the tsunami, the task before Mr. Petersen and party was
to evolve some common ground on the post tsunami approaches of both
the Government and the LTTE.
The
idea is to ensure there is a close dialogue and interaction in the
channelling of aid, equipment and expertise to Tiger guerrilla-controlled
areas. Petersen and party approached the LTTE and Government on
this issue. They even offered to become the common denominator on
the issue so things could move forward for a few months. It is only
thereafter that the Norwegians want to return to their main task
of kick starting the peace talks.
For
the LTTE, it will not be an easy task to heed any Norwegian call.
Firstly, It is incensed by the Government move in stopping UN Secretary
General, Kofi Annan from visiting affected areas under its control.
Thamilselvan declared this had caused irreparable damage. The LTTE
is also angry over the deployment of troops to welfare centres and
the declaration of a State of Emergency.
During
a meeting on Friday with LTTE chief peace negotiator Anton Balasingham,
leader Velupillai Prabhakaran had not only briefed him on these
issues. He had also insisted that the Norwegian facilitators should
be told of these issues in the strongest terms to show Colombo's
attitude towards the LTTE after a terrible humanitarian tragedy.
The drama was played yesterday |