Liquor,
insurance seen driving profits at Distilleries
Higher profits from the liquor business and improved contributions
from insurance are being seen as growth propellers at the Distilleries
Company of Sri Lanka (DCSL), the cash rich firm of influential tycoon
Harry Jayawardena, which is now emerging as a diversified conglomerate.
Lanka
Orix Securities has forecast a net profit of Rs 2,363 million for
the full FY 2004/05, which would translate to earnings per share
of Rs 7.88. Distilleries made a net profit of Rs 1,789 million in
the year ending March 2004. Profits for the 2003-04 financial year
include a one-off profit of Rs 885 million from the sale of several
major shareholdings.
"As
the company is now being gradually transformed to a diversified
conglomerate we believe that current pricing level, at a forecast
price-earnings (PE) multiple of 3.8 is a suitable opportunity to
invest," the broker said in a research report.
It
said that while other operating incomes may be at a reduced level
in the second half of FY 2004/05 as income from disposal of shares
is likely to be lower, this drop would be compensated by the enhanced
profitability of the core business as well as the increased contribution
from Sri Lanka Insurance Corporation (SLIC).
Distilleries
and SLIC were both state corporations that were privatized and are
now controlled by Jayawardena. The DCSL group subsidiaries and associates
include SLIC, Aitken Spence and Co Ltd., Balangoda Plantations,
Madulsima Plantations, Beruwala Distillery (Pvt) Ltd., fabric processing
firm Texpro Industries Ltd., investing company Timpex (Pvt) Ltd.,
Periceyl (Pvt) Ltd., who are importers and distributors of liquor,
and Milford Holdings (Pvt) Ltd., another investing company.
DCSL
has a "dominating presence" in the domestic liquor market
and is indicating healthy market growth in this sector while also
aggressively pursuing a stronger position in the lucrative but relatively
exclusive high-end liquor segment, Lanka Orix Securities said.
An
improved contribution is also expected from segments like manufacturing,
such as the subsidiary engaged in fabric processing, and insurance,
the brokers said. "We are of the opinion that the strong cash-flow
resulting from the core liquor operation and the subsidiary SLIC
would enable the company to report results in excess of what it
reported during the previous financial year." |