Is
the President cornered?
- North-East battles batter economy, prospects
for a stable Govt. diminish
By Our Political Editor
Barely 48 hours after fighting broke out between
Security Forces and Tiger guerrillas, President Mahinda Rajapaksa
invited political parties supporting his Government for a briefing
at 'Temple Trees '.
It began with Army Operations Director Brigadier
Athula Jayawardena giving a Power Point presentation on Sunday (August
13). He said that Tiger guerrillas had at 5.45 p.m. on Friday launched
attacks on security forces positions in and around the Jaffna peninsula.
The Brigadier gave a brief on how guerrilla attacks on Government
troops began soon after they blockaded the sluice gates at Mavil
Aru. The attacks later shifted to Mutur, then Trincomalee and ended
in Jaffna. He pointed out how Muslim civilians were killed in Mutur.
He made the point that the security forces were only reacting to
such attacks.
On the other hand, Tiger guerrillas were making
the same claim - that they were only responding to security forces
attacks. Yet, the two sides were pledging allegiance to the Ceasefire
Agreement of February 2002. Despite these claims and counter-claims,
the bottom line is that Eelam War IV had indeed, started.
On Friday evening (August 11), LTTE guerrillas
had directed artillery and mortar fire at several security forces
positions in the Jaffna peninsula, Brigadier Jayawardena said. He
pointed out that 130 mm artillery had been directed at the Palaly
airstrip. Air Force raids had destroyed four such artillery guns,
he added.
Taking part in the meeting were representatives
of the Sri Lanka Freedom Party (SLFP), Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna
(JVP), Jathika Hela Urumaya (JHU), Communist Party (CP), Lanka Sama
Samaja Party (LSSP) and Muslim political parties.
"This is not a war that we started. All the
attacks came from them (the guerrillas)," declared President
Rajapaksa. He referred to the murder of the Deputy Secretary General
of the Peace Secretariat, Kethesh Loganathan. There have been a
number of instances where the guerrillas had unleashed violence.
He said security arrangements in Colombo had to be strengthened.
JVP's Wimal Weerawansa was to use the opportunity
to take a swipe at the international community. He said the killing
of Loganathan was something akin to murdering someone like LTTE's
Pulithevan, head of their Peace Secretariat. If such a thing happened,
the LTTE would have made a big hue and cry. "The international
community would have shouted hoarse about such an incident,"
he pointed out. He said such killings raised questions on the validity
of the peace talks. He said troop morale was at peak, and that the
security forces should fight the terrorists.
JHU's Ellawala Medananda raised issue over a report
in last week's Sunday newspapers that the Liberation Tigers of Tamil
Eelam (LTTE) had offered to resume peace talks with the Government.
He wanted to know from President Rajapaksa whether this was true,
and whether his Government wanted to go ahead with it.
It seemed a strange coincidence. Weerawansa interrupted
to say "I have just heard that a news conference is under way
about such peace talks."
President Rajapaksa was surprised. Weerawansa said the news conference
had been summoned by the Secretary General of the Peace Secretariat,
Palitha Kohona. Government's Defence Spokesman Keheliya Rambukwella
was also taking part.
As political party leaders supporting the Government
watched, President Rajapaksa spoke on the telephone with Rambukwella.
The latter replied that the media had in fact been told the Government
was ready for peace talks with the LTTE.
A senior Presidential advisor reprimanded Kohona
for summoning the news conference, without even a formal nod from
President Rajapaksa. He was also pulled up for inviting Defence
Spokesman Rambukwella for the same news conference.
Whilst the conference of the political parties
supporting the Government, and Kohona's news conference were under
way, at the same time, a Tamil newspaper editor received a call
from Pulithevan. He was not in the LTTE Peace Secretariat, but,
as he said, he was calling from near a battle area where the guerrillas
were attacking the security forces. He told the newspaper that media
accounts of the LTTE wanting to hold peace talks with the Government
were false. There was no such move, he emphasised and he wanted
this publicized in that Tamil newspaper.
It turned out that Pulithevan had, in an informal
conversation with the Head of the Sri Lanka Monitoring Mission (SLMM),
retired Swedish Major General Ulf Henriccson, sounded him out on
what the Government response would be if and when LTTE wanted to
resume talks. Henriccson readily agreed to be the post office to
pass on any formal LTTE request for talks to the Government. He
was indeed conscious that playing a role in peace facilitation was
not part of the SLMM brief. That role was exclusively for the Government
of Norway. Yet, he felt he was going to do a service by de-escalating
tensions if the LTTE wanted to formally say it wanted talks.
As one Presidential aide complained, "Kohona
ran to the media without carefully studying what he had been told
and without consulting Government leaders. The fact that he had
Rambukwella on board gave a different message to soldiers who were
risking their lives in the battlefield in the north. Here were two
Government voices who were giving wrong signals on a critical issue
that involved life and death."
Even surpassing his predecessor, Jayantha Dhanapala,
Kohona is known to be very fond of the limelight in the media. So
he seized the opportunity with some 'breaking news' that came his
way to create headlines.
But the development showed a greater flaw -- that
there was lack of or no governance. Nor was there any accountability
with different arms of the Government moving in different directions
and speaking in different voices.
Most confused were Colombo-based diplomats who
kept asking who is in control. Needless to say the reports they
would file to their respective governments would give a dismal picture.
This is when the economy is receiving a beating and tourist arrivals
are dwindling. Tour operators are complaining of en-bloc cancellations.
President Rajapaksa also told political parties
supporting the Governnment that he wanted to personally speak to
United National Party (UNP) leader Ranil Wickremesinghe. However,
he had learnt that he was out of Sri Lanka. So, Minister D.E.W.
Gunasekera from the Communist Party asked the President to invite
UNP's deputy leader Karu Jayasuriya and others.
It was done and a meeting followed on Tuesday
after Jayasuriya consulted Wickremesinghe. It was decided to take
M.H. Mohamed and T. Maheswaran to represent the Muslim and Tamils,
Gamini Lokuge, as he had been to Kantale to see the refugees, Jayalath
Jayawardene because of his long-standing ties with the Tamils, especially
in the Mannar area, and G.L. Peiris.
The process was the same. Brigadier Jayawardena
gave them a briefing. Rajapaksa was to make clear "I have not
begun a war. When people start attacking us, I have a duty to protect
the people."
Maheswaran raised issue over the reported Air
Force bombing of an LTTE-run orphanage at Sencholai. President Rajapaksa
insisted that this was a place where guerrillas preparing for suicide
missions were being trained. When Maheswaran raised the issue of
shortages of medicines, foodstuffs and the curfew in Jaffna, the
President said he would attend to these matters.
Karu Jayasuriya was to tell the President that
the UNP delegation came "not to praise him or to criticise
him", and that his party "condemned terrorism in all its
forms", However, he said the UNP was of the view that there
should be a political settlement, and asked the Government to put
forward its proposals for such a settlement.
He referred to the influx of refugees from the
East into areas like Negombo, Kurunegala, Puttalam, Kegalle and
Anuradhapura, and urged they be re-settled as soon as possible.
"We are addressing all that," replied
Rajapaksa.
The All-Party Conference was formulating a set
of proposals, he said, and added that these proposals would be ready
in two months. He then said that some Muslim political leaders were
exploiting the refugee situation.
Jayasuriya then said that claymore mines had now
come to Kandy and Colombo, and that the stability of the South was
questionable.
The President responded by saying that the Government
was taking precautions, and that the closure of schools was one
such step. He then, urged the UNP to co-operate with his Government,
saying that it was one of the two parties that had the experience
in handling this situation.
On the way out, Jayasuriya switched on to cricketing
parlance. "If you want our co-operation, you must play according
to ICC rules," he said, a clear reference to the President's
backstage moves in wooing UNPers to cross over with the offer of
portfolios in order to swell his parliamentary ranks.
Taken aback, the President responded by saying,
"It was your former leader, J.R. Jayewardene who made those
rules and not us".
An appeal to stop the ongoing fighting and begin
peace talks came this week from the United States. It was conveyed
by Steve Man, Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary for South and
Central Asian Affairs in the State Department. On hand was Foreign
Minister, Mangala Samaraweera and President's Secretary Lalith Weeratunga.
Rajapaksa took the opportunity to explain that he had been acting
with great restraint. He said when the third in command of the Army,
(Lt. Gen. Parami Kulatunga) was killed by the LTTE, the Government
did not retaliate. But the LTTE was continuing with violent attacks
and he had no option but to order the security forces to hit back.
He traced the events that followed the LTTE blockade at Mavil Aru.
Once again Rajapaksa said, "I did not start it. Those who started
it must stop."
The LTTE attempt on the life of Pakistan's outgoing
High Commissioner, Bashir Wali Mohamed, on Monday had thoroughly
angered President Rajapaksa. He was concerned that security in and
around 'Temple Trees' had not been adequate for such an incident
to take place. He later telephoned Pakistan's Prime Minister Shaukat
Aziz to express his regrets over the incident and to assure that
adequate protection was being provided.
Another significant event came last Wednesday
when the United Nations Secretary General Kofi Annan made a 25-minute
telephone call to President Rajapaksa. With him at the time was
Foreign Minister Mangala Samaraweera, Disaster Management and Human
Rights Minister Mahinda Samarasinghe and head of the Government
Peace Secretariat Palitha Kohona.
Annan was to express concern over the fighting
in Sri Lanka and wanted a halt to the fighting. He said the Government
should resume peace talks and advised Rajapaksa not to abandon the
peace process.
Rajapaksa once again traced the history of the
recent LTTE attacks and declared that his Government was only playing
a defensive role. Annan made a specific appeal to allow UN agencies
to carry out relief work in affected areas. The move came after
the Defence Ministry had placed tighter controls on UN and other
international agencies operating, particularly in the East. Human
Rights issues also figured in the conversation.
Later that evening, the President briefed the
Cabinet on the current security situation. Foreign Minister Samaraweera
also made a statement in which he emphasized the point that the
Government ought not to lose sight of a political solution to the
ongoing conflict. He had earlier held meetings with Colombo-based
diplomats on a bilateral and multilateral basis. They were given
accounts of the current state of affairs in the North and East.
Minister Samarasinghe outlined arrangements being
made to rush food supplies to the Jaffna peninsula. He said a vessel
had already been chartered for the purpose and would next week carry
3800 metric tons of food items to the beleaguered people in those
Provinces.
There were also other politically significant
developments. The SLFP Central Committee met on Thursday night to
discuss its response to contentious issues that have been included
in the 20-point common minimum programme the JVP has put forward
to the Government. The JVP says it will join the Government only
if these are accepted. But the Central Committee was of the view
that some of them were difficult to accept, like for example a call
to urge the Government of Norway to withdraw from the peace process
and to abrogate the Ceasefire Agreement. Both these measures, the
Central Committee felt, would lead to severe repercussions that
will affect the national interest. Another demand, a de-merger of
the North and East, it was pointed out, was a matter for the Courts
to decide. Yet another demand -- to curtail the Cabinet to a maximum
of 30 Ministers, was also a difficult task, it felt. There was also
the underlining fear, of the JVP eventually swallowing up the SLFP.
The same evening, the JVP's politburo met to discuss
matters relating to its offer to join the Government. Speakers said
that if the SLFP continued to put off a decision and was hesitant,
the JVP would go its own way. One of those who staunchly backed
this position was former Minister, and Trade Union leader K.D. Lalkantha.
The next round of Government-JVP talks will be held this Wednesday.
That should portend which way the Government-JVP axis will head
in the near future.
The JVP's politburo also discussed the anti-war
rally organized by one-time Janavegaya Marxist Kumar Rupasinghe's
NGO. Weerawansa was critical that the meeting was allowed to be
held in Colombo, when the troops were fighting Tiger guerrillas
in the North and East.
He said the presence of Government politicians
(Mervyn Silva and Dilan Perera) gave a wrong message to the troops
on the ground. Probably the best aside came when he said that people
who held a rally against war and spilling blood had waged exactly
that on a group of Buddhist monks. Their robes had been removed
and the members of the clergy were assaulted by those who wanted
to stop the fighting.
Rupasinghe has declared that he would continue
with the anti-war rallies and hoped to get a larger crowd the next
time round.
All in all, President Rajapaksa and his Government
face a serious dilemma. With only two months to go for the budget,
the economy is taking a severe pounding. The ongoing fighting has
made the prospects of a resumption of peace talks in the immediate
future unlikely.
On the other hand, the prospects of a stable Government
with the JVP, which is imposing difficult demands as far as the
Rajapaksa administration is concerned, are diminishing. Has Rajapaksa,
who was elected as President of the Democratic Socialist Republic
of Sri Lanka for six years, painted himself into a corner in just
eight months? How and why this came about will be food for thought
for many Sri Lankans.
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