When will we learn
to live within our means?
We
are one of the poorest nations in the world, but we live as if we
were a rich one
Living within our means has not been a national economic virtue. As
the late
Joan Robinson, the famous Cambridge economist observed, as long ago
as the 1950s, we are a people who want to consume the fruit without
planting the tree and nurturing it.
We lead life
styles quite inconsistent with our incomes. We are one of the poorest
nations in the world, but we live as if we were a rich one.
That we have
had a trade deficit continuously for the past 24 years bears testimony
to this. We import more than we can earn by exporting. Continuous
depreciation of the currency, its devaluation now and then, higher
tariffs, none of these appears to help.
We are not suggesting that trade deficits are necessarily bad, but
when they are continuous, it is indicative of a fundamental disequilibrium.
We have to cut down our imports as well as increase our exports.
Until we succeed
in the latter we must import only what we can afford. We can't make
ends meet in terms of our traded commodities and services. The government
continues to spend more than it earns as revenue. Our current expenditure
is much higher than our annual revenue. We are not suggesting that
budget deficits do not serve a purpose. Yet the nature of government
expenditure is not conducive to long-term development.
The continuous budget deficits have resulted in an increasing public
debt. The public debt is now higher than the value of our annual
production of goods and services - the Gross Domestic Product.
We have to spend
about a third of our revenue to pay the interest and capital repayments.
We do not appear to be frugal as households either. We are caught
up in a consumerism that leaves us with little as savings. No wonder
we have a household savings ratio that is lower than that of India,
which has a per capita income of about one half of ours. Another
clear indication of this national trait is that despite the serious
energy problem and the large expenditure on the import of crude
oil, the current crisis has hardly led to a curtailment of expenditure
on oil.
Neither the
price increases in electricity tariffs nor the appeals to conserve
electricity have had any serious impact on reducing electricity
consumption. Oil imports have been increasing rapidly in recent
years owing to increases in electricity consumption as well as increased
transport uses. In 2000 alone, crude oil import costs increased
by as much as nearly 30 per cent. This was due to both an increase
in the volume of imports and an increase in prices. Crude oil imports
increased from 13.5 million barrels in 1999 to 17.3 barrels in 2000,
while prices rose by 51 per cent. This combination of price increases
and the increased imports resulted in the huge surge in import expenditure.
Despite the
seriousness of the problem, there is no public consciousness to
effectively reduce electricity consumption. In other countries facing
such a serious energy crunch, the public would have ensured that
they curtailed their consumption. No, not in Sri Lanka! Even the
higher prices for electricity have failed to curb domestic consumption.
Now the government has to resort to almost prohibitive prices for
higher consumers of electricity. In the light of what we have said
earlier we are not certain that even this would reduce electricity
consumption. There is a national need to inculcate a set of values
that would ensure that we live within our means. Households must
save more and provide resources for their own advancement in the
future and the country's economic investments.
onservation
of scarce energy and other resources is a must. The government must
keep its current expenditure within its revenue collection. We must
import only what we can afford through our export earnings. If we
continue to live beyond our means, individually, at household level,
as a government and as a nation, we will remain a nation that will
continue to increase its debt, suffer balance of payments problems
and have inadequate resources for economic growth. Those are the
plain facts.
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