Dynamic management
or damn nonsense?
The Norwegian
brokered peace process has once again run into trouble with the
government apparently unable to make much headway.
The latest meeting
between the LTTE and top officials of the Peace Secretariat ended
without significant progress regarding a specific date for direct
talks.
Many issues
need to be dealt with before the LTTE agrees to fix dates.
The LTTE's
position is that troops have not vacated the religious places of
worship and schools as stipulated in the ceasefire agreement.
But the government
says the security forces have withdrawn from 95% of the places concerned
and are remaining only in high security areas.
The LTTE however
appears to be taking a tough stand. One indication was when chief
negotiator Anton Balasingham apparently avoided a meeting with Norway's
peace envoy Vidar Helgesen in London.
It was reported
that Mr. Balasingham was not well enough to meet the Oslo envoy
but he was well enough to go to Geneva the next day to meet representatives
of the Tamils there.
If Norway is
unable to push the LTTE to the negotiating table some observers
wonder whether the US could do it but the Americans are unlikely
to agree to play the role that India did in the 1980's.
Though the
US is playing a positive role in the peace process now some analysts
also wonder how much pressure the US could exert on the LTTE even
if it wished to play a direct role.
The LTTE's
insistence on conditions being fulfilled has delayed the direct
talks from May to June, then to July with uncertainty even over
a July date now.
The Norwegians
however would not want to upgrade their position as a mediator from
facilitator unless both parties agree to it.
The understanding
given by Norway to both parties is that Oslo would act as a neutral
facilitator. Thus the Norwegians are tight lipped on most of the
issues they face in the process of getting the parties together
for talks.
But the Norwegians
are known to be optimistic that the peace process is on track and
they have little or doubt about the commitment of the LTTE.
Norwegian Foreign
Minister Jan Peterson, his deputy Vidar Helgesen and special envoy
Erik Solheim are also known to be confident the peace process would
move forward gradually.
Mr. Helgesen
and Mr. Solheim are also known to be pleased with the government
of Sri Lanka specially the statesman like manner Prime Minister
Ranil Wickremesinghe is handling the whole issue. "I am confident
that Premier Wickremesinghe is committed to peace, he is determined
to solve this problem", Mr. Solheim told Sri Lankan journalists
in Oslo.
Mr. Helgesen
and Mr. Solheim told journalists they were encountering various
problems but were also hopeful that things would fall into place.
They had a
word of appreciation for President Chandrika Kumaratunga also as
the leader who initiated the process while Premier Wickremesinghe
was taking giant strides.
Another significant
feature is a diplomatic change by India. It involves Nirupan Sen
who was once Deputy High Commissioner in Colombo and is now India's
ambassador in Oslo. He is coming to Colombo as High Commissioner
while the present envoy Gopal Krishna Gandhi is significantly going
to Oslo.
Mr. Sen had
been here at a crucial time when the then President J.R. Jayewardene
was negotiating the abortive Indo-Lanka accord.
Mr. Sen is
known to have wanted to maintain some links with the then militant
JVP though the powerful High Commissioner J.N. Dixit was not too
happy about the idea.
When JVP leader
Somawansa Amarasinghe got away from the country during the bloody
crackdown some reports suggested an Indian connection in helping
him to get away.
So there are
many questions as to why India is sending Mr. Sen here and whether
he will play an active dynamic role like Mr. Dixit .
India has been
largely a silent observer of the Sri Lankan peace process for the
past few years, but says it is ready to help by providing experts
at the negotiating table.
Whatever Mr.
Sen may do, he comes here in the wake of the highly successful visit
to India by Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe.
With Tamilnadu
Chief Minister Jayalalithaa Jeyaram especially pushing hard for
the extradition of LTTE leader Velupillai Prabhakaran, there are
questions as to whether he would emerge as a political leader if
negotiations succeed. For the time being Mr. Prabhakaran is not
likely to take part in any direct talks but would be available for
consultations.
The LTTE would
obviously like the assassination of Rajiv Gandhi to be part of the
forgotten past but for India it won't be easy to forget.
This will possibly
preclude Mr. Prabhakaran from coming into the political arena as
an active politician.
The delaying
tactics adopted by the LTTE on the grounds that the government has
yet to fulfill its obligations will not augur well for the government
or the LTTE. The government is under pressure from the international
community to expedite talks. This is essential if Sri Lanka is to
be the beneficiary of international money lending institutions to
embark on projects which would generate more employment and improve
the economic standards of the people.
On the other
hand the Tamil people are also known to be concerned about the protracted
process.
The meeting
between the Tamil National Alliance and Premier Wickremesinghe on
Wednesday centred on the concerns and uncertainty among the Tamil
people. Though the government claimed troops had pulled out of 95
% of the areas the TNA gave detailed information on places where
the troops still remained.
Ministers Tilak
Marapana , John Amaratunga and Milinda Moragoda were present at
the meeting along with service Chiefs.
As things stand
talks in July are not likely and they may be delayed till August
or eptember.
But as Indian
Foreign Minister Jaswant Singh told Erik Solheim recently a lot
of patience is required from all parties and peace cannot be brokered
if there is no patience.
Besides the
peace initiative the government is also giving priority to tackling
the escalating cost of living with the burdens on the people likely
to get much heavier next month as the new Value Added Tax comes
into effect. Serious public concern has been expressed mainly about
medicinal drugs which were hitherto tax free but will now come under
a 10% Value Added Tax.
Fuel prices
have also been increased again along with water bills and light
bills amidst growing fears that things are heading for an explosion
unless effective relief measures are given to the people and given
soon.
Many people
say it is now necessary for ministers to set examples by cutting
down on extravagances and living a more austere life.
Though the
government has fared fairly well on the peace front it cannot boast
of much in controlling the cost of living.
While in the
opposition the UNP boasted of dynamic economic management but so
far none of the professionally qualified ministers has shown much
versatility in this field and none has come anywhere near the dynamism
of R. Premadasa, Lalith Athulathmudali or Gamini Dissanayake.
With the value
of the rupee plunging out of control, the future economic picture
looks bleak unless the government strikes a deal with the LTTE now
to set the stage for an economic revival.
Not only dynamic
economic management the UNP while in Opposition had also boasted
about the media freedom it would ensure. One step was taken recently
with the repeal of Criminal Defamation laws. But Lake House continues
to be under full state control though the UNP had spoken of it being
broad based and put on the stock market. The UNP had also promised
that the SLBC and Rupavahini would be made independent like the
BBC, but so far there is little sign of it.
Former Information
Chief and Lake House Chairman Sarath Amunugama was scathing in his
attack on the UNP's record so far regarding media freedom. He claimed
the repeal of Criminal Defamation laws was largely a ransom to the
private media for the support given to the UNP.
Mr. Amunugama
also scoffed at the pigeon that had been posted outside Lake House
apparently to indicate there was press freedom now. He said he saw
it more as a sign as a pigeon post from Lake House to Temple Trees
with the SLBC and Rupavahini being cross connected.
Even if Dr.
Amunugama's comments had some validity one could justifiably ask
whether he did much better when he was the chairman of Lake House
though he did not exhibit pigeons. Most of these politicians say
one thing while in Opposition and
nother while
in office.
The once powerful Mangala Samaraweera had scoffed at the media as
a mafia. Now with his wings clipped and in trouble over a Matara
attack Mr. Samaraweera is seeking the support of the media to fight
his cases and his cause.
The government
needs to give more freedom to the state controlled media, set up
the Press Complaints Commission instead of the Press Council and
introduce the Freedom of Information Bill.
While the Criminal
Defamation law was repealed it seemed that VIPs were moving to make
full use of civil defamation.
Some of them
threaten the media with huge law suits when questions are raised
about certain institutions under their purview while others are
making jaunts abroad regardless of the money they are spending.
Governments
may come and go but the culture of party politics apparently cannot
detach itself from the vulture.
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